体系能力模型与装备体系贡献率测度方法
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摘要
针对作战体系建设与运用中评估体系能力与装备对其作用的需要,研究体系能力模型与装备在体系中贡献率的测度方法。首先,阐述作战体系组成与能力因素,明确装备体系贡献率概念与形式化表征;其次,运用逻辑回归方法,建立符合体系能力特点的作战体系能力模型;然后,在给出体系各能力因素对体系能力贡献的基础上,提出装备对体系贡献率的测度方法;最后,给出应用示例,说明构建的模型和方法可用且有效。能够为评估装备在体系中的贡献率提供借鉴。
The capability model of combat system of systems and measurement method of armament contribution are studied to improve the building and operating of it.Firstly,composition of combat system of systems and capability factors are analyzed,from which the concept and representation of armament contribution are provided.Secondly,the capability model of combat system of systems is established based on logistic regression model.Thirdly,a measurement method of armament contribution to combat system of systems is gained.Finally,the usability and effectiveness are demonstrated through an application example.The achievement could provide reference to assess the armament contribution to combat system of systems.
The capability model of combat system of systems and measurement method of armament contribution are studied to improve the building and operating of it.Firstly,composition of combat system of systems and capability factors are analyzed,from which the concept and representation of armament contribution are provided.Secondly,the capability model of combat system of systems is established based on logistic regression model.Thirdly,a measurement method of armament contribution to combat system of systems is gained.Finally,the usability and effectiveness are demonstrated through an application example.The achievement could provide reference to assess the armament contribution to combat system of systems.
引文
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[25]GAO Y,LU Q.A fuzzy logistic regression model based on the least squares estimation[J].Computational&Applied Mathematics,2017(2):1-18.
[26]YANG Y Z,LOOG M.A benchmark and comparison of active learning for logistic regression[J].Pattern Recognition,2018,83(C):401-415.
[27]ZAIDI N A,WEBB G I,CARMAN M J,et al.ALRn:accelerated higher-order logistic regression[J].Machine Learning,2016,104(2/3):151-194.
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[30]OZTAYSI B.A decision model for information technology selection using AHP integrated TOPSIS-grey:the case of content management systems[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2014,70:44-54.
[31]郭齐胜,杨万晓,董志明,等.装备需求论证工程化基本理论研究[J].装甲兵工程学院学报,2012,26(1):1-4.GUO Q S,YANG W X,DONG Z M,et al.Research on the fundamental theory of equipment requirement demonstration engineerization[J].Journal of Armored Force Engineering Institute,2012,26(1):1-4.
[2]李怡勇,李智,管清波,等.武器装备体系贡献度评估刍议与示例[J].装备学院学报,2015,26(4):5-10.LI Y Y,LI Z,GUAN Q B,et al.Discussion and demonstration on contribution evaluation of weapon equipment system[J].Journal of Equipment Academy,2015,26(4):5-10.
[3]王飞,司光亚.武器装备体系能力贡献度的解析与度量方法[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2016,30(3):10-15.WANG F,SI G Y.Analysis and measurement method of weapon equipment system capability contribution degree[J].Military Operations Research and Systems Engineering,2016,30(3):10-15.
[4]常雷雷,张小可,李孟军.基于灰靶理论的武器装备体系技术贡献度评估[J].兵工自动化,2010,29(10):13-16.CHANG L L,ZHANG X K,LI M J.Weapon system of system technology contribution evaluation based on grey target theory[J].Ordnance Industry Automation,2010,29(10):13-16.
[5]管清波,冯书兴.一种新的武器装备体系能力指标变权算法[J].装备学院学报,2014,25(1):112-115.GUAN Q B,FENG S X.A novel variable weight algorithm for equipment system capability[J].Journal of Academy of Equipment,2014,25(1):112-115.
[6]王楠,杨娟,何榕.基于粗糙集的武器装备体系贡献度评估方法[J].指挥控制与仿真,2016,38(1):104-107.WANG N,YANG J,HE R.Evaluation method of equipment s contribution to system warfighting based on rough set[J].Command Control&Simulation,2016,38(1):104-107.
[7]MAIER M W.Architecting principles for systems-of-systems[J].Systems Engineering,1998,1(4):267-284.
[8]ANJEL T.Modeling and simulation of systems of systems-a survey[J].Cybernetics and Information Technologies,2013,13(2):3-36.
[9]张最良,黄谦,李露阳.体系的开发规律与科学途径[J].中国科学基金,2006,20(3):159-163.ZHANG Z L,HUANG Q,LI L Y.The development principles and rational approaches for system of systems[J].Bulletin of National Natural Science Foundation of China,2006,20(3):159-163.
