登革热流行与不同气象因素相关性研究进展
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摘要
气象因素是影响登革热发生的重要原因,随着气候变化,登革热疫情形势可能会更加严峻,了解不同气象因素对登革热的影响大小,探讨不同气象因素的作用机制,可以为登革热的精准防控提供科学依据。该文系统综述了温度、湿度、降雨量等气象因素对登革热病毒的生长繁殖速度、蚊媒的生活史、蚊媒密度以及人类生活行为的影响,分析各因素的影响程度,为登革热预测预警和采取干预措施提供理论支持。
Meteorological factors are important causes for the outbreak of dengue fever. As climate changes, the epidemic situation may be getting worse. To investigate the impacts of different meteorological factors on dengue fever and their mechanisms of action can provide a scientific basis for the precise prevention and control of this disease. In this paper, we systematically review and analyze how and to what extent the meteorological factors such as temperature, humidity, and precipitation influence the growth and reproduction rate of dengue virus, the density and life cycle of mosquitoes, and the life style and behaviors of humans, thus providing scientific basis for the prediction, early warning, and intervention of dengue fever.
Meteorological factors are important causes for the outbreak of dengue fever. As climate changes, the epidemic situation may be getting worse. To investigate the impacts of different meteorological factors on dengue fever and their mechanisms of action can provide a scientific basis for the precise prevention and control of this disease. In this paper, we systematically review and analyze how and to what extent the meteorological factors such as temperature, humidity, and precipitation influence the growth and reproduction rate of dengue virus, the density and life cycle of mosquitoes, and the life style and behaviors of humans, thus providing scientific basis for the prediction, early warning, and intervention of dengue fever.
引文
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[23] Rohani A,Wong YC,Zamre I,et al. The effect of extrinsic incubation temperature on development of dengue serotype 2 and4 viruses in Aedes aegypti(L.)[J]. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health,2009,40(5):942-950.
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[25]李晓宁.广州2014年登革热流行特征及气候、蚊媒对广州登革热发病的影响[D].广州:广东药学院,2015.
[26]侯祥,刘可可,刘小波,等.气候因素对广东省登革热流行影响的非线性效应[J].中国媒介生物学及控制杂志,2019,30(1):25-30. DOI:10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2019.01.005.
[27]张红,张恒端,彭志强,等.中国2011-2015年登革热疫情分析[J].寄生虫与医学昆虫学报,2017,24(2):118-125. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1005-0507.2017.02.008.
[28] Jetten TH,Focks DA. Potential changes in the distribution of dengue transmission under climate warming[J]. Am J Trop Med Hyg,1997,57(3):285-297. DOI:10.4269/ajtmh.1997.57.285.
[29] Li CL,Lu YM,Liu JN,et al. Climate change and dengue fever transmission in China:evidences and challenges[J]. Sci Total Environ,2018,622-623:493-501. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017. 11.326.
[30] Shang CS,Fang CT,Liu CM,et al. The role of imported cases and favorable meteorological conditions in the onset of dengue epidemics[J]. PLoS Negl Trop Dis,2010,4(8):e775. DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0000775.
[31] Xiao D,Long Y,Wang SQ,et al. Spatiotemporal distribution of malaria and the association between its epidemic and climate factors in Hainan,China[J]. Malar J,2010,9:185. DOI:10.1186/1475-2875-9-185.
[32] Hui FM,Xu B,Chen ZW,et al. Spatio-temporal distribution of malaria in Yunnan province,China[J]. Am J Trop Med Hyg,2009,81(3):503-509. DOI:10.4269/ajtmh.2009.81.503.
[33] Clements AC,Barnett AG,Cheng ZW,et al. Space-time variation of malaria incidence in Yunnan province,China[J].Malar J,2009,8:180. DOI:10.1186/1475-2875-8-180.
[34] Tian LW,Bi Y,Ho SC,et al. One-year delayed effect of fog on malaria transmission:a time-series analysis in the rain forest area of Mengla county,south-west China[J]. Malar J,2008,7:110. DOI:10.1186/1475-2875-7-110.
[35] Ren HY,Ning WY,Lu L,et al. Characterization of dengue epidemics in mainland China over the past decade[J]. J Infect Dev Ctries,2015,9(9):970-976. DOI:10.3855/jidc.5998.
[36] Pham HV,Doan HTM,Phan TTT,et al. Ecological factors associated with dengue fever in a central highlands province,Vietnam[J]. BMC Infect Dis,2011,11:172. DOI:10.1186/1471-2334-11-172.
