基于计划行为理论的农村居民点整理农户意愿影响因素研究
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摘要
以实证调研数据为基础,以计划行为理论为支撑,建立农户禀赋、政策认知、预期收益等24项指标的影响因素集,运用有序Logit模型,对南京六合区横梁街道农村居民点整理中农户意愿影响因素进行研究分析.结果表明:24.89%的农户愿意进行农村居民点整理;行为态度、主观规范、感知行为控制都对农村居民点整理农户意愿有显著影响,其中,预期提高收入、改善居住条件、改善出行交通、改善环境卫生条件,国家政策鼓励、亲友支持,宅基地面积、文化程度、政策评价与执行效率均对农户意愿有着显著正向影响.建议将培训就业、农民安居融入到整理重要环节中,逐步提升农户行为态度与感知行为控制能力,合理发挥主观规范作用,提高农民对农村居民点整理的意愿.
This paper based on empirical research data of famers and the theory of planned behavior. Establish the influence factors concluding the information of household endowments, policy cognition,expected return as well as the willingness of rural residential land consolidation. The ordered Logit model are implemented in this research in order to analyze the influence factors and the influence direction of famers' willingness in rural residential land consolidation in Hengliang Subdistrict, Luhe District, Nanjing. The results showed that: 24.89% of farmers are willing to join the rural residential land consolidation,21.52% of farmers don't want to join, 53.59% of farmers think it doesn't matter; Behavioral attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioral control have a significant impact on famers' willingness, in this one, revenue increase, the improvement of living conditions, the travel traffic and environmental health conditions, national encouragement policy, relatives and friends 'support, the cultural degree, land area of overall evaluation, policy total evaluation and policy execution efficiency have a significant positive impact on farmers willingness. This paper suggested, employment training farmers ' comfortable housing should be arranged into the important step of the rural residential land consolidation, to gradually improve farmers ' behavioral attitude and perceived behavior control ability, play a role of subjective norms rationally to improve farmers' willingness.
This paper based on empirical research data of famers and the theory of planned behavior. Establish the influence factors concluding the information of household endowments, policy cognition,expected return as well as the willingness of rural residential land consolidation. The ordered Logit model are implemented in this research in order to analyze the influence factors and the influence direction of famers' willingness in rural residential land consolidation in Hengliang Subdistrict, Luhe District, Nanjing. The results showed that: 24.89% of farmers are willing to join the rural residential land consolidation,21.52% of farmers don't want to join, 53.59% of farmers think it doesn't matter; Behavioral attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioral control have a significant impact on famers' willingness, in this one, revenue increase, the improvement of living conditions, the travel traffic and environmental health conditions, national encouragement policy, relatives and friends 'support, the cultural degree, land area of overall evaluation, policy total evaluation and policy execution efficiency have a significant positive impact on farmers willingness. This paper suggested, employment training farmers ' comfortable housing should be arranged into the important step of the rural residential land consolidation, to gradually improve farmers ' behavioral attitude and perceived behavior control ability, play a role of subjective norms rationally to improve farmers' willingness.
引文
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[12]CIALDINI R B,KALLGREN C A,RENO R R.A focus theory of normative conduct:A theoretical refinement and reevaluation of the role of norms in human behavior[J].Advances in Experimental Social Psychology,1991,24(1):201-234.
[13]KRAFT P,RISE J,SUTTON S,et al.Perceived difficulty in the theory of planned behaviour:perceived behavioural control or affective attitude[J].British Journal of Social Psychology,2005,44(3):479-496.
[14]KAHNEMAN D,TVERSKY A.Prospect Theory:An Analysis of Decision under Risk[J].Econometrica,1979,47(2):263-291.
[15]TVERSKY A,KAHNEMAN D.The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice.[J].Science,1981,211:453-458.
[16]郑思齐,符育明,刘洪玉.利用排序多元Logit模型研究城市居民的居住区位选择[J].地理科学进展,2004,23(5):86-93.
