错误规避视角下生鲜农产品物流配送方案的决策分析
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摘要
在生鲜农产品物流配送过程中,时间不当、成本过高、损耗过多、碳排放过高等现象都属于错误.减少物流配送过程中的错误对提高生鲜农产品的物流配送效率具有重要意义.从错误规避这一视角出发,在给出相关概念与假设的基础上,按照建立判断规则、构建错误函数、方案排序与选优的步骤构建一种关于生鲜农产品物流配送方案的选择方法.方法用"错误"对生鲜农产品物流配送过程中可能存在时间不当、成本过高、损耗过多、碳排放过高的问题进行统一描述,实现对不同方面决策信息的融合,能够有效筛选和剔除不可行方案,兼顾整体发展和协调发展.方法的应用有利于进一步提高生鲜农产品物流配送方案选择的科学性.
The problems of improper time, high cost, excessive loss and high carbon dioxide emissions are all errors in logistics and distribution of the fresh agricultural products. It is important to reduce the errors in logistics and distribution. It can improve the efficiency of logistics and distribution for fresh agricultural products. A new selection method of logistics and distribution plan for fresh agricultural products is proposed in the perspective of error. It is based on the relevant concepts and assumptions. It includes the steps of establishing judgement rules, constructing error functions, ranking and selection of the alternatives. The new method uses the "error" to describe the problems in logistics and distribution of the fresh agricultural products: improper time, high cost, excessive loss and high carbon dioxide emissions. It achieves the integration of different decision-making information. It can effectively select and eliminate infeasible plans, and balance the overall development and coordinated development.Thus, the method can effectively improve the scientificity of the logistics and distribution plan for fresh agricultural products.
The problems of improper time, high cost, excessive loss and high carbon dioxide emissions are all errors in logistics and distribution of the fresh agricultural products. It is important to reduce the errors in logistics and distribution. It can improve the efficiency of logistics and distribution for fresh agricultural products. A new selection method of logistics and distribution plan for fresh agricultural products is proposed in the perspective of error. It is based on the relevant concepts and assumptions. It includes the steps of establishing judgement rules, constructing error functions, ranking and selection of the alternatives. The new method uses the "error" to describe the problems in logistics and distribution of the fresh agricultural products: improper time, high cost, excessive loss and high carbon dioxide emissions. It achieves the integration of different decision-making information. It can effectively select and eliminate infeasible plans, and balance the overall development and coordinated development.Thus, the method can effectively improve the scientificity of the logistics and distribution plan for fresh agricultural products.
引文
[1] Liu J, Ke X. Improvement in logistics of fresh agricultural products[J] Journal of System and Management Science, 2012, 2(2):36-45
[2] Ahumada O, Villobos J R, Mason A N. Tactical planning of the production and distribution of fresh agricultural products under uncertainty[J]. Agricultural Systems, 2012, 112(13):17-26.
[3]林略,杨书萍,但斌.时间约束下鲜活农产品三级供应链协调[J].中国管理科学,2011, 19(3):55-62.
[4]苏菊宁,刘晨光,殷勇,等.基于时间可控和随机损失的生鲜农产品供应链协调[J].运筹与管理,2015,24(5):34-43.
[5]邵举平,曹倩,沈敏燕,等.生鲜农产品配送中带时窗的VRP模型与算法[J].工业工程与管理,2015,20(1):122-127.
[6]王婧,陈旭.考虑流通损耗和期权合同的生鲜农产品供应链管理策略研究[J].预测,2011, 30(5):42-47.
[7] Zhang S, Hu Q, Wang D. Research of Fresh Agricultural Products Logistics Vehicle Optimization[J].International Journal of Intelligent Information Processing, 2011, 2(2):45-59.
[8] Ji Y, Yang H, Chen M. Logistics network configuration for fresh agricultural products[C]//Control and Decision Conference IEEE, 2017:5724-5727.
[9] Zou Cl, Xiao H, Zhang W. Research on optimization of fresh agricultural products distribution path under time window[J].Journal of Residuals Science&Technology, 2016, 13(7):2051-2055.
[10]张文峰,梁凯豪.生鲜农产品冷链物流网络节点和配送的优化[J].系统工程,2017, 35(1):119-123.
[11]王永琴,周叶,张荣.考虑碳排放的农产品多级冷链物流网络均衡模型研究[J].北京交通大学学报(社会科学版),2017, 16(3):99-107.
[12]孙曦,杨为民.低碳经济环境下农产品运输与配送问题研究[J].江苏农业科学,2014, 42(4):392-395.
[13]郭开仲,张式强.消错学引论[M].广州:华南理工大学出版社,1995.
[14]郭开仲.错误系统[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.
[15]黄灝然,郭开仲,郑琦.错误综合评价法的研究与应用[J].中国管理科学,2014,22(4):119-123.
[16]刘世勇,郭开仲,孙东川.管理科学中的一个创新性研究——错误理论的提出、进展和展望[J].管理学报,2010, 7(12):1749-1758.
[17] Liao L P, Guo K Z, Yao L X. Study on error system structure analysis and substitution transformation[J]. Advances in Modelling:A General Mathematics, 2012, 49(1):38-47.