[37]景钦隆,罗雷,李晓宁,等.布雷图指数、输入病例、气象因子与登革热本地流行的关系研究[J].华南预防医学,2015,41(5):401-406. DOI:10.13217/j.scjpm.2015.0401.
[38]甘立勤,王荀,马智超,等.登革热发病与气象因素关系的研究[J].中国热带医学,2015,15(11):1333-1337. DOI:10.13604/j.cnki.46-1064/r.2015.11.13.
[39]李雯雯,祝光湖.气候对登革热传播的驱动机制和预测分析[J].桂林电子科技大学学报,2018,38(6):491-495. DOI:10.16725/j.cnki.cn45-1351/tn.2018.06.012.
[2]任国玉,郭军,徐铭志,等.近50年中国地面气候变化基本特征[J].气象学报,2005,63(6):942-956. DOI:10.11676/qxxb2005.090.
[3]李兰娟,任红.传染病学[M]. 9版.北京:人民卫生出版社,2018:108-112.
[4]中国疾病预防控制局. 2014年度全国法定传染病疫情情况[EB/OL].(2015-02-16)[2019-03-01]. http://www.nhc.gov.cn/jkj/s3578/201502/847c041a3bac4c3e844f17309be0cabd.shtml.
[5]易彬樘,张治英,徐德忠,等.气候因素对登革热媒介伊蚊密度影响的研究[J].中国公共卫生,2003,19(2):129-131. DOI:10.3321/j.issn:1001-0580.2003.02.001.
[6] Bai L,Morton LC,Liu QY. Climate change and mosquito-borne diseases in China:a review[J].Global Health,2013,9:10. DOI:10.1186/1744-8603-9-10.
[7]丁国允,伍华驹,魏俊,等.从2012-2014年佛山市登革热疫情看媒介生物防控[J].中国国境卫生检疫杂志,2015,38(4):282-286. DOI:10.16408/j.1004-9770.2015.04.015.
[8] Patz JA,Martens WJM,Focks DA,et al. Dengue fever epidemic potential as projected by general circulation models of global climate change[J]. Environ Health Perspect,1998,106(3):147-153. DOI:10.1289/ehp.98106147.
[9] Azil AH,Long SA,Ritchie SA,et al. The development of predictive tools for pre-emptive dengue vector control:a study of Aedes aegypti abundance and meteorological variables in North Queensland,Australia[J]. Trop Med Int Health,2010,15(10):1190-1197. DOI:10.1111/j.1365-3156.2010.02592.x.
[10]肖扬.广州白纹伊蚊分布及与气象因素和登革热发病的关联性研究[D].广州:广东药科大学,2017.
[11] Githeko AK,Lindsay SW,Confalonieri UE,et al. Climate change and vector-borne diseases:a regional analysis[J]. Bull World Health Organ,2000,78(9):1136-1147.
[12]喻潇.白纹伊蚊和埃及伊蚊对温度、光周期耐受范围的比较研究[D].北京:中国疾病预防控制中心,2013.
[13] Wu F,Liu QY,Lu L,et al. Distribution of Aedes albopictus(Diptera:Culicidae)in northwestern China[J]. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis,2011,11(8):1181-1186. DOI:10.1089/vbz.2010.0032.
[14]陈业滨,李卫红,黄玉兴,等.广州市登革热时空传播特征及影响因素[J].热带地理,2016,36(5):767-775. DOI:10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.002881.
[15]高巨真,曾昭玉,薛景珉,等.白纹伊蚊寿命的研究:实验室内雌蚊的存活[J].昆虫学报,1984,27(2):182-188. DOI:10.16380/j.kcxb.1984.02.009.
[16]段恒璐.白纹伊蚊成蚊在不同温度条件下生存繁殖能力变化研究[D].北京:中国疾病预防控制中心,2017.
[17]王金娜,陆烨,郭颂,等.气象因素影响登革热传播研究进展[J].中国媒介生物学及控制杂志,2014,25(6):594-596. DOI:10.11853/j.issn.1003.4692.2014.06.033.
[18] Carrington LB,Armijos MV,Lambrechts L,et al. Fluctuations at a low mean temperature accelerate dengue virus transmission by Aedes aegypti[J]. PLoS Negl Trop Dis,2013,7(4):e2190. DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0002190.
[19] Liu-Helmersson J,Stenlund H,Wilder-Smith A,et al. Vectorial capacity of Aedes aegypti:effects of temperature and implications for global dengue epidemic potential[J]. PLoS One,2014,9(3):e89783. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0089783.
