黄淮海平原非农化土地空间格局及其影响因素
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摘要
土地是农民赖以生存的根基,乡村土地非农化问题是当前乡村所面临的"乡村病"之一。对传统平原农区非农化土地空间分异及其影响因素的研究相对匮乏。基于黄淮海平原县域数据,选取乡村非农化土地相关变量,采用逐步线性多元回归的方法解析了非农化土地空间分异的主要影响因素,并对驱动机制进行了探讨。结果表明:(1)黄淮海平原农村居民点建设用地占据非农化土地的比重最大;(2)黄淮海平原不同非农化土地空间格局总体上呈现出典型的带状或组团状格局,如沿太行山东麓带、环渤海经济圈、黄河经济协作带、沿京九和陇海铁路线轴带等;(3)黄淮海平原乡村非农化土地空间分异的主要影响因素为县域人均GDP、人均规模以上工业总产值、人均城镇固定资产投资、乡村人均一产增加值、人口密度、人均耕地面积6个变量,自然因素则不显著;(4)黄淮海平原城镇建设用地和农村居民点用地集约化发展有待提升,工业园区建设用地集约化发展初见成效,非农化土地空间分异影响因素与其他建设用地空间分异影响因素呈现出驱动逻辑的一致性,政府财政导向的发展道路仍是主导。提出了破解乡村土地非农化问题的建议。
Land is the foundation for farmers to survive,and rural non-agriculturalization land is one of the key problems of "rural problems". At present,the research on the influence factors of non-agricultural land in the traditional farming plain area is relatively scarce. This study is based on the county data of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain,and four explained variables and eight explanatory variables were selected for rural non-agriculturalization land.Then the main influencing factors of rural non-agriculturalization land were verified by linear multivariate regression,and the driving mechanism was also discussed. The results show that:( 1) Individual building is the most important way of rural non-agriculturalization land in the areas of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain;( 2) Different non-agricultural land spatial patterns in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain are different,but in general,they present a typical band or cluster pattern. For example,along the eastern foot of Taihang mountain,the economic circle around the Bohai sea,the economic cooperation zone of the Yellow River,along the Beijing-Jiulong and Longhai railway line,etc;( 3) Main influencing factors of the rural non-agricultural land in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain are 6 variables,and they are county per capita GDP,per capita industrial output value,per capita urban fixed asset investment,rural per capita production output,population density,per capita arable land area. But natural factors are not significant.( 4) The intensive development of urban construction land and rural residential areas in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain has yet to be improved,and the intensive development of land for industrial parks is beginning to pay off. The influence factors of rural non-agriculturalization land and the proportion of other construction sites have a consistent driving logic,and the development path of government financial guidance still exists. Finally,some suggestions to solve the problem of rural non-agriculturalization are put forward.
Land is the foundation for farmers to survive,and rural non-agriculturalization land is one of the key problems of "rural problems". At present,the research on the influence factors of non-agricultural land in the traditional farming plain area is relatively scarce. This study is based on the county data of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain,and four explained variables and eight explanatory variables were selected for rural non-agriculturalization land.Then the main influencing factors of rural non-agriculturalization land were verified by linear multivariate regression,and the driving mechanism was also discussed. The results show that:( 1) Individual building is the most important way of rural non-agriculturalization land in the areas of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain;( 2) Different non-agricultural land spatial patterns in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain are different,but in general,they present a typical band or cluster pattern. For example,along the eastern foot of Taihang mountain,the economic circle around the Bohai sea,the economic cooperation zone of the Yellow River,along the Beijing-Jiulong and Longhai railway line,etc;( 3) Main influencing factors of the rural non-agricultural land in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain are 6 variables,and they are county per capita GDP,per capita industrial output value,per capita urban fixed asset investment,rural per capita production output,population density,per capita arable land area. But natural factors are not significant.( 4) The intensive development of urban construction land and rural residential areas in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain has yet to be improved,and the intensive development of land for industrial parks is beginning to pay off. The influence factors of rural non-agriculturalization land and the proportion of other construction sites have a consistent driving logic,and the development path of government financial guidance still exists. Finally,some suggestions to solve the problem of rural non-agriculturalization are put forward.
