A dynamic modeling approach to highway sustainability: Strategies to reduce overall impact

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• 作者：Gokhan Egilmez^a ; ^{ge298307@ohio.edu} ; Omer Tatari^b ; ^{tatari@ucf.edu}
• 关键词：Transportation sustainability ; System dynamics ; Carbon emissions ; Policy analysis
• 刊名：Transportation Research Part A ; Policy and Practice
• 出版年：2012
• 期刊代码：33_09658564
• 类别：dec
• 出版时间：August, 2012
• 卷：46
• 期：7
• 页码：1086-1096
• 文件大小：1115 K

摘要

The need for sustainable development is increasing as the industrial and service activities keep putting such a strain on the natural functions of the Earth, thus the ability of the planet鈥檚 to sustain future generations. Since most of the industrial and service activities are provided via transportation, it is one of the most crucial elements of sustainable development. In this paper, US highway system sustainability problem is studied. System dynamics modeling approach is employed due to the causal relationships and feedback loops that are observed in the problem structure. The reference mode is considered as the increasing CO₂ emission trend. The objective is to meet the Liberman and Warner Climate Act鈥檚 targets by 2050. Three potential strategies for policy making are tested with the developed dynamic simulation: fuel efficiency, public transportation and electric vehicle usage. The results indicate that hybrid implementation of individual policies has a crucial impact on the success of policy making.