基于指数法的广州小虎石化港区溢油污染风险评估
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摘要
对广州小虎港区5个码头分别建立改进的溢油风险指数模型,对比改进模型的计算结果对比风险矩阵法评估结果,5个码头风险评估结果在风险矩阵中无明显差别,而使用改进的方法计算结果差别较为明显,认为以码头溢油风险指数作为指标的评估模型更适合港区的溢油污染风险评估。
An improved oil spill risk index method was proposed based on oil spill risk assessment for 5 wharfs in Xiaohu port of Guangzhou, to solve the problems that risk levels are not included and oil spill volume cannot represent the most probably oil spill consequence in the current ship oil spill pollution risk assessment. The comparison between the results of the proposed model and risk matrix indicated that the oil spill risks for the 5 wharfs have no obvious difference in risk matrix, while the risks for the 5 wharfs were greatly different using the proposed model. So the proposed risk assessment model using oil spill risk index as indicators is more suitable for oil spill risk assessment in ports.
An improved oil spill risk index method was proposed based on oil spill risk assessment for 5 wharfs in Xiaohu port of Guangzhou, to solve the problems that risk levels are not included and oil spill volume cannot represent the most probably oil spill consequence in the current ship oil spill pollution risk assessment. The comparison between the results of the proposed model and risk matrix indicated that the oil spill risks for the 5 wharfs have no obvious difference in risk matrix, while the risks for the 5 wharfs were greatly different using the proposed model. So the proposed risk assessment model using oil spill risk index as indicators is more suitable for oil spill risk assessment in ports.
引文
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[2] UDOH JC, EKANEM E M. GIS based risk assessment of oil spill in the coastal areas of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria [J]. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 2011,5(3):205-211.
[3] FLORIS G, JAKUB M. A framework for risk analysis of maritime transportation systems: A case study for oil spill from tankers in a ship-ship collision [J]. Safety Science, 2015(76):42-66.
[4] 兰冬东,鲍晨光,马明辉,等.海洋溢油风险分区方法及其应用[J].海洋环境科学,2014,33(2):287-292.
[5] 王业保,潘广臣,刘欣,等.渤海海域船舶溢油事故风险评价[J].海洋湖沼通报,2016(2):24-29.
[6] 徐玲江.基于多层次灰色模型的舟山海域船舶溢油风险评价研究[D].大连:大连海事大学,2017.
[7] 安伟,王永刚,王新怡,等.中国近海海上溢油预测与应急决策支持系统研发[J].海洋科学,2010,34(11):78-83.
[8] IMO. Guidelines for formal safety assessment (FSA) for use in the IMO rule-making process [S]. International Maritime Organization, 2002.
[9] IMO. Formal safety assessment FSA-crude oil tankers [S]. International maritime organization, 2008.
[10] 交通运输部海事局.水上溢油环境风险评估技术导则[S].北京:交通运输部,2017.
[11] 熊德琪,林奎,肖明,等.珠江口区域海上溢油动态预测信息系统的开发与应用[J].水道港口,2016(5):549-552.