摘要
农村宅基地是农民安身立命之所,宅基地制度改革不可避免地带来社会风险,如何让改革的风险最小化红利最大化,是该项制度改革成功的关键,因此研究农村宅基地使用权流转的社会风险问题具有重要的现实意义。本文首先对农村宅基地流转的社会风险进行界定,构建农户个体和农民集体两个层次的社会风险预警体系,然后运用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,对广东省农村宅基地流转的社会风险进行实证评估,得出农户个体风险处于"重警"状态,农民集体风险处于"中警"状态。针对研究结果,提出应重点关注宅基地对家庭重要性、村集体决策透明度等具体微观的敏感性指标带来的社会风险问题。
Rural homestead is farmers' vital assets that are as precious as farmers' lives. Homestead system reform will inevitably bring about social risk,so the key to the reform is how to minimize risk and maximize profit. Therefore,it is necessary to explore the social risk problem of rural homestead transfer( RHT). The paper,based on defining the social risk of RHT,set up early warning indicators on the two layers of farmer individuals and farmer collectives,then analyzed survey data of 1216 farmer household in Guangdong province and assessed the social risk of RHT by employing methods of analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. The results showed that:( 1) individual social risk of RHT was at a heavy alarm level,which meant most farmer individuals resisted the RHT;( 2) collective social risk of RHT was at a moderate alarm level,which illustrated farmer collectives generally supported RHT. According to the results,close attention should be paid to the risk caused by some sensitive indicators like the importance of rural homestead for farmer household,the transparency of decision-making by farmer collective.
引文
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