全球历史土地利用数据集中国草地数据可靠性评估
|
摘要
全球历史土地利用数据集已在全球变化研究中得到了广泛的应用,但其草地数据在区域尺度上的可靠性,尚未得到验证和评估.文章以中国学者基于历史文献重建的过去百年中国草地数据集(葛氏数据集)、过去300年中国东北地区数据集(叶氏数据集)以及1980～2015年中国遥感土地利用/覆盖数据库(CLUDs)为基准,采用趋势对比法、相对差异比值法和空间网格对比法对HYDE3.1、HYDE3.2、SAGE和PJ等全球数据集中国草地数据的可靠性进行评估.结果表明:(1)全球数据集中国历史草地数据与本国学者所重建的数据相比,不仅呈现的变化趋势完全相悖,而且绝对数量也存在巨大差异.(2)从2000年中国草地空间格局看, HYDE3.1、HYDE3.2和SAGE与CLUDs的草地数据对比,相对差异率大于60%的网格占比分别高达50.9%、52.8%和63.0%.而小于20%的网格占比分别仅为24.9%、26.7%和16.0%.(3)从东北地区过去300年草地空间动态过程看, HYDE3.2数据反映了草地空间分布呈不断扩张态势,而本国学者重建的结果则反映了该地区随土地垦殖活动的增强,草地空间分布范围日渐萎缩的特征.(4)造成上述差异的原因除全球数据集与中国区域数据集秉承不同草地概念的内涵外,主要是源于区域性不同土地利用范式而形成的不同的逻辑基础与重建方法.
引文
杜占池.1999.关于牧地的概念及其类型划分的探讨.四川草原,(2):15-18
葛全胜,戴君虎,何凡能,潘嫄,王梦麦.2008.过去300年中国土地利用、土地覆被变化与碳循环研究.中国科学D辑:地球科学,38:197-210
葛全胜,赵名茶,郑景云.2000.20世纪中国土地利用变化研究.地理学报,55:698-706
何凡能,李士成,张学珍,葛全胜,戴君虎.2012.中国传统农区过去300年耕地重建结果的对比分析.地理学报,67:1190-1200
华文剑,陈海山,李兴.2015.未来土地利用变化影响中国区域气候的数值模拟.中国科学:地球科学,45:1034-1042
贾慎修.1982.草地学.北京:中国农业出版社
李蓓蓓,方修琦,叶瑜,张学珍.2010.全球土地利用数据集精度的区域评估--以中国东北地区为例.中国科学:地球科学,40:1048-1059
李蓓蓓,方修琦,叶瑜,张学珍.2014.中国东北地区过去300年耕地开垦导致的碳收支.中国科学:地球科学,44:1987-1996
李美娇,何凡能,杨帆,李士成.2018.元代前期省域耕地面积重建.地理学报,73:832-842
李士成,张镱锂,何凡能.2015.过去百年青海和西藏耕地空间格局重建及其时空变化.地理科学进展,34:197-206
任继周,张自和.2000.草地与人类文明.草原与草坪,(1):5-9
斯佩丁.1983.草地生态学.北京:科学出版社
苏大学.2013.中国草地资源调查与地图编制.北京:中国农业大学出版社
谭见安.2008.地理辞典.北京:化学工业出版社
吴致蕾,刘峰贵,张镱锂,陈琼,周强,杨登兴.2016.清代青藏高原东北部河湟谷地林草地覆盖变化.地理科学进展,35:768-778
叶瑜,方修琦,任玉玉,张学珍,陈莉.2009.东北地区过去300年耕地覆盖变化.中国科学:地球科学,39:340-350
张宏文.2016.松嫩平原过去百年农业开垦的气候效应模拟研究.硕士学位论文.哈尔滨:哈尔滨师范大学
张利,周广胜,汲玉河,白永飞.2016.中国草地碳储量时空动态模拟研究.中国科学:地球科学,46:1392-1405
中华人民共和国农业部.2013.中国草原发展报告2011.北京:中国农业出版社
Clawson M.1979.Forests in the long sweep of American history.Science,204:1168-1174
FAO.2015.FAOSTAT.Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations,Rome,Italy
Feddema J J,Oleson K W,Bonan G B,Mearns L O,Buja L E,Meehl GA,Washington W M.2005.The importance of land-cover change in simulating future climates.Science,310:1674-1678
He F N,Li S C,Zhang X Z.2015.A spatially explicit reconstruction of forest cover in China over 1700-2000.Glob Planet Change,131:73-81
Hurtt G C,Chini L P,Frolking S,Betts R A,Feddema J,Fischer G,Fisk J P,Hibbard K,Houghton R A,Janetos A,Jones C D,Kindermann G,Kinoshita T,Klein Goldewijk K,Riahi K,Shevliakova E,Smith S,Stehfest E,Thomson A,Thornton P,van Vuuren D P,Wang Y P.2011.Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500-2100:600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions,wood harvest,and resulting secondary lands.Clim Change,109:117-161
Jin X B,Pan Q,Yang X H,Bai Q,Zhou Y K.2016.Reconstructing the historical spatial land use pattern for Jiangsu Province in mid-Qing Dynasty.J Geogr Sci,26:1689-1706
Kaplan J O,Krumhardt K M,Ellis E C,Ruddiman W F,Lemmen C,Goldewijk K K.2011.Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change.Holocene,21:775-791
Kaplan J O,Krumhardt K M,Gaillard M J,Sugita S,Trondman A K,Fyfe R,Marquer L,Mazier F,Nielsen A B.2017.Constraining the deforestation history of europe:Evaluation of historical land use scenarios with pollen-based land cover reconstructions.Land,6:91
