基于动态元网络的地铁施工安全事故致因分析
|
摘要
为有效避免地铁施工安全事故的发生,将动态元网络的分析方法应用于地铁施工安全事故致因分析,建立地铁施工安全事故网络节点体系,提出重点控制因素。以杭州地铁一号线施工安全事故为例,在充分考虑人的主观能动性后,建立以人员、行为、事件和组织为节点的节点体系,确定节点的数量及节点之间的相互关系,建立施工安全事故网络模型并进行分析,对打击效果进行对比分析,找到比较理想的打击策略,确立节点的重要度排序,研究结果表明:应重点控制有效的监督相关节点,即可有效地避免或者减少此类事故的发生。得出的结论与事故通报结果基本相符,这为避免地铁施工安全事故提供了新的研究思路。
In order to effectively avoid the occurrence of safety accidents in subway construction,the analysis method of dynamic meta-network was applied to analyze the causes of safety accidents in the subway construction,so as to establish the node system of network for the safety accidents in subway construction and propose the key control factors. Taking the construction safety accident of Hangzhou Metro Line 1 as an example,after fully taking the subjective initiative of people into consideration,a node system with people,behavior,event and organization as nodes was established,and the number of nodes and the correlation between nodes were determined. A network model of this construction safety accidents was established and analyzed,and the strike effect was analyzed and compared. The comparatively ideal strike strategies were found,and the order of importance of the nodes was determined. It was concluded that the effective supervision should be implemented to effectively avoid or reduce the recurrence of such accidents. The results were basically in accordance with the accident notification results,which provides a new research idea for avoiding the safety accidents in subway construction.
In order to effectively avoid the occurrence of safety accidents in subway construction,the analysis method of dynamic meta-network was applied to analyze the causes of safety accidents in the subway construction,so as to establish the node system of network for the safety accidents in subway construction and propose the key control factors. Taking the construction safety accident of Hangzhou Metro Line 1 as an example,after fully taking the subjective initiative of people into consideration,a node system with people,behavior,event and organization as nodes was established,and the number of nodes and the correlation between nodes were determined. A network model of this construction safety accidents was established and analyzed,and the strike effect was analyzed and compared. The comparatively ideal strike strategies were found,and the order of importance of the nodes was determined. It was concluded that the effective supervision should be implemented to effectively avoid or reduce the recurrence of such accidents. The results were basically in accordance with the accident notification results,which provides a new research idea for avoiding the safety accidents in subway construction.
引文
[1]杨远程.地铁施工安全事故分析与评价方法研究[D].武汉:华中科技大学,2009.
[2]朱胜利,王文斌,刘维宁,等.地铁工程施工的风险管理[J].都市快轨交通,2008,21(1):56-60.ZHU Shengli,WANG Wenbin,LIU Weining,et al.Discussion onrisk management of subway projects[J].Urban RapidRail Transit,2008,21(1):56-60.
[3]牛丰,王昱,周诚.基于STAMP模型的地铁施工安全事故致因分析[J].土木工程与管理学报,2016,33(1):73-78.NIU Feng,WANG Yu,ZHOU Cheng.Analysis of safety accidents caused by subway construction based on STAMP model[J].Journal of Civil Engineering and Management,2016,33(1):73-78.
[4]冯利军.建筑安全事故成因分析及预警管理研究[D].天津:天津财经大学,2008.
[5]张兵,乐云,李永奎,等.工程腐败的网络结构特征与打击策略选择---基于动态元网络视角的分析[J].公共管理学报,2015,12(3):33-44.ZHANG Bing,LE Yun,LI Yongkui,et al.Structural characteristics and attacking strategy of construction corruption network:Based on the study of dynamic network analysis[J].Journal of Public Management,2015,12(3):33-44.
[6]刘潇.国际贸易复杂动态元网络模型及应用[D].广州:华南理工大学,2011.
[7]赵良杰,宋波.技术互依性、组织双元能力与联盟创新绩效:基于动态网络的视角[J].研究与发展管理,2015,27(1):113-123.ZHAO Liangjie,SONG Bo.Technology interdependence,organizational duality and alliance innovation performance:Based on dynamic networkperspective[J].Research and Development Management,2015,27(1):113-123.
[8]CARLEY K M,REMINGA J,BORGATTI S.Destabilizing dynamic networks under conditions of uncertainty[C]//International Conference on Integration of Knowledge Intensive Multi-agent Systems.2003.