[20]景晓,王学军,江媛媛.白纹伊蚊飞翔能力和扩散距离观察[J].中国媒介生物学及控制杂志,1998,9(3):165-167. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-4692.1998.03.004.
[21] Sang SW,Gu SH,Bi P,et al. Predicting unprecedented dengue outbreak using imported cases and climatic factors in Guangzhou,2014[J]. PLoS Negl Trop Dis,2015,9(5):e0003808. DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0003808.
[22] Watts DM,Burke DS,Harrison BA,et al. Effect of temperature on the vector efficiency of Aedes aegypti for dengue 2 virus[J].Am J Trop Med Hyg,1987,36(1):143-152. DOI:10.4269/ajtmh.1987.36.143.
[23] Rohani A,Wong YC,Zamre I,et al. The effect of extrinsic incubation temperature on development of dengue serotype 2 and4 viruses in Aedes aegypti(L.)[J]. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health,2009,40(5):942-950.
[24] Xiang JJ,Hansen A,Liu QY,et al. Association between dengue fever incidence and meteorological factors in Guangzhou,China,2005-2014[J]. Environ Res,2017,153:17-26. DOI:10.1016/j.envres.2016.11.009.
[25]李晓宁.广州2014年登革热流行特征及气候、蚊媒对广州登革热发病的影响[D].广州:广东药学院,2015.
[26]侯祥,刘可可,刘小波,等.气候因素对广东省登革热流行影响的非线性效应[J].中国媒介生物学及控制杂志,2019,30(1):25-30. DOI:10.11853/j.issn.1003.8280.2019.01.005.
[27]张红,张恒端,彭志强,等.中国2011-2015年登革热疫情分析[J].寄生虫与医学昆虫学报,2017,24(2):118-125. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1005-0507.2017.02.008.
[28] Jetten TH,Focks DA. Potential changes in the distribution of dengue transmission under climate warming[J]. Am J Trop Med Hyg,1997,57(3):285-297. DOI:10.4269/ajtmh.1997.57.285.
[29] Li CL,Lu YM,Liu JN,et al. Climate change and dengue fever transmission in China:evidences and challenges[J]. Sci Total Environ,2018,622-623:493-501. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017. 11.326.
[30] Shang CS,Fang CT,Liu CM,et al. The role of imported cases and favorable meteorological conditions in the onset of dengue epidemics[J]. PLoS Negl Trop Dis,2010,4(8):e775. DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0000775.
[31] Xiao D,Long Y,Wang SQ,et al. Spatiotemporal distribution of malaria and the association between its epidemic and climate factors in Hainan,China[J]. Malar J,2010,9:185. DOI:10.1186/1475-2875-9-185.
[32] Hui FM,Xu B,Chen ZW,et al. Spatio-temporal distribution of malaria in Yunnan province,China[J]. Am J Trop Med Hyg,2009,81(3):503-509. DOI:10.4269/ajtmh.2009.81.503.
[33] Clements AC,Barnett AG,Cheng ZW,et al. Space-time variation of malaria incidence in Yunnan province,China[J].Malar J,2009,8:180. DOI:10.1186/1475-2875-8-180.
[34] Tian LW,Bi Y,Ho SC,et al. One-year delayed effect of fog on malaria transmission:a time-series analysis in the rain forest area of Mengla county,south-west China[J]. Malar J,2008,7:110. DOI:10.1186/1475-2875-7-110.
[35] Ren HY,Ning WY,Lu L,et al. Characterization of dengue epidemics in mainland China over the past decade[J]. J Infect Dev Ctries,2015,9(9):970-976. DOI:10.3855/jidc.5998.
[36] Pham HV,Doan HTM,Phan TTT,et al. Ecological factors associated with dengue fever in a central highlands province,Vietnam[J]. BMC Infect Dis,2011,11:172. DOI:10.1186/1471-2334-11-172.
[37]景钦隆,罗雷,李晓宁,等.布雷图指数、输入病例、气象因子与登革热本地流行的关系研究[J].华南预防医学,2015,41(5):401-406. DOI:10.13217/j.scjpm.2015.0401.
[38]甘立勤,王荀,马智超,等.登革热发病与气象因素关系的研究[J].中国热带医学,2015,15(11):1333-1337. DOI:10.13604/j.cnki.46-1064/r.2015.11.13.
[39]李雯雯,祝光湖.气候对登革热传播的驱动机制和预测分析[J].桂林电子科技大学学报,2018,38(6):491-495. DOI:10.16725/j.cnki.cn45-1351/tn.2018.06.012.