基于文献计量学的洪涝灾害研究现状及发展趋势分析
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摘要
以美国科学情报机构科学引文索引数据库(SCI-E)为数据源,通过文献计量学的方法从文献数量、学者数量、文献发表期刊分布、发文国家/地区、科研机构及关键词等方面对数据库中1988—2015年洪涝灾害的相关文献进行分析,以评估洪涝灾害的研究趋势。结果显示:1988—2015年洪涝灾害在其领域内发展迅速,无论是文献总量、参与研究的作者数量还是研究内容上都随时间呈上涨趋势;洪涝灾害相关论文主要覆盖的学科类别是"水资源",Natural Hazards为发表相关论文最多的学术期刊;美国是洪涝灾害领域发文量最多的国家,中国紧随其后位列第二;学术力量方面,洪涝灾害相关研究力量以高等院校为主,其中中国科学院为该领域研究发文量最高的科研机构;通过对关键词的分析可知,与洪涝灾害相关的科学问题研究中,"洪水管理""气候变化"和"模型"是未来研究热点,将高新技术广泛使用于洪涝灾害的研究领域,控制洪涝灾害对国民经济造成的损失,有利于经济的持续、稳定和健康发展。
Based on the data source of SCI-E of American Scientific Intelligence Institution, by using the bibliometric method to analyze the literatures related to flood and waterlogging disasters in the database from 1988 to 2015,such as number of documents, number of scholars, distribution of publications,distribution of papers, issuing countries, scientific research institutions and key words,so as to evaluate the research trend of flood and waterlogging disasters. The results show that the researches on flood and waterlogging disasters have rapid development during the period from1988 to 2015. The total amount of literatures,the number of the authors involved in the studies and the content of studies all increase with time. The main subjects covered by the flood-related papers are "water resources ", and the magazine "Natural Hazards " is the academic journal that publishes the most related papers. The United States of America is the country with the largest number of papers on flood and waterlogging disasters, and China has published the second largest number of papers. From the aspect of academic strength,the research forces related to flood and waterlogging disasters are mainly the colleges and universities,among which the Chinese Academy of Sciences is the research institution with the highest amount of researches in this field.Through the analysis of the keywords, it is known that the scientific research problems associated with flood and waterlogging disasters,"flood management","climate change"and "model",are the future research focus. Wide application of high and new technology in the research field of flood and waterlogging disasters and controlling the losses caused by them to the Chinese national economy are conducive to sustainable,stable and healthy development of the economy.
Based on the data source of SCI-E of American Scientific Intelligence Institution, by using the bibliometric method to analyze the literatures related to flood and waterlogging disasters in the database from 1988 to 2015,such as number of documents, number of scholars, distribution of publications,distribution of papers, issuing countries, scientific research institutions and key words,so as to evaluate the research trend of flood and waterlogging disasters. The results show that the researches on flood and waterlogging disasters have rapid development during the period from1988 to 2015. The total amount of literatures,the number of the authors involved in the studies and the content of studies all increase with time. The main subjects covered by the flood-related papers are "water resources ", and the magazine "Natural Hazards " is the academic journal that publishes the most related papers. The United States of America is the country with the largest number of papers on flood and waterlogging disasters, and China has published the second largest number of papers. From the aspect of academic strength,the research forces related to flood and waterlogging disasters are mainly the colleges and universities,among which the Chinese Academy of Sciences is the research institution with the highest amount of researches in this field.Through the analysis of the keywords, it is known that the scientific research problems associated with flood and waterlogging disasters,"flood management","climate change"and "model",are the future research focus. Wide application of high and new technology in the research field of flood and waterlogging disasters and controlling the losses caused by them to the Chinese national economy are conducive to sustainable,stable and healthy development of the economy.
引文
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[22]丁学东.文献计量学基础[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1993.
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[24]李迅,袁东敏,尹志聪,等.2011年长江中下游旱涝急转成因初步分析[J].气候与环境研究,2014,19(1):41-50.
[2]中华人民共和国水利部.2006年中国水旱灾害公报[R].北京:中华人民共和国水利部,2008.
[3]黄诗峰.遥感技术在我国洪涝灾害监测评估中的应用[J].中国减灾,2013(24):36-37.
[4]刘景荣.气象灾害对经济发展的影响及对策[J].山西财经大学学报,2009,31(S2):25-26.
[5]SMITH K,RICHMAN M B.Recent hydroclimatic fluctuations and their effects on water resources in Illinois[J].Climatic Change,1993,24(3):249-269.
[6]KRASOVSKAIA I,GOTTSCHALK L.Frequency of extremes and its relation to climate fluctuations[J].Nordic Hydrology,1993,24(1):1-12.
[7]WHETTON P H,FOWER A M,HAYLOCK M R,et al.Implications of climatic change due to the enhanced greenhouse effects on floods and droughts in Australia[J].Climatic Change,1993:289-317.
[8]邓慧平,张翼.可用于气候变化研究的日流量随机默默方法探讨[J].地理学报,1996,51(S):151-160.
[9]PIRIE R L,DE LOR C,KREUTZWISER R.Drought planning and water allocation:an assessment of local capacity in Minnesota[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2004,73(1):25-38.
[10]BARREDO J I.Major flood disasters in Europe:1950–2005[J].Natural Hazards,2007,42(1):125-148.
[11]YOUSSEF A M,PRADHAN B,HASSAN A M.Flash flood risk estimation along the St.Katherine road,southern Sinai,Egypt using GIS basedmorphometry and satellite imagery[J].Environmental Earth Sciences,2011,62(3):611-623.
[12]廖永丰,聂承静,杨林生,等.洪涝灾害风险监测预警评估综述[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(3):361-367.
[13]李加林,曹罗丹,浦瑞良.洪涝灾害遥感监测评估研究综述[J].水利学报,2014,45(3):253-260.
[14]张勇,高克昌.基于遥感和GIS的公路水毁监测和评估技术框架[J].交通运输工程学报,2010,10(3):28-34.
[15]郝振纯,鞠琴,王璐,等.气候变化下淮河流域极端洪水情景预估[J].水科学进展,2011,22(5):605-614.
[16]XU J,PENG S,DING J,et al.Evaluation and calibration of simple methods for daily reference evapotranspiration estimation in humid East China[J].Archives of Agronomy&Soil Science,2012,59(6):1-14.
[17]PRITCHARD A.Statistical Bibliography or Bibliometrics?[J].Journal of Documentation,1969,25(4):348-349.
[18]高懋芳,邱建军,刘三超,等.基于文献计量的农业面源污染研究发展态势分析[J].中国农业科学,2014,47(6):1140-1150.
[19]张树良,安培浚.国际地震研究发展态势文献计量分析[J].地球学报,2012,33(3):371-378.
[20]宋丽萍,王建芳.基于F1000与Wo S的同行评议与文献计量相关性研究[J].中国图书馆学报,2012,38(2):62-69.
[21]汤建民.基于文献计量的卓越科研机构描绘方法研究:以国内教育学科为例[J].情报杂志,2010,29(4):5-9.
[22]丁学东.文献计量学基础[M].北京:北京大学出版社,1993.
[23]THOMSON R.Subject Category Selection[DB/OL].(2016-01-01)[2017-12-20].http://adminapps.webofknowledge.com.
[24]李迅,袁东敏,尹志聪,等.2011年长江中下游旱涝急转成因初步分析[J].气候与环境研究,2014,19(1):41-50.