摘要
武器系统作战能力评估是数据结构复杂的多属性决策问题,具有重要的军事意义。针对武器系统作战能力评估时评估信息形式不统一、指标数据聚合困难以及不同性质指标无法对比分析等问题,提出了主客观相互嵌合的多属性效用评估方法,采用了基于心理活动规律的常数构造效用函数,建立了基于生产函数的指标效用聚合模型。首先,基于小组决策的方法,提出将距离优化模型与多专家评估权重有机结合,得到基于群体共识的有效指标权重。其次,考虑评估信息形式不统一、不同属性指标数据无法对比分析等问题,基于心理活动特点,构造了3类效用函数,将武器的各类数据信息统一转换为效用。最后,针对指标数据聚合困难的问题,基于生产函数的特点,建立了符合能力增长规律的效用聚合模型。案例分析表明:本方法能有效评估出主战坦克作战能力,且各指标数据均具有客观性和可对比性。最后分析了我国主战坦克能力增长途径,为装备改进以及新装备研制提供了参考。
Weapon system combat capability assessment,which has important military significance,is a multi-attribute decision making problem with a complex data structure.Aiming at the problems such as the inconsistent form of information,the difficulty of aggregating criteria data and the incomparable analysis of different criteria,this paper proposes a multi-attribute utility assessment method with subject and object fitting.The utility function is constructed based on the constants of psychology activities,and a criteria utility aggregation model based on the production function is established.First of all,based on the method of group decisionmaking,this paper proposes to combine the distance optimization model and the multi-expert evaluation weight to obtain effective criteria weights based on group consensus.Secondly,considering the problems that the form of assessment information is not uniform and the data of different attribute criteria cannot be compared and analyzed,based on the characteristics of psychological activities,three types of utility functions are constructed to convert all kinds of weapon information into utility.Finally,aiming at the difficulty of aggregation of criteria data,based on the characteristics of the production function,a utility aggregation model that conforms to the law of capability growth is established.The case study shows that this method can effectively assess the combat capability of the main battle tank,and the criteria data are objective and comparable.The ways of increasing the capability of main battle tank in our country is analyzed,which provides references for equipment improvement and new equipment development.
引文
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