国防生物科技技术预见应用研究
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摘要
国防生物科技是关系未来国防和军队建设的战略性科技领域,开展国防生物科技技术预见是科学制定国防生物科技发展战略的重要前提和基础。本研究采用技术预见研究方法,首次通过情报监测和专家咨询遴选候选技术领域及相关关键技术,并运用层次分析法构建国防生物科技技术预见指标体系,对国内军事专家、战略专家、勤务专家以及各个领域的生物科技专家进行问卷调查,对我国国防生物科技未来发展的技术领域和关键技术进行综合评价。
National defense biotechnology is a strategic scientific and technological field related to future national defense and military construction. National defense biotechnology foresight is an important prerequisite and foundation for scientific formulation of national defense biotechnology development strategy. In this study, technology foresight research method was used to select candidate technology fields and related key technologies for the first time through intelligence monitoring and expert consultation. An evaluation index system of defense biotechnology foresight was constructed by using analytic hierarchy process. A questionnaire survey was conducted among domestic military experts, strategic experts,health service experts and biotechnology experts in various fields to investigate the future of defense biotechnology in China. Comprehensive evaluation of the technological fields and key technologies were developed.
National defense biotechnology is a strategic scientific and technological field related to future national defense and military construction. National defense biotechnology foresight is an important prerequisite and foundation for scientific formulation of national defense biotechnology development strategy. In this study, technology foresight research method was used to select candidate technology fields and related key technologies for the first time through intelligence monitoring and expert consultation. An evaluation index system of defense biotechnology foresight was constructed by using analytic hierarchy process. A questionnaire survey was conducted among domestic military experts, strategic experts,health service experts and biotechnology experts in various fields to investigate the future of defense biotechnology in China. Comprehensive evaluation of the technological fields and key technologies were developed.
引文
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[3]文双发,范荣华,魏江,胡翊珊.科技进步与新军事革命[J].国际资料信息, 2008(4):40-43.
[4]贺福初.为强军兴国凝聚强大科技创新力量[N].解放军报, 2014-11-19(007).
[5]贺福初,高福锁.大力推动军事医学科技自主创新[J].求是, 2011(20):57-59.
[6]高卉杰,王达,李正风.技术预见理论、方法与实践研究综述[J].中国管理信息化, 2018, 21(17):78-82.
[7]杨耀武.技术预见的基本理念[J].世界科学, 2003,(4):61-64.
[8]徐苑琳,孟繁芸.推进科技成果转化的技术预见研究[J].科学管理研究, 2018, 36(5):42-45.
[9]吴曙霞,雷霆,武士华.基于生物国防的关键生物技术预见研究[J].中国软科学, 2008,(9):14-19.
[10] SOOD A, TELLIS G J. Demystifying Disruption:A New Model for Understanding and Predicting Disruptive Technologies[J]. Marketing Science, 2011, 30(2):339-354.
[11] JOLY P B. Regulatory science:a divergent form of internationalisation? The evaluation of biotechnology in the United States and Europe[J]. Revue Francaise de Sociologie. 2016, 57(3):443-472.
[12] LI B B, GAN L, OWENS G, et al. New Nano-Biomaterials for the Removal of Malachite Green from Aqueous Solution via a Response Surface Methodology[J]. Water Research, 2018, 146:55-66.
[13] GARCIA-CACERES C, BALLAND E. Role of Astrocytes, Microglia, and Tanycytes in Brain Control of Systemic Metabolism[J]. Nature Neuroscience. 2019:22(1):7-14.
[2]吴军,陈炜,曾华锋.国防科学技术发展与新军事革命的关系初探[J].国防科技, 2006(1):17-20.
[3]文双发,范荣华,魏江,胡翊珊.科技进步与新军事革命[J].国际资料信息, 2008(4):40-43.
[4]贺福初.为强军兴国凝聚强大科技创新力量[N].解放军报, 2014-11-19(007).
[5]贺福初,高福锁.大力推动军事医学科技自主创新[J].求是, 2011(20):57-59.
[6]高卉杰,王达,李正风.技术预见理论、方法与实践研究综述[J].中国管理信息化, 2018, 21(17):78-82.
[7]杨耀武.技术预见的基本理念[J].世界科学, 2003,(4):61-64.
[8]徐苑琳,孟繁芸.推进科技成果转化的技术预见研究[J].科学管理研究, 2018, 36(5):42-45.
[9]吴曙霞,雷霆,武士华.基于生物国防的关键生物技术预见研究[J].中国软科学, 2008,(9):14-19.
[10] SOOD A, TELLIS G J. Demystifying Disruption:A New Model for Understanding and Predicting Disruptive Technologies[J]. Marketing Science, 2011, 30(2):339-354.
[11] JOLY P B. Regulatory science:a divergent form of internationalisation? The evaluation of biotechnology in the United States and Europe[J]. Revue Francaise de Sociologie. 2016, 57(3):443-472.
[12] LI B B, GAN L, OWENS G, et al. New Nano-Biomaterials for the Removal of Malachite Green from Aqueous Solution via a Response Surface Methodology[J]. Water Research, 2018, 146:55-66.
[13] GARCIA-CACERES C, BALLAND E. Role of Astrocytes, Microglia, and Tanycytes in Brain Control of Systemic Metabolism[J]. Nature Neuroscience. 2019:22(1):7-14.