摘要
针对当前人口分布图绘制不够精确、分布状况偏离实际等问题,基于全国第二次土地利用调查数据和NPP/VIIRS夜间灯光数据,以大连市为例,结合该市128个典型采样点的实测人口数据,分别构建0. 5km×0. 5km栅格的人口空间化模型,以县(区)为验证单元,比较两种方法模拟人口分布的优缺点。结果显示,基于夜间灯光数据的人口分布在人口密集的城镇具有较高的显著性,结合土地利用数据模拟得到的乡村人口分布会更准确,两种数据与实际人口的相对误差分别为0. 14和0. 18,表明两种数据能较真实地预测出城市人口数量,为绘制高精度的人口空间化分布图提供了参考。
In view of the fact that the current population distribution map was not accurate enough and the distribution status deviated from reality,Dalian City was taken as an example to combine the measured population of 128 typical sampling points in Dalian,based on the second national land use survey data and NPP/VIIRS nighttime lighting data. Data,respectively,constructed a population spatialization model of 0. 5 km× 0. 5 km grid,and used the county( district) as a verification unit to compare the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods to simulate population distribution. The results showed that the population distribution was highly significant in densely populated towns,based on nighttime lighting data. The distribution of rural populations that were combined with land use data simulations was more accurate. The relative errors between the two data and the actual population were 0. 14 and 0. 18,indicating that the two data could predict the population of the city more realistically. This paper provided a reference for the development of high-precision population spatialization maps.
引文
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