Predicting the market potential of plug-in electric vehicles using multiday GPS data

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• 作者：Mobashwir Khan^a ; ^{mobashwir@gmail.com} ; Kara M. Kockelman^b ; ^{kkockelm@mail.utexas.edu}
• 关键词：Plug-in electric vehicles ; Battery-electric vehicles ; Long-term vehicle use
• 刊名：Energy Policy
• 出版年：2012
• 期刊代码：15_03014215
• 类别：pw
• 出版时间：July, 2012
• 卷：46
• 期：Complete
• 页码：225-233
• 文件大小：476 K

摘要

GPS data for a year's worth of travel by 255 Seattle households illuminate how plug-in electric vehicles can match household needs. The results suggest that a battery-electric vehicle (BEV) with 100 mi of range should meet the needs of 50%of one-vehicle households and 80%of multiple-vehicle households, when charging once a day and relying on another vehicle or mode just 4 days a year. Moreover, the average one-vehicle Seattle household uses each vehicle 23 mi per day and should be able to electrify close to 80%of its miles, while meeting all its travel needs, using a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) with 40-mile all-electric range. Households owning two or more vehicles can electrify 50 to 70%of their total household miles using a PHEV40, depending on how they assign the vehicle across drivers each day. Cost comparisons between the average single-vehicle household owning a Chevrolet Cruze versus a Volt PHEV suggest that, when gas prices are $3.50 per gallon and electricity rates are at 11.2 ct/kWh, the Volt will save the household $535 per year in operating costs. Similarly, the Toyota Prius PHEV will provide an annual savings of $538 per year over the Corolla.