摘要
文章以天津市武清区为研究对象,基于建设用地压力状态和耕地开发压力状态两方面开展国土资源承载力基础评价,围绕水资源、生态条件、环境质量三个方面开展国土资源承载力修正评价,并根据研究结果,对武清区国土资源环境承载力状态开展了预警研究。结果表明:武清区建设用地、耕地开发压力超载区域均较少;就全区而言,建设用地压力状态呈可承载状态,耕地开发压力状态处于临界状态;区内杨村街等10个乡镇国土资源环境承载状态为超载,其他乡镇为可承载状态。通过预警分析,水资源承载指数为武清区的短板要素,大气环境质量指数、氨氮入河量等指标为武清区的限制性要素。
This paper takes Wuqing district of Tianjin as the research object, and carries out the basic evaluation of land and resources carrying capacity based on the pressure state of construction land and the pressure state of cultivated land development. Also, the paper carries out revised evaluation of bearing capacity of land resources around water resources, ecological conditions and environmental quality. Based on the research results, an early warning study is carried out on the environmental carrying capacity of land and resources in Wuqing district. The results show that: there are few pressure overload areas for construction land and cultivated land development in Wuqing district; for the whole area, the pressure state of construction land is in a loadable state, and the pressure state of cultivated land development is in a critical state; 10 townships includes Yangcun Street in the district, the state of land and resources environment is overloaded, while other townships are in a loadable state. Through early warning analysis, the water resources carrying index is the short-board element of Wuqing District, and the indicators of atmospheric environmental quality index and ammonianitrogen inflow are the restrictive elements of Wuqing District.
引文
[1]温亮,游珍,林裕梅,等.基于层次分析法的土地资源承载力评价:以宁国市为例[J].中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(3):1-6.
[2]朱国宏.关于中国土地资源人口承载力问题的思考[J].中国人口·资源与环境,1996(1):22-26.
[3]刘毅华.我国耕地数量变化研究的回顾:进展及问题[J].土壤,2003,35(3):193-197,215.
[4]岳文泽,姚赫男,郑娟尔.基于生态敏感性的土地人口承载力研究:以杭州市为例[J].中国国土资源经济,2013,26(8):52-56.
[5]刘东,封志明,杨艳昭,等.中国粮食生产发展特征及土地资源承载力空间格局现状[J].农业工程学报,2011,27(7):1-6,398.
[6]卢必慧.基于多指标体系的临安市土地资源承载力综合评价研究[D].杭州:浙江大学,2014.
[7]龙腾锐,姜文超.水资源(环境)承载力的研究进展[J].水科学进展,2003,14(2):249-253.
[8]张乖利,颜君.广州市城市土地人口承载力实证研究[J].中国国土资源经济,2017,30(6):29-32.
[9]姜秋香,付强,王子龙.基于粒子群优化投影寻踪模型的区域土地资源承载力综合评价[J].农业工程学报,2011,27(11):319-324.
[10]刘毅,陈吉宁,何炜琪.城市总体规划环境影响评价方法[J].环境科学学报,2008,28(6):1249-1255.
[11]韩书成,濮励杰.江苏土地综合承载能力空间分异研究[J].水土保持通报,2009,29(5):146-150.
[12]郭欢欢,李波,侯鹰.基于土地功能的土地资源承载力研究:以北京市海淀区为例[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2011,47(4):424-427.
[13]徐勇,张雪飞,周侃,等.资源环境承载能力预警的超载成因分析方法及应用[J].地理科学进展,2017,36(3):277-285.
[14]ROBERT B.GIBSON.Beyond the pillars:sustainability assessment as a framework for effective integration of social,economic and ecological considerations in significant decision-making[J].Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management,2006,8(3):259-280.
[15]PARRIS T M,KATES R W.Characterizing a sustainability tran sition:goals,targets,trends,and driving force[J].Annual Review of Environment and Resources,2003,28(13):1-13,28.
[16]JENNY POPE,ANGUS MORRISON-SAUNDERS,DAVID ANNANDALE.Applying sustainability assessment models[J].Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal,2005,23(4):293-302.
[17]天津市武清区统计局.2014年武清区统计年鉴[M].天津:天津市武清区统计局出版社,2014.
[18]毕婉君.中山市土地资源环境承载力预警机制分析[J].当代经济,2016(11):70-72.