Kaplan J O,Krumhardt K M,Zimmermann N.2009.The prehistoric and preindustrial deforestation of Europe.Quat Sci Rev,28:3016-3034
Goldewijk K K,Beusen A,Doelman J,Stehfest E.2017.Anthropogenic land use estimates for the Holocene-HYDE 3.2.Earth Syst Sci Data,9:927-953
Goldewijk K K,Beusen A,van D G,de V M.2011.The HYDE 3.1spatially explicit database of human-induced global land-use change over the past 12000 years.Glob Ecol Biogeogr,20:73-86
Goldewijk K K,Verburg P H.2013.Uncertainties in global-scale reconstructions of historical land use:An illustration using the HYDE data set.Landsc Ecol,28:861-877
Leite C C,Costa M H,Soares-Filho B S,de Barros Viana Hissa L.2012.Historical land use change and associated carbon emissions in Brazil from 1940 to 1995.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,26:GB2011
Li S C,He F N,Zhang X Z.2016.A spatially explicit reconstruction of cropland cover in China from 1661 to 1996.Reg Environ Change,16:417-428
Liu J Y,Kuang W H,Zhang Z X,Xu X L,Qin Y W,Ning J,Zhou W C,Zhang S W,Li R D,Yan C Z,Wu S X,Shi X Z,Jiang N,Yu D S,Pan X Z,Chi W F.2014.Spatiotemporal characteristics,patterns,and causes of land-use changes in China since the late 1980s.JGeogr Sci,24:195-210
Morrison K D.2013.Provincializing the Anthropocene.Seminar,676:75-80
Pongratz J,Reick C,Raddatz T,Claussen M.2008.A reconstruction of global agricultural areas and land cover for the last millennium.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,22:GB3018
Ramankutty N.2012.Global Cropland and Pasture Data from 1700-2007,available at:http://www.geog.mcgill.ca/nramankutty/Datasets/Datasets.html
Ramankutty N,Evan A T,Monfreda C,Foley J A.2008.Farming the planet:1.Geographic distribution of global agricultural lands in the year 2000.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,22:GB1003
Ramankutty N,Foley J A.1999.Estimating historical changes in global land cover:Croplands from 1700 to 1992.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,13:997-1027
Tian H Q,Banger K,Bo T,Dadhwal V K.2014.History of land use in India during 1880-2010:Large-scale land transformations reconstructed from satellite data and historical archives.Glob Planet Change,121:78-88
Vanwalleghem T,Gómez J A,Infante Amate J,González de Molina M,Vanderlinden K,Guzmán G,Laguna A,Giráldez J V.2017.Impact of historical land use and soil management change on soil erosion and agricultural sustainability during the Anthropocene.Anthropocene,17:13-29
White R P,Murray S,Rohweder M.2000.Pilot Analysis of Global Ecosystems:Grassland Ecosystems.Washington:World Resources Institute
Yang Y Y,Zhang S W,Yang J C,Chang L P,Bu K,Xing X S.2014.Areview of historical reconstruction methods of land use/land cover.JGeogr Sci,24:746-766
Ye Y,Fang X Q.2011.Spatial pattern of land cover changes across Northeast China over the past 300 years.J Historical Geography,37:408-417
