146 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and 74 age- and gender-matched healthy controls were included. Serum CK-18, AFABP and FGF21 levels were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.
Serum CK-18, AFABP, and FGF21 increased in a stepwise fashion in control subjects (median 103 U/L, 15.4 ng/ml, and 104 pg/ml), patients with non-NASH NAFLD (263 U/L, 18.9 ng/ml, and 249 pg/ml) and NASH (418 U/L, 19.4 ng/ml, and 354 pg/ml) (p <0.001, 0.060, and 0.016, respectively). The area under receiver-operating characteristics curve to diagnose NAFLD and NASH was 0.91 and 0.70 for CK-18, 0.66 and 0.59 for AFABP, and 0.84 and 0.62 for FGF21. At cut-offs of 203 and 670 U/L, CK-18 had 71%negative predictive value (NPV) and 77%positive predictive value (PPV) to exclude and diagnose NASH. A 2-step approach measuring CK-18 followed by FGF21 further improved the NPV to 74%and PPV to 82%. In a validation cohort of 51 patients with paired liver biopsies, the NPV and PPV of the 2-step approach were 67%and 78%, respectively.
CK-18 is the most accurate biomarker for NAFLD and NASH. A two-step approach using CK-18 and FGF21 further improves the accuracy in diagnosing NASH.