引文
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[19]陈荣.地理标志农产品影响农村经济发展的机制研究——基于山西省110个县的实证分析[D].临汾:山西师范大学,2016.
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[24]李玉恒,胡智超,刘彦随.中国东部沿海地区农地非农化配置效益研究[J].地域研究与开发,2014,33(2):130-134.
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[26]朱一中,曹裕.农地非农化过程中的土地增值收益分配研究——基于土地发展权的视角[J].经济地理,2012,32(10):133-138.
[27]陈伟鑫.土地非农化过程中村民意愿、行为选择及影响因素研究[D].杭州:浙江理工大学,2013.
[28]方方.江苏省经济发展与土地非农化耦合关系研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2010.
[29]沈孝强,吴次芳,方明.浙江省产业、人口与土地非农化的协调性分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(9):129-134.
[30]龙花楼.论土地利用转型与乡村转型发展[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(2):131-138.
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[32]蔡香配.无锡市区土地非农化过程(1998—2008)及其驱动机制研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2011.
[33]陈丽,郝晋珉,艾东,等.黄淮海平原粮食均衡增产潜力及空间分异[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(2):288-297.
[34]徐建文,居辉,梅旭荣,等.近30年黄淮海平原干旱对冬小麦产量的潜在影响模拟[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(6):150-158.
[35]曲福田.中国土地非农化的可持续治理[M].北京:科学出版社,2010.
[36]曲福田,陈江龙,陈雯.农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(2):231-241.
[37]许恒周,郭忠兴.非农化过程中农地非市场价值损失及其空间差异研究——以江苏省为例[J].地域研究与开发,2010,29(6):119-123.
[2] LIU Y S,LI Y H. Revitalize the World’s Countryside[J]. Nature,2017,548:275-277.
[3]刘彦随.中国新时代城乡融合与乡村振兴[J].地理学报,2018,73(4):637-650.
[4] LIU Z,ROMMEL J,FENG S,et al. Can Land Transfer through Land Cooperatives Foster Off-farm Employment in China?[J]. China Economic Review,2017,45(9):35-44.
[5] TODO Y,TAKAHASHI R. Impact of Farmer Field Schools on Agricultural Income and Skills[J]. Journal of International Development,2013,25(3):362-381.
[6] SHRESTHA R B,HUANG W C,GAUTAM S,et al. Efficiency of Small Scale Vegetable Farms:Policy Implications for the Rural Poverty Reduction in Nepal[J]. Agricultural Economics,2016,62(4):181-195.
[7] MENDELSOHN R,BASIST A,KURUKULASURIYA P,et al. Climate and Rural Income[J]. Climatic Change,2007,81(1):101-118.
[8]李阳兵,罗光杰,景安,等.溶山地聚落人口空间分布与演化模式[J].地理学报,2012,67(12):1666-1674.
[9]李全林,马晓冬,沈一.苏北地区乡村聚落的空间格局[J].地理研究,2012,31(1):144-154.
[10] LONG H L,LI Y R,LIU Y S,et al. Accelerated Restructuring in Rural China Fueled by ‘Increasing vs.Decreasing Balance’ Land-use Policy for Dealing with Hollowed Villages[J]. Land Use Policy,2012,29(1):11-22.
[11]刘彦随,李进涛.中国县域农村贫困化分异机制的地理探测与优化决策[J].地理学报,2017,72(1):161-173.
[12] DERCON S. Rural Poverty:Old Challenges in New Contexts[J]. World Bank Research Observer,2013,24(1):1-28.
[13]黄季焜.新时期的中国农业发展:机遇、挑战和战略选择[J].中国科学院院刊,2013,28(3):295-300.