[18]悯惜琳.错误矩阵方程[M].北京:科学出版社,2012:1-8.
[19] Huang H, Cai K. A method of fuzzy multiple attribute decision making based on the erroreliminating theory[J]. Journal of Intelligent&Fuzzy Systems, 2016, 31(4):2119-2127.
[20]吴忠和,陈宏,赵千,等.时间约束下鲜活农产品供应链应急协调契约[J].系统管理学报,2014, 23(1):49-56.
[21]杨亚,范体军,张磊.新鲜度信息不对称下生鲜农产品供应链协调[J].中国管理科学,2016, 24(9):147-155.
[22]王磊,但斌.考虑消费者效用的生鲜农产品供应链保鲜激励机制研究[J].管理工程学报,2015, 29(1):200-206.
[23]吴忠和,陈宏,梁翠莲.时间约束下不对称信息鲜活农产品供应链应对突发事件协调模型[J].中国管理科学,2015, 23(6):126-134.
[24]王卿,尤建新.基于ISO14064标准的制造业绿色物流碳排查与碳排放KPI评价体系研究[C]//2011年第二届管理科学与工程国际学术研讨会,2011:252-258.
[25] Herra F, Martinez L. A 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic representation model for computing with words[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, 2000, 8(6):746-752.
[2] Ahumada O, Villobos J R, Mason A N. Tactical planning of the production and distribution of fresh agricultural products under uncertainty[J]. Agricultural Systems, 2012, 112(13):17-26.
[3]林略,杨书萍,但斌.时间约束下鲜活农产品三级供应链协调[J].中国管理科学,2011, 19(3):55-62.
[4]苏菊宁,刘晨光,殷勇,等.基于时间可控和随机损失的生鲜农产品供应链协调[J].运筹与管理,2015,24(5):34-43.
[5]邵举平,曹倩,沈敏燕,等.生鲜农产品配送中带时窗的VRP模型与算法[J].工业工程与管理,2015,20(1):122-127.
[6]王婧,陈旭.考虑流通损耗和期权合同的生鲜农产品供应链管理策略研究[J].预测,2011, 30(5):42-47.
[7] Zhang S, Hu Q, Wang D. Research of Fresh Agricultural Products Logistics Vehicle Optimization[J].International Journal of Intelligent Information Processing, 2011, 2(2):45-59.
[8] Ji Y, Yang H, Chen M. Logistics network configuration for fresh agricultural products[C]//Control and Decision Conference IEEE, 2017:5724-5727.
[9] Zou Cl, Xiao H, Zhang W. Research on optimization of fresh agricultural products distribution path under time window[J].Journal of Residuals Science&Technology, 2016, 13(7):2051-2055.
[10]张文峰,梁凯豪.生鲜农产品冷链物流网络节点和配送的优化[J].系统工程,2017, 35(1):119-123.
[11]王永琴,周叶,张荣.考虑碳排放的农产品多级冷链物流网络均衡模型研究[J].北京交通大学学报(社会科学版),2017, 16(3):99-107.
[12]孙曦,杨为民.低碳经济环境下农产品运输与配送问题研究[J].江苏农业科学,2014, 42(4):392-395.
[13]郭开仲,张式强.消错学引论[M].广州:华南理工大学出版社,1995.
[14]郭开仲.错误系统[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.
[15]黄灝然,郭开仲,郑琦.错误综合评价法的研究与应用[J].中国管理科学,2014,22(4):119-123.
[16]刘世勇,郭开仲,孙东川.管理科学中的一个创新性研究——错误理论的提出、进展和展望[J].管理学报,2010, 7(12):1749-1758.
[17] Liao L P, Guo K Z, Yao L X. Study on error system structure analysis and substitution transformation[J]. Advances in Modelling:A General Mathematics, 2012, 49(1):38-47.
[18]悯惜琳.错误矩阵方程[M].北京:科学出版社,2012:1-8.
[19] Huang H, Cai K. A method of fuzzy multiple attribute decision making based on the erroreliminating theory[J]. Journal of Intelligent&Fuzzy Systems, 2016, 31(4):2119-2127.
[20]吴忠和,陈宏,赵千,等.时间约束下鲜活农产品供应链应急协调契约[J].系统管理学报,2014, 23(1):49-56.
[21]杨亚,范体军,张磊.新鲜度信息不对称下生鲜农产品供应链协调[J].中国管理科学,2016, 24(9):147-155.
[22]王磊,但斌.考虑消费者效用的生鲜农产品供应链保鲜激励机制研究[J].管理工程学报,2015, 29(1):200-206.
[23]吴忠和,陈宏,梁翠莲.时间约束下不对称信息鲜活农产品供应链应对突发事件协调模型[J].中国管理科学,2015, 23(6):126-134.
[24]王卿,尤建新.基于ISO14064标准的制造业绿色物流碳排查与碳排放KPI评价体系研究[C]//2011年第二届管理科学与工程国际学术研讨会,2011:252-258.
[25] Herra F, Martinez L. A 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic representation model for computing with words[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, 2000, 8(6):746-752.