文摘
This dissertation examines the relationship between war type and the short- and long-term effects on population health using a synthesized theory of greed versus grievance conflict motivation,outcomes of territorial conflict,and the general effects of war on population health. The work explores the differences in population health indicators in criminal/greed-motivated conflicts,ethnolinguistic/grievance-motivated conflicts without a territorial component,and ethnolinguistic/grievance-motivated conflicts with a territorial component. This newly developed theory was tested using quantitative panel data analysis of 126 non-OECD countries between 1991 and 2008,exploring the relationship between a number of economic,political,and conflict variables on population health variables both in the present and after a lag of one,two,and five years. The analysis finds that (1) war in general has an immediate and lasting ill effect on population health indicators; (2) criminal,ethnolinguistic,and territorial wars have similar effects on population health indicators in the present; (3) the effects of criminal conflict and ethnolinguistic conflict without a territorial component fade over time; (4) the effects of ethnolinguistic conflict with a territorial conflict continue to grow over time. These findings are investigated qualitatively with two short case studies of Colombia,a criminal conflict,and Sri Lanka,an ethnolinguistic conflict with territorial components.