基于生态足迹的山东省水资源承载力研究
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摘要
为研究山东省水资源生态承载力现状,缓解山东省用水压力,基于生态足迹的理论和方法,构建了水资源二级账户;同时,从城市发展的角度,选取了城市建设和社会经济中的相关指标,利用统计产品与服务解决方案(Statistical Product and Service Solutions,SPSS)软件,分别对山东省水资源生态足迹和生态承载力进行了相关性分析。分析结果表明:山东省水资源生态足迹和生态承载力均呈现出下降的趋势,水资源处于生态赤字状态;山东省水资源生态足迹受农业用水的影响最大,水资源生态承载力受降水的影响最大,城市设施水平对提高水资源生态承载力具有正面效应。因此,为了提高山东省的水资源生态承载力,提出了有针对性的措施,即应要改变农业灌溉方式,调节生产生活方式,并充分利用雨水资源,从而使得雨污资源化。
In order to study the current status of water resources ecological carrying capacity in Shandong Province and relieve the pressure of water use in Shandong Province,a secondary account of water resources based on ecological footprint is built. Relevant indicators of urban construction and social economy are selected from the perspective of urban development. SPSS is used to analyze the correlation between water footprint and ecological carrying capacity of Shandong Province. The results show that the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of water resources in Shandong Province both show a downward trend. Water resources are in an ecological deficit state. The ecological footprint of water resources in Shandong Province is most affected by agricultural water use,and the ecological carrying capacity of water resources is most affected by precipitation,and the urban facilities has a positive effect on improving the ecological carrying capacity of water resources. Therefore,in order to improve the ecological carrying capacity of water resources in Shandong,it is necessary to change the mode of agricultural irrigation,transform the production and life style,and make full use of rainwater resources to make the rain and sewage become resources.
In order to study the current status of water resources ecological carrying capacity in Shandong Province and relieve the pressure of water use in Shandong Province,a secondary account of water resources based on ecological footprint is built. Relevant indicators of urban construction and social economy are selected from the perspective of urban development. SPSS is used to analyze the correlation between water footprint and ecological carrying capacity of Shandong Province. The results show that the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of water resources in Shandong Province both show a downward trend. Water resources are in an ecological deficit state. The ecological footprint of water resources in Shandong Province is most affected by agricultural water use,and the ecological carrying capacity of water resources is most affected by precipitation,and the urban facilities has a positive effect on improving the ecological carrying capacity of water resources. Therefore,in order to improve the ecological carrying capacity of water resources in Shandong,it is necessary to change the mode of agricultural irrigation,transform the production and life style,and make full use of rainwater resources to make the rain and sewage become resources.
引文
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[22]唐承财,钟林生,成升魁.旅游地可持续发展研究综述[J].地理科学进展,2013,32(6):984-992.
[23]郑忠海,付林,狄洪发.基于生态足迹法的城市能源系统分析[J].清华大学学报:自然科学版,2009,49(12):1905-1908,1914.
[24]赵冠伟,杨木壮,陈健飞.1990-2007年中国能源足迹时空差异分析[J].地理与地理信息科学,2011,27(2):65-69.
[25]郭华,蔡建明,杨振山.城市食物生态足迹的测算模型及实证分析[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(3):417-425.
[26]陈冬冬,高旺盛.近30年来中国农村居民食物消费的生态足迹分析[J].中国农业科学,2010,43(8):1738-1747.
[27]夏惠萍.中国进出口贸易生态足迹的测度与分析[D].杭州:浙江大学,2012.
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[29]马晶,彭建.水足迹研究进展[J].生态学报,2013,33(18):5458-5466.
[30]王晓萌,黄凯,杨顺顺,等.中国产业部门水足迹演变及其影响因素分析[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(12):2114-2126.
[31]张义,张合平.基于生态系统服务的广西水生态足迹分析[J].生态学报,2013,33(13):4111-4124.
[32]孙才志,张智雄.中国水生态足迹广度、深度评价及空间格局[J].生态学报,2017,37(21):7048-7060.
[33]丁华,邱卫国.基于生态足迹的上海市水资源生态承载力评价[J].人民长江,2013,44(15):19-21.
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[35]山东省水利厅.山东省水资源公报(2006-2015)[R].济南:山东省水利厅,2015.
[36]荣傲登,卜楠.古蔺河流域生态足迹分析[J].内蒙古林业调查设计,2017,40(3):72-76.
[37]封志明,刘登伟.京津冀地区水资源供需平衡及其水资源承载力[J].自然资源学报,2006,21(5):689-699.
[2]Joardar S D.Carrying capacities and standards as bases towards urban infrastructure planning in India:A case of urban water supply and sanitation[J].Habitat International,1998,22(3):327-337.
[3]Siche R,Pereira L,Agostinho F,et al.Convergence of ecological footprint and emergy analysis as a sustainability indicator of countries:Peru as case study[J].Communications in Nonlinear Science&Numerical Simulation,2010,15(10):3182-3192.