[9]CARLEY K M,DIESNER J,REMINGA J,et al.Toward an interoperable dynamic network analysis toolkit[J].Decision Support Systems,2007,43(4):1324-1347.
[10]CARLEY K M.ORA:A toolkit for dynamic network analysis and visualization[M].New York:Springer,2014.
[11]谭谨.复杂网络上的一般性打击策略研究[D].武汉:华中科技大学,2007.
[12]周鋆.战场多目标网络重心分析及打击策略生成方法研究[D].长沙:国防科学技术大学,2011.
[13]杨鹤,周国华.基于网络形态和节点中心度的项目计划问题研究[J].系统科学与数学,2016,36(1):14-27.YANG He,ZHOU Guohua.A Study of project scheduling based on network morphology ans node centralities[J].Systems Science and Mathematics,2016,36(1):14-27.
[14]邢焕革,彭义波.条件攻击策略下作战体系网络抗打击性能分析[J].计算机工程与设计,2015,36(4):866-871.XING Huange,PENG Yibo.Analysis of combat performance of combat system network under conditional attackstrategy[J].Computer Engineering and Design,2015,36(4):866-871.
[15]REILLY J J.The management process for complex underground and tunneling projects[J].Tunneling and Underground Space Technology,2000,15(1):31-44.
[2]朱胜利,王文斌,刘维宁,等.地铁工程施工的风险管理[J].都市快轨交通,2008,21(1):56-60.ZHU Shengli,WANG Wenbin,LIU Weining,et al.Discussion onrisk management of subway projects[J].Urban RapidRail Transit,2008,21(1):56-60.
[3]牛丰,王昱,周诚.基于STAMP模型的地铁施工安全事故致因分析[J].土木工程与管理学报,2016,33(1):73-78.NIU Feng,WANG Yu,ZHOU Cheng.Analysis of safety accidents caused by subway construction based on STAMP model[J].Journal of Civil Engineering and Management,2016,33(1):73-78.
[4]冯利军.建筑安全事故成因分析及预警管理研究[D].天津:天津财经大学,2008.
[5]张兵,乐云,李永奎,等.工程腐败的网络结构特征与打击策略选择---基于动态元网络视角的分析[J].公共管理学报,2015,12(3):33-44.ZHANG Bing,LE Yun,LI Yongkui,et al.Structural characteristics and attacking strategy of construction corruption network:Based on the study of dynamic network analysis[J].Journal of Public Management,2015,12(3):33-44.
[6]刘潇.国际贸易复杂动态元网络模型及应用[D].广州:华南理工大学,2011.
[7]赵良杰,宋波.技术互依性、组织双元能力与联盟创新绩效:基于动态网络的视角[J].研究与发展管理,2015,27(1):113-123.ZHAO Liangjie,SONG Bo.Technology interdependence,organizational duality and alliance innovation performance:Based on dynamic networkperspective[J].Research and Development Management,2015,27(1):113-123.
[8]CARLEY K M,REMINGA J,BORGATTI S.Destabilizing dynamic networks under conditions of uncertainty[C]//International Conference on Integration of Knowledge Intensive Multi-agent Systems.2003.
[9]CARLEY K M,DIESNER J,REMINGA J,et al.Toward an interoperable dynamic network analysis toolkit[J].Decision Support Systems,2007,43(4):1324-1347.
[10]CARLEY K M.ORA:A toolkit for dynamic network analysis and visualization[M].New York:Springer,2014.
[11]谭谨.复杂网络上的一般性打击策略研究[D].武汉:华中科技大学,2007.
[12]周鋆.战场多目标网络重心分析及打击策略生成方法研究[D].长沙:国防科学技术大学,2011.
[13]杨鹤,周国华.基于网络形态和节点中心度的项目计划问题研究[J].系统科学与数学,2016,36(1):14-27.YANG He,ZHOU Guohua.A Study of project scheduling based on network morphology ans node centralities[J].Systems Science and Mathematics,2016,36(1):14-27.
[14]邢焕革,彭义波.条件攻击策略下作战体系网络抗打击性能分析[J].计算机工程与设计,2015,36(4):866-871.XING Huange,PENG Yibo.Analysis of combat performance of combat system network under conditional attackstrategy[J].Computer Engineering and Design,2015,36(4):866-871.
[15]REILLY J J.The management process for complex underground and tunneling projects[J].Tunneling and Underground Space Technology,2000,15(1):31-44.