黑龙江省绿色有机食品出口协调发展评价研究
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摘要
绿色有机食品出口规模扩大在一定程度上体现了绿色有机食品产业自身发展水平和产业结构优化程度,是实现产业可持续协调发展和增强出口竞争力的必然要求。揭示绿色有机食品出口发展的特征与规律,是实现产业可持续协调发展和进一步促进出口发展的关键。以灰色系统理论为基础构建度量绿色有机食品出口协调发展状况的评价模型,并运用DEA对1999-2012年黑龙江省绿色有机食品产业发展与出口增长之间的协调性进行实证分析。研究结果表明:黑龙江省绿色有机食品产业发展规模与出口增长之间的波动明显,产业系统基本处于非协调状态且呈现逐渐扩大的趋势。进而提出积极转变产业发展方式,通过积极促进出口规模扩张与结构改善以及促进绿色有机食品产业结构调整实现产业协调有序发展的对策措施。
The scale enlargement of Green Organic Food export is the inevitable requirement to realize sustainable and coordinate development and export competitiveness,which reflects industry development level and structure optimization degree to some extent. It's the key to realize the sustainable and coordinate development and promote export development to reveal the feature and the law of Green Organic Food development. This paper established a coordination appraisal model to measure the harmonious export development status of Green Organic Food based on grey system,and an empirical study was conducted on the coordination of Heilongjiang Green Organic Food industry development scale and export grow between1999- 2012 by DEA. The results show that the coordination degree of Heilongjiang Green Organic Food industry system is not so satisfying and a correlation fluctuate and downward trend of the system do exist. Further study indicates that it's feasible to transfer the mode of industry development and to promote the scale enlargement and structure improvement,and to promote the structure adjustment to realize the harmonious and sustainable development of Heilongjiang Green Organic Food industry.
The scale enlargement of Green Organic Food export is the inevitable requirement to realize sustainable and coordinate development and export competitiveness,which reflects industry development level and structure optimization degree to some extent. It's the key to realize the sustainable and coordinate development and promote export development to reveal the feature and the law of Green Organic Food development. This paper established a coordination appraisal model to measure the harmonious export development status of Green Organic Food based on grey system,and an empirical study was conducted on the coordination of Heilongjiang Green Organic Food industry development scale and export grow between1999- 2012 by DEA. The results show that the coordination degree of Heilongjiang Green Organic Food industry system is not so satisfying and a correlation fluctuate and downward trend of the system do exist. Further study indicates that it's feasible to transfer the mode of industry development and to promote the scale enlargement and structure improvement,and to promote the structure adjustment to realize the harmonious and sustainable development of Heilongjiang Green Organic Food industry.
引文
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[2]Muller,C..The Evolution of the Biotechnology Industry in Germany[J].Trend Biotechnol.2002,20(7):287-290.
[3]Berends,P.A.J.,and Romme,A.G.L..Cyclicality of capital-intensive Industries:A System Dynamics Simulation Study of the Paper Industry[J].OMEGA-Int.J.Manage.Sci.2001,29(6):543-552.
[4]Armington.A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production.IMF Staff Papers.1969(16):159-176.
[5]Krugman.Intraindustry Specification and the Grains from Trade.Journal of Political Economy.1981(89):959-973.
[6]李艳,曾珍香,武优西,李艳双.经济—环境系统协调发展评价方法研究及应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2003,(5):54-58.
[7]蔡宁.经济环境协调标准及其辅助决策模型的研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,1999,(1):85-90.
[8]陈长杰,马晓微,魏一鸣,等.基于可持续发展的中国经济—资源系统协调性分析[J].系统工程,2004,2(3):34-39.
[9]程开明.中国城市化与经济增长的协调度研究[J].商业经济与管理,2010,227(9):86-88.
[10]孟庆松,韩文秀.复合系统协调度模型研究[J].天津大学学报,2000,33(4):444-446.
[11]CHARNES A,COOPER W W,RHODES E.Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1978(2):429-444.
[12]SEIFORD I M.Data Envelopment Analysis:The Evolution of State of the Art[J].Journal of Production Analysis,1996(7):99-137.
[13]汪培庄,韩立岩.虚用模糊数学[M].北京:北京经济学院出版社,1989:164-166.
[14]樊华,陶学禹.复合系统协调度模型及其应用[J].中国矿业大学学报,2006,35(4):516-517.
[15]汤铃,李建平.基于距离协调度模型的系统协调发展定量评价方法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2010,30(4):594-602.
[16]白华,韩文秀.复合系统及其协调的一般理论[J].运筹与管理,2000,(3):3-4.
[17]王维国.协调发展的理论与方法研究[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2000.
[18]COELLI T.J.A Guide to DEAP Version 2.1:A Data Envelopment Analysis Program[R].CEPA Working Paper,1996.
[19]宋国宇.中国绿色食品产业发展的现状、制约因素与发展趋势分析[J].哈尔滨商业大学学报:社会科学版,2013,(6):15-24.