[4]Murray Lane.The carrying capacity imperative:Assessing regional carrying capacity methodologies for sustainable land-use planning[J].Land Use Policy,2010,27(4):1038-1045.
[5]Leeuwen C J.City Blueprints:Baseline Assessments of Sustainable Water Management in 11 Cities of the Future[J].Water Resources Management,2013,27(15):5191-5206.
[6]新疆水资源软科学课题研究组.新疆水资源及其承载力的开发战略对策[J].水利水电技术,1989(6):2-9.
[7]刘增进,张敏,王振雨,等.基于神经网络的郑州市水资源可持续利用综合评价[J].中国农村水利水电,2008(12):55-62.
[8]张义,邹永福,李丰生,等.基于灰色神经网络模型的水资源生态足迹预测---以广西为例[J].人民长江,2017,48(1):37-42.
[9]李放,罗晓容.三峡库区重庆段水资源承载力研究[J].人民长江,2010,41(21):35-38.
[10]张斌.基于SD模型的深圳市水资源承载力研究[J].中国水利,2011,41(3):89-93.
[11]王卫军,周孝德,周彬翀,等.河流水生态承载力系统动力学模型软件开发[J].中国水利水电科学研究院学报,2011,9(2):151-154,160.
[12]宰松梅,温季,仵峰,等.河南省新乡市水资源承载力评价研究[J].水利学报,2011,42(7):783-788.
[13]程美家,韩美,杜剑.基于主成分分析法的山东省水资源承载力评价[J].资源开发与市场,2009,25(5):410-412.
[14]凌子燕,刘锐.基于主成分分析的广东省区域水资源紧缺风险评价[J].资源科学,2010,32(12):2324-2328.
[15]刘晓波,彭文启,董飞,等.流域水生态承载力与总量控制技术集成系统研究[J].中国水利水电科学研究院学报,2011,9(1):16-28.
[16]戴昌军,管光明,梁忠民,等.基于水资源足迹的武汉市水资源可持续利用研究[J].人民长江,2011,42(9):8-11.
[17]黄林楠,张伟新,姜翠玲,等.水资源生态足迹计算方法[J].生态学报,2008,28(3):1279-1286.
[18]Rees W E.Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:what urban economics leaves out[J].Focus,1992,6(2):121-130.
[19]Wackernagel,Mathis.Our ecological footprint:reducing human impact on the earth[M].New Society Publishers,1996.
[20]Wackernagel M.An evaluation of the ecological footprint[J].Ecological Economics.1999,31(3):317-318.
[21]刘辛田,高玉泉,刘加林.湖南娄底市旅游生态足迹趋势分析[J].冰川冻土,2014,36(3):751-758.
[22]唐承财,钟林生,成升魁.旅游地可持续发展研究综述[J].地理科学进展,2013,32(6):984-992.
[23]郑忠海,付林,狄洪发.基于生态足迹法的城市能源系统分析[J].清华大学学报:自然科学版,2009,49(12):1905-1908,1914.
[24]赵冠伟,杨木壮,陈健飞.1990-2007年中国能源足迹时空差异分析[J].地理与地理信息科学,2011,27(2):65-69.
[25]郭华,蔡建明,杨振山.城市食物生态足迹的测算模型及实证分析[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(3):417-425.
[26]陈冬冬,高旺盛.近30年来中国农村居民食物消费的生态足迹分析[J].中国农业科学,2010,43(8):1738-1747.
[27]夏惠萍.中国进出口贸易生态足迹的测度与分析[D].杭州:浙江大学,2012.
[28]Bala B K,Hossain M A.Food security and ecological footprint of coastal zone of Bangladesh[J].Environ Dev Sustain,2010(12):531-545.
[29]马晶,彭建.水足迹研究进展[J].生态学报,2013,33(18):5458-5466.
[30]王晓萌,黄凯,杨顺顺,等.中国产业部门水足迹演变及其影响因素分析[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(12):2114-2126.
[31]张义,张合平.基于生态系统服务的广西水生态足迹分析[J].生态学报,2013,33(13):4111-4124.
[32]孙才志,张智雄.中国水生态足迹广度、深度评价及空间格局[J].生态学报,2017,37(21):7048-7060.
[33]丁华,邱卫国.基于生态足迹的上海市水资源生态承载力评价[J].人民长江,2013,44(15):19-21.
[34]山东省统计局.山东省统计年鉴(2006-2015)[M].济南:山东省统计局社,2018
[35]山东省水利厅.山东省水资源公报(2006-2015)[R].济南:山东省水利厅,2015.
[36]荣傲登,卜楠.古蔺河流域生态足迹分析[J].内蒙古林业调查设计,2017,40(3):72-76.
[37]封志明,刘登伟.京津冀地区水资源供需平衡及其水资源承载力[J].自然资源学报,2006,21(5):689-699.