[14] KONDE V. Industrial Biotechnology Applications for Food Security in Africa:Opportunities and Challenges[J]. International Journal of Biotechnology,2005,7(1):95-112.
[15]唐亮.在社会主义新农村建设中加快广西乡村工业发展的研究[D].重庆:西南大学,2006.
[16] KOMPPULA R. The Role of Individual Entrepreneurs in the Development of Competitiveness for A Rural Tourism Destination:A Case Study[J]. Tourism Management,2014,40(1):361-371.
[17] LIU Y S,YANG Y Y,LI Y R,et al. Conversion from Rural Settlements and Arable Land under Rapid Urbanization in Beijing during 1985—2010[J]. Journal of Rural Studies,2017,51(5):141-150.
[18] YIN G Y,LIU L M,JIANG X L. The Sustainable Arable Land Use Pattern under the Tradeoff of Agricultural Production,Economic Development,and Ecological Protection:An Analysis of Dongting Lake Basin,China[J]. Environmental Science&Pollution Research,2017,24(11):1-17.
[19]陈荣.地理标志农产品影响农村经济发展的机制研究——基于山西省110个县的实证分析[D].临汾:山西师范大学,2016.
[20] MEAZA H,FRANKL A,POESEN J,et al. Natural Resource Opportunities and Challenges for Rural Development in Marginal Grabens:The State of the Art with Implications for the Rift Valley System in Ethiopia[J].Journal of Arid Environments,2017,147(12):1-16.
[21] AROURI M,NGUYEN C,YOUSSEF A B. Natural Disasters,Household Welfare,and Resilience:Evidence from Rural Vietnam[J]. World Development,2015,70(6):59-77.
[22] ACHARYA S K,ACHARYA S K. Change Dynamics of Livelihood:An Approach to Rural Ecology[M]. Munich:Lambert Academic Publishing,2016.
[23]许艳,濮励杰,张润森,等.江苏沿海滩涂围垦耕地质量演变趋势分析[J].地理学报,2017,72(11):2032-2046.
[24]李玉恒,胡智超,刘彦随.中国东部沿海地区农地非农化配置效益研究[J].地域研究与开发,2014,33(2):130-134.
[25]方方,刘彦随,李裕瑞,等.平原农区典型县域土地非农化对乡村系统的影响[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(10):1405-1413.
[26]朱一中,曹裕.农地非农化过程中的土地增值收益分配研究——基于土地发展权的视角[J].经济地理,2012,32(10):133-138.
[27]陈伟鑫.土地非农化过程中村民意愿、行为选择及影响因素研究[D].杭州:浙江理工大学,2013.
[28]方方.江苏省经济发展与土地非农化耦合关系研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2010.
[29]沈孝强,吴次芳,方明.浙江省产业、人口与土地非农化的协调性分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(9):129-134.
[30]龙花楼.论土地利用转型与乡村转型发展[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(2):131-138.
[31]王丽娟.乡村转型发展与农村土地优化利用研究——以江苏省为例[D].北京:中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,2009.
[32]蔡香配.无锡市区土地非农化过程(1998—2008)及其驱动机制研究[D].南京:南京师范大学,2011.
[33]陈丽,郝晋珉,艾东,等.黄淮海平原粮食均衡增产潜力及空间分异[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(2):288-297.
[34]徐建文,居辉,梅旭荣,等.近30年黄淮海平原干旱对冬小麦产量的潜在影响模拟[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(6):150-158.
[35]曲福田.中国土地非农化的可持续治理[M].北京:科学出版社,2010.
[36]曲福田,陈江龙,陈雯.农地非农化经济驱动机制的理论分析与实证研究[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(2):231-241.
[37]许恒周,郭忠兴.非农化过程中农地非市场价值损失及其空间差异研究——以江苏省为例[J].地域研究与开发,2010,29(6):119-123.