易地扶贫搬迁农户意愿及影响因素研究——一个基于计划行为理论的解释架构
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摘要
以计划行为理论(TPB)为依据,利用陕西省安康市256个农户调查数据,使用因子分析方法和结构方程模型(SEM)对易地扶贫搬迁农户意愿的影响因素进行了系统分析。研究表明:农户的行为态度、主观规范对行为意愿有显著的正影响;农户易地扶贫搬迁的决策理性尚处在"生存理性"向"价值理性"的过渡阶段,经济理性是促使农户搬迁的主要动机;家人意见、已搬迁户意见、邻里和村干部意见对农户易地扶贫搬迁决策具有显著的正影响。
Factor analysis and structural equation model were used to analyze the factors which may pose effects on household's willingness of poverty alleviation relocation based on the theory of planned behavior and 256 questionnaires in Ankang,Shaanxi.Results clearly indicate that: attitude toward the behavior and subject norm of the farmers have significant impact on their implement intention.Farmer decision-making rationality of poverty alleviation relocation still remains in the transition phase of"survival rationality"to"value rationality"; economic rationality is the main motive to promote famer's relocation.The views of family,relocated households,neighborhoods and village carders have positive impacts on the farmers' poverty alleviation relocation decisions.
Factor analysis and structural equation model were used to analyze the factors which may pose effects on household's willingness of poverty alleviation relocation based on the theory of planned behavior and 256 questionnaires in Ankang,Shaanxi.Results clearly indicate that: attitude toward the behavior and subject norm of the farmers have significant impact on their implement intention.Farmer decision-making rationality of poverty alleviation relocation still remains in the transition phase of"survival rationality"to"value rationality"; economic rationality is the main motive to promote famer's relocation.The views of family,relocated households,neighborhoods and village carders have positive impacts on the farmers' poverty alleviation relocation decisions.
引文
[1]国家发展改革委员会.全国易地扶贫搬迁年度报告(2017)[R].北京:人民出版社,2017:257-258.
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[10]段文婷,江光荣.计划行为理论述评[J].心理科学进展,2008,16(2):315-320.
[11]万亚胜,程久苗,吴九兴,等.基于计划行为理论的农户宅基地退出意愿与退出行为差异研究[J].资源科学,2017,39(7):1281-1290.
[12]何得桂,党国英.陕南避灾移民搬迁中的社会排斥机制研究[J].社会科学战线,2012(12):163-168.
[13]Kraft P,Rise J,Sutton S,et al. Perceived difficulty in the theory of planned behaviour:perceived behavioural control or affective attitude?[J]. British Journal of Social Psychology,2005,44(3):479-496.
[14]荣泰生. AMOS与研究方法[M].重庆:重庆大学出版社,2009:71-105.
[15]何得桂,党国英,张正芳.精准扶贫与基层治理:移民搬迁中的非机构性制约[J].西北人口,2016,37(6):55-61.
[16][美]詹姆斯·C.斯科特.国家的视角-那些试图改善人类状况的项目是如何失败的[M].王晓毅,译.北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004:6.
[17]卢现祥.为什么中国会出现制度“软化”?-基于新制度经济学的视角[J].经济学动态,2011(9):44-48.
[2]李博,左停.遭遇搬迁:精准扶贫视角下扶贫移民搬迁政策执行逻辑的探讨-以陕南王村为例[J].中国农业大学学报(社会科学版),2016,33(2):25-31.
[3]冯雪红,聂君.宁夏回族生态移民迁移意愿与迁移行为调查分析[J].兰州大学学报(社会科学版),2013,41(6):53-59.
[4]孙田野,马才学,郭洁雯.基于Logit模型的非自愿性移民迁徙分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(1):110-114.
[5]唐宏,张新焕,杨德刚.农户生态移民意愿及影响因素研究-基于新疆三工河流域的农户调查[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(10):1658-1669.
[6]盛济川,梁爽,施国庆.中国农村非自愿性移民自愿迁徙的经济分析[J].西北人口,2009,30(3):8-13.
[7]王宁.劳动力迁移动机的三个理论视角及其整合[J].广西民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2016,38(1):36-44.
[8]Zhang K H,Song S F. Rural-urban migration and urbanization in China:Evidence from time-series and cross-section analyses[J]. China Economic Review,2003(14):386-400.
[9]刘毅,田小芳,孙岩.关系型社会资本对农村被动移民迁移意愿的影响研究[J].大连理工大学学报(社会科学版),2014,35(2):27-33.
[10]段文婷,江光荣.计划行为理论述评[J].心理科学进展,2008,16(2):315-320.
[11]万亚胜,程久苗,吴九兴,等.基于计划行为理论的农户宅基地退出意愿与退出行为差异研究[J].资源科学,2017,39(7):1281-1290.
[12]何得桂,党国英.陕南避灾移民搬迁中的社会排斥机制研究[J].社会科学战线,2012(12):163-168.
[13]Kraft P,Rise J,Sutton S,et al. Perceived difficulty in the theory of planned behaviour:perceived behavioural control or affective attitude?[J]. British Journal of Social Psychology,2005,44(3):479-496.
[14]荣泰生. AMOS与研究方法[M].重庆:重庆大学出版社,2009:71-105.
[15]何得桂,党国英,张正芳.精准扶贫与基层治理:移民搬迁中的非机构性制约[J].西北人口,2016,37(6):55-61.
[16][美]詹姆斯·C.斯科特.国家的视角-那些试图改善人类状况的项目是如何失败的[M].王晓毅,译.北京:社会科学文献出版社,2004:6.
[17]卢现祥.为什么中国会出现制度“软化”?-基于新制度经济学的视角[J].经济学动态,2011(9):44-48.