Yu Z,Lu C.2018.Historical cropland expansion and abandonment in the continental U.S.during 1850 to 2016.Glob Ecol Biogeogr,27:322-333
Zhang X Z,He F N,Li S C.2013.Reconstructed cropland in the mideleventh century in the traditional agricultural area of China:Implications of comparisons among datasets.Reg Environ Change,13:969-977
葛全胜,戴君虎,何凡能,潘嫄,王梦麦.2008.过去300年中国土地利用、土地覆被变化与碳循环研究.中国科学D辑:地球科学,38:197-210
葛全胜,赵名茶,郑景云.2000.20世纪中国土地利用变化研究.地理学报,55:698-706
何凡能,李士成,张学珍,葛全胜,戴君虎.2012.中国传统农区过去300年耕地重建结果的对比分析.地理学报,67:1190-1200
华文剑,陈海山,李兴.2015.未来土地利用变化影响中国区域气候的数值模拟.中国科学:地球科学,45:1034-1042
贾慎修.1982.草地学.北京:中国农业出版社
李蓓蓓,方修琦,叶瑜,张学珍.2010.全球土地利用数据集精度的区域评估--以中国东北地区为例.中国科学:地球科学,40:1048-1059
李蓓蓓,方修琦,叶瑜,张学珍.2014.中国东北地区过去300年耕地开垦导致的碳收支.中国科学:地球科学,44:1987-1996
李美娇,何凡能,杨帆,李士成.2018.元代前期省域耕地面积重建.地理学报,73:832-842
李士成,张镱锂,何凡能.2015.过去百年青海和西藏耕地空间格局重建及其时空变化.地理科学进展,34:197-206
任继周,张自和.2000.草地与人类文明.草原与草坪,(1):5-9
斯佩丁.1983.草地生态学.北京:科学出版社
苏大学.2013.中国草地资源调查与地图编制.北京:中国农业大学出版社
谭见安.2008.地理辞典.北京:化学工业出版社
吴致蕾,刘峰贵,张镱锂,陈琼,周强,杨登兴.2016.清代青藏高原东北部河湟谷地林草地覆盖变化.地理科学进展,35:768-778
叶瑜,方修琦,任玉玉,张学珍,陈莉.2009.东北地区过去300年耕地覆盖变化.中国科学:地球科学,39:340-350
张宏文.2016.松嫩平原过去百年农业开垦的气候效应模拟研究.硕士学位论文.哈尔滨:哈尔滨师范大学
张利,周广胜,汲玉河,白永飞.2016.中国草地碳储量时空动态模拟研究.中国科学:地球科学,46:1392-1405
中华人民共和国农业部.2013.中国草原发展报告2011.北京:中国农业出版社
Clawson M.1979.Forests in the long sweep of American history.Science,204:1168-1174
FAO.2015.FAOSTAT.Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations,Rome,Italy
Feddema J J,Oleson K W,Bonan G B,Mearns L O,Buja L E,Meehl GA,Washington W M.2005.The importance of land-cover change in simulating future climates.Science,310:1674-1678
He F N,Li S C,Zhang X Z.2015.A spatially explicit reconstruction of forest cover in China over 1700-2000.Glob Planet Change,131:73-81
Hurtt G C,Chini L P,Frolking S,Betts R A,Feddema J,Fischer G,Fisk J P,Hibbard K,Houghton R A,Janetos A,Jones C D,Kindermann G,Kinoshita T,Klein Goldewijk K,Riahi K,Shevliakova E,Smith S,Stehfest E,Thomson A,Thornton P,van Vuuren D P,Wang Y P.2011.Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500-2100:600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions,wood harvest,and resulting secondary lands.Clim Change,109:117-161
Jin X B,Pan Q,Yang X H,Bai Q,Zhou Y K.2016.Reconstructing the historical spatial land use pattern for Jiangsu Province in mid-Qing Dynasty.J Geogr Sci,26:1689-1706
Kaplan J O,Krumhardt K M,Ellis E C,Ruddiman W F,Lemmen C,Goldewijk K K.2011.Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change.Holocene,21:775-791
Kaplan J O,Krumhardt K M,Gaillard M J,Sugita S,Trondman A K,Fyfe R,Marquer L,Mazier F,Nielsen A B.2017.Constraining the deforestation history of europe:Evaluation of historical land use scenarios with pollen-based land cover reconstructions.Land,6:91
Kaplan J O,Krumhardt K M,Zimmermann N.2009.The prehistoric and preindustrial deforestation of Europe.Quat Sci Rev,28:3016-3034
Goldewijk K K,Beusen A,Doelman J,Stehfest E.2017.Anthropogenic land use estimates for the Holocene-HYDE 3.2.Earth Syst Sci Data,9:927-953