[17]付文凤,郭杰,欧名豪,等.成本效益、政策认知与农村居民点整理农户补偿满意度研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):138-145.
[18]魏凤,于丽卫.天津市农户宅基地换房意愿影响因素的实证分析---基于3个区县521户的调查数据[J].中国土地科学,2013(7):34-40.
[19]邵子南,陈江龙,叶欠,等.基于农户调查的农村居民点整理意愿及影响因素分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2013,22(9):1117-1122.
[20]郭杰,韩文静,欧名豪.政府激励对农村居民点整理的农户意愿影响研究[J].南京农业大学学报:社会科学版,2015(4):114-121.
[2]张正峰,赵伟.农村居民点整理潜力内涵与评价指标体系[J].经济地理,2007,27(1):137-140.
[3]高燕,叶艳妹.农村居民点用地整理的适宜性评价指标体系及方法研究[J].土壤,2004,36(4):651-658.
[4]谷晓坤,陈百明,代兵.经济发达区农村居民点整理驱动力与模式-----以浙江省嵊州市为例[J].自然资源学报,2007,22(5):701-708.
[5]Pacione M.Where will the people goassessing the new settlement option for the United Kingdom[J].Progress in Planning,2004,62(2):73-129.
[6]张娟锋,任超群,刘洪玉,等.基于四维驱动力的农村居民点整理模式分析---以北京市通州区为例[J].地理研究,2012,31(10):1815-1824.
[7]赵茜宇,张占录.农村居民点整理中的利益分配---以陕西省东樊村为例[J].资源科学,2015,37(7):1376-1383.
[8]WASILEWSKI A,KRUKOWSKI K.Land Conversion for Suburban Housing:A Study of Urbanization Around Warsaw and Olsztyn,Poland[J].Environmental Management,2004,34(2):291-303.
[9]郭杰,韩文静,欧名豪.政府激励对农村居民点整理的农户意愿影响研究[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015(4):114-121.
[10]MIRANDA D,CRECENTE R M,ALVAREZ F.Land consolidation in inland rural Galicia,N.W.Spain,since1950:An example of the formulation and use of questions,criteria a nd indicators for evaluation of rural development policies[J].Land Use Policy,2006,23:511-520.
[11]李子联.江苏省土地整理与农民增收实证研究[J].经济地理,2012,32(11):120-125.
[12]CIALDINI R B,KALLGREN C A,RENO R R.A focus theory of normative conduct:A theoretical refinement and reevaluation of the role of norms in human behavior[J].Advances in Experimental Social Psychology,1991,24(1):201-234.
[13]KRAFT P,RISE J,SUTTON S,et al.Perceived difficulty in the theory of planned behaviour:perceived behavioural control or affective attitude[J].British Journal of Social Psychology,2005,44(3):479-496.
[14]KAHNEMAN D,TVERSKY A.Prospect Theory:An Analysis of Decision under Risk[J].Econometrica,1979,47(2):263-291.
[15]TVERSKY A,KAHNEMAN D.The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice.[J].Science,1981,211:453-458.
[16]郑思齐,符育明,刘洪玉.利用排序多元Logit模型研究城市居民的居住区位选择[J].地理科学进展,2004,23(5):86-93.
[17]付文凤,郭杰,欧名豪,等.成本效益、政策认知与农村居民点整理农户补偿满意度研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(5):138-145.
[18]魏凤,于丽卫.天津市农户宅基地换房意愿影响因素的实证分析---基于3个区县521户的调查数据[J].中国土地科学,2013(7):34-40.
[19]邵子南,陈江龙,叶欠,等.基于农户调查的农村居民点整理意愿及影响因素分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2013,22(9):1117-1122.
[20]郭杰,韩文静,欧名豪.政府激励对农村居民点整理的农户意愿影响研究[J].南京农业大学学报:社会科学版,2015(4):114-121.