生态经济视角下我国“碳转移”动态平衡分析
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摘要
基于生态经济协调发展视角,以经济系统中碳排放与生态系统中碳储存所形成的碳转移为出发点,构建出碳转移的路径与机制,归纳碳转移的主要驱动因素,对比分析全国及各省市区碳排放与碳储量增量变化趋势,结果表明我国及各省份均存在碳转移失衡的情况,即经济与生态发展不协调的现状。其中,生态经济系统中的碳转移失衡值较大的省份大部分集中在经济发达省份,少数经济落后地区的失衡值较大,存在极少碳转移平衡省份。
As a starting point from carbon emissions in economic system and carbon storage in ecosystems, the paper constructed mechanisms of carbon transfer, summarized the main factors of carbon transfer. The trend comparatively analyses between carbon emissions and storage showed that there was an imbalance of carbon transfer between China and all its provinces in their ecological and economical system. Most of the developed provinces and little undeveloped provinces were carbon transfer imbalance in their ecological economic system. Few provinces were carbon transfer equilibrium.
As a starting point from carbon emissions in economic system and carbon storage in ecosystems, the paper constructed mechanisms of carbon transfer, summarized the main factors of carbon transfer. The trend comparatively analyses between carbon emissions and storage showed that there was an imbalance of carbon transfer between China and all its provinces in their ecological and economical system. Most of the developed provinces and little undeveloped provinces were carbon transfer imbalance in their ecological economic system. Few provinces were carbon transfer equilibrium.
引文
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[4]吴振信,谢晓晶,王书平,等.经济增长、产业结构对碳排放的影响分析——基于中国的省际面板数据[J].中国管理科学,2012(3):87~89.
[5]杨顺顺.中国工业部门碳排放转移评价及预测研究[J].中国工业经济,2015(6):55~67.
[6]石敏俊,王妍,张卓颖,等.中国各省区碳足迹与碳排放空间转移[J].地理学报,2012(10):1327~1338.
[7]肖雁飞,万子捷,刘红光,等.我国区域产业转移中“碳排放转移”及“碳泄漏”实证研究基于2002年、2007年区域间投入产出模型的分析[J].财经研究,2014(2):75~84.
[8]刘红光,范晓梅.中国区域间隐含碳排放转移[J].生态学报,2014(11):3016~3024.
[9]洪琴.贸易开放度、对中国贸易碳转移的影响[D].厦门:厦门大学,2014.
[10]邓丽娟.中国加工贸易主要出口商品的碳排放转移研究[D].长沙:湖南大学,2014.
[11]王媛,王文琴,方修琦,等.基于国际分工角度的中国贸易碳转移估算[J].资源科学,2011(7):1331~1337.
[12]余慧超,王礼茂.中美商品贸易的碳排放转移研究[J].自然资源学报,2009(10):1837~1847.
[13]吴献金,李妍芳.中日贸易对碳排放转移的影响研究[J].资源科学,2012(2):301~308.
[14]黄东.森林碳汇:后京都时代减排的重要途径[J].林业经济,2008(10):12~15.
[15]Binkley C S,Brand D,Harkin Z,et al.Carbon sink by the forest sector—options and needs for implementation[J].Forest Policy and Economics,2002(4):65-77.
[16]Guo Z D,Hu H F,Li P,et al.Spatio-temporal changes in biomass carbon sinks in China’s forests from 1977 to 2008[J].Science China Life Sciences,2013(7):661-671.
[17]张智.碳汇和碳汇林业[J].新疆林业,2014(4):40~41.
[18]FAO.Global forest resources assessment 2000,main report,FAO forestry paper 140[R].Rome:FAO,2001.
[19]程会强,陈豹.基于脱钩理论的安徽经济增长与碳排放动态分析[J].西部论坛,2013(4):91~97.
[20]IPCC.2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories[M].Japan:Hayama,2006.
[21]张颖,吴丽莉,苏帆,等.我国森林碳汇核算的计量模型研究[J].北京林业大学学报,2010(2):194~200.