[10]陈文英,张兵志,谭跃进,等.基于体系工程的武器装备体系需求论证[J].系统工程与电子技术,2012,34(12):2479-2484.CHEN W Y,ZHANG B Z,TAN Y J,et al.Requirement demonstration of armament system of systems based on system of systems engineering[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2012,34(12):2479-2484.
[11]ZUO X,QU Y.Operational ability evaluation model of the armored weapon system of systems[C]∥Proc.of the Control and Decision Conference,2013:2161-2163.
[12]赵丹玲,谭跃进,李际超,等.基于作战环的武器装备体系贡献度评估[J].系统工程与电子技术,2017,39(10):2239-2247.ZHAO D L,TAN Y J,LI J C,et al.Armament system of systems contribution evaluation based on operation loop[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2017,39(10):2239-2247.
[13]MILLER J H,PAGE S E.Complex adaptive systems:an introduction to computational models of social life[M].New Jersey:Princeton University Press,2007:46-48.
[14]BAHARLOU E,MENGES A.Generative agent-based design computation[C]∥Proc.of the 31st International Conference on Education and Research in Computer Aided Architectural Design,2013.
[15]HOLLAND J H.Emergence:from chaos to order[M].Boston:Addison-Wesley,1998.
[16]CAMPBELL J,FLYNN J D,HAY J.The group development process seen through the lens of complexity theory[J].International Scientific Journal of Methods and Models of Complexity,2003,6(1):1-33
[17]张君弟.论复杂适应系统涌现的受限生成过程[J].系统科学学报,2005,13(2):44-48.ZHANG J D.On constrained generating procedures of emergence in complex adaptive system[J].Journal of Systemic Dialectics,2005,13(2):44-48.
[18]陆军,杨云祥.战争形态演进及信息系统发展趋势[J].中国电子科学研究院学报,2016,11(4):329-335,452.LU J,YANG Y X.Research on war morphology evolution and trend of military information system[J].Journal of China Academy of Electronics and Information Technology,2016,11(4):329-335,452.
[19]路德维希·冯·贝塔朗菲.一般系统论:基础、发展和应用[M].林康义,魏宏森译.北京:清华大学出版社,1987:36-38.BERTALANFFY V L.General system theory-foundations,development,applications[M].LIN K Y,WEI H S trans.Beijing:Tsinghua University Press,1987:36-38.
[20]许国志.系统科学[M].上海:上海科技教育出版社,2000:304-305.XU G Z.System science[M].Shanghai:Shanghai Science and Technology Education Publishing House,2000:304-305.
[21]CHENG W,HULLERMEIER E.Combining instance-based learning and logistic regression for multilabel classification[J].Machine Learning,2009,76(2/3):211-225
[22]LIU W,LIU H,TAO D,et al.Manifold regularized kernel logistic regression for web image annotation[J].Neurocomputing,2016,172(C):3-8.
[23]SOHN S Y,KIM D H,YOON J H.Technology credit scoring model with fuzzy logistic regression[J].Applied Soft Computing,2016,43:150-158.
[24]MENEZES DE S F,LISKA R G,CIRILLO A M,et al.Data classification with binary response through the boosting algorithm and logistic regression[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2017,69:62-73.
[25]GAO Y,LU Q.A fuzzy logistic regression model based on the least squares estimation[J].Computational&Applied Mathematics,2017(2):1-18.
[26]YANG Y Z,LOOG M.A benchmark and comparison of active learning for logistic regression[J].Pattern Recognition,2018,83(C):401-415.
[27]ZAIDI N A,WEBB G I,CARMAN M J,et al.ALRn:accelerated higher-order logistic regression[J].Machine Learning,2016,104(2/3):151-194.
[28]HOSMER D W,LEMESHOW S.Applied logistic regression[M].New York:Wiley,1989.
[29]ZARDINI A,MOLA L,BROCKE J V.The role of ECM and its contribution in decision-making processes[J].2010,19(4):289-406.
[30]OZTAYSI B.A decision model for information technology selection using AHP integrated TOPSIS-grey:the case of content management systems[J].Knowledge-Based Systems,2014,70:44-54.
[31]郭齐胜,杨万晓,董志明,等.装备需求论证工程化基本理论研究[J].装甲兵工程学院学报,2012,26(1):1-4.GUO Q S,YANG W X,DONG Z M,et al.Research on the fundamental theory of equipment requirement demonstration engineerization[J].Journal of Armored Force Engineering Institute,2012,26(1):1-4.