Goldewijk K K,Beusen A,van D G,de V M.2011.The HYDE 3.1spatially explicit database of human-induced global land-use change over the past 12000 years.Glob Ecol Biogeogr,20:73-86
Goldewijk K K,Verburg P H.2013.Uncertainties in global-scale reconstructions of historical land use:An illustration using the HYDE data set.Landsc Ecol,28:861-877
Leite C C,Costa M H,Soares-Filho B S,de Barros Viana Hissa L.2012.Historical land use change and associated carbon emissions in Brazil from 1940 to 1995.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,26:GB2011
Li S C,He F N,Zhang X Z.2016.A spatially explicit reconstruction of cropland cover in China from 1661 to 1996.Reg Environ Change,16:417-428
Liu J Y,Kuang W H,Zhang Z X,Xu X L,Qin Y W,Ning J,Zhou W C,Zhang S W,Li R D,Yan C Z,Wu S X,Shi X Z,Jiang N,Yu D S,Pan X Z,Chi W F.2014.Spatiotemporal characteristics,patterns,and causes of land-use changes in China since the late 1980s.JGeogr Sci,24:195-210
Morrison K D.2013.Provincializing the Anthropocene.Seminar,676:75-80
Pongratz J,Reick C,Raddatz T,Claussen M.2008.A reconstruction of global agricultural areas and land cover for the last millennium.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,22:GB3018
Ramankutty N.2012.Global Cropland and Pasture Data from 1700-2007,available at:http://www.geog.mcgill.ca/nramankutty/Datasets/Datasets.html
Ramankutty N,Evan A T,Monfreda C,Foley J A.2008.Farming the planet:1.Geographic distribution of global agricultural lands in the year 2000.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,22:GB1003
Ramankutty N,Foley J A.1999.Estimating historical changes in global land cover:Croplands from 1700 to 1992.Glob Biogeochem Cycle,13:997-1027
Tian H Q,Banger K,Bo T,Dadhwal V K.2014.History of land use in India during 1880-2010:Large-scale land transformations reconstructed from satellite data and historical archives.Glob Planet Change,121:78-88
Vanwalleghem T,Gómez J A,Infante Amate J,González de Molina M,Vanderlinden K,Guzmán G,Laguna A,Giráldez J V.2017.Impact of historical land use and soil management change on soil erosion and agricultural sustainability during the Anthropocene.Anthropocene,17:13-29
White R P,Murray S,Rohweder M.2000.Pilot Analysis of Global Ecosystems:Grassland Ecosystems.Washington:World Resources Institute
Yang Y Y,Zhang S W,Yang J C,Chang L P,Bu K,Xing X S.2014.Areview of historical reconstruction methods of land use/land cover.JGeogr Sci,24:746-766
Ye Y,Fang X Q.2011.Spatial pattern of land cover changes across Northeast China over the past 300 years.J Historical Geography,37:408-417
Yu Z,Lu C.2018.Historical cropland expansion and abandonment in the continental U.S.during 1850 to 2016.Glob Ecol Biogeogr,27:322-333
Zhang X Z,He F N,Li S C.2013.Reconstructed cropland in the mideleventh century in the traditional agricultural area of China:Implications of comparisons among datasets.Reg Environ Change,13:969-977