Data were retrospectively analyzed from two studies in which treatment-naive patients received peginterferon alfa-2a (40KD) 180 渭g/week plus ribavirin 1000/1200 mg/day for 48 weeks. Five hundred and fifty-eight genotype 1 patients with evaluable HCV RNA at baseline and week 4 were grouped according to RVR status: RVR (HCV RNA <50 IU/ml) or no RVR. Non-RVR patients were subdivided into discrete mutually exclusive categories according to week 4 HCV RNA; the proportion of patients with undetectable HCV RNA at week 12 was calculated per each category, and among them, the proportion with an SVR.
Overall, 88%of RVR patients and 43%of non-RVR patients achieved an SVR (p <0.0001). Among non-RVR patients, SVR rates were 77%, 61%, 43%, 27%and 13%, respectively (trend test p <0.0001) in those with unquantifiable HCV RNA or 猢? log10, 猢? log10, 猢? log10, or <1 log10 drop to week 4. In patients HCV RNA positive at week 4, SVR rates were 67%for those negative at week 12 vs. 17%(HCV RNA positive patients or who had missing values at week 12 [p <0.0001]).
The probability of achieving SVR is graded in relation to the magnitude of reduction in HCV RNA at week 4 and 12. Patients with a 猢? log10 drop in HCV RNA at week 4 have a high probability of achieving an SVR.