中国农业发展方式转变指数构建与初步测度
|
摘要
按照导向性、适量性、操作性、动态性的原则,选择农业生产方式、农业经营方式、资源利用方式和宏观管理方式作为二级指标,农业科技进步贡献率等30个可测、可比、可获得指标作为三级指标,运用层次分析法对每个指标赋权,构建农业发展方式转变指数评价指标体系。以此为基础,运用综合指数法对新世纪以来中国农业发展方式转变进行度量,结果显示,15年来,中国农业发展方式呈现快速转变趋势,进一步分析表明,农业发展方式转变需要有为政府调控与有效市场机制的双轮驱动。
According to the principles of orientation,appropriateness,operability and dynamics,agricultural production mode,agricultural management mode,resource utilization mode and macro-management mode are selected as the second-level indicators,and 30 measurable,comparable and available indicators such as contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress,are taken as the third-level indicators to construct an index system for evaluating the index of agricultural development pattern transformation using the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) to empower each index.On this basis,this paper uses the comprehensive index method to measure the transformation of China's agricultural development pattern since the new century.The results show that in the past 15 years,China's agricultural development pattern has shown a rapid changing trend.Further analysis shows that the transformation of agricultural development pattern needs the double-wheel driving of both the regulation of an efficient government and an effective market mechanism.
According to the principles of orientation,appropriateness,operability and dynamics,agricultural production mode,agricultural management mode,resource utilization mode and macro-management mode are selected as the second-level indicators,and 30 measurable,comparable and available indicators such as contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress,are taken as the third-level indicators to construct an index system for evaluating the index of agricultural development pattern transformation using the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) to empower each index.On this basis,this paper uses the comprehensive index method to measure the transformation of China's agricultural development pattern since the new century.The results show that in the past 15 years,China's agricultural development pattern has shown a rapid changing trend.Further analysis shows that the transformation of agricultural development pattern needs the double-wheel driving of both the regulation of an efficient government and an effective market mechanism.
引文
[1]中国现代化战略研究课题组.中国现代化报告2012:农业现代化研究综述:现代农业的新机遇[C].中国现代化报告2012:农业现代化研究(综述篇)2012-01,北京:北京大学出版社,2012:2-15.
[2]张淑英,夏心旻.农业现代化评价指标体系构建研究[J].调研世界,2012(7):41-47.
[3]蒋和平,崔凯.我国粮食主产区农业现代化指标体系的构建和测算及发展水平评价[J].农业现代化研究,2011,32(6):646-651.
[4]陈俊红,王爱玲.北京农业可持续发展指标体系研究[J].中国农学通报,2011,27(11):135-139.
[5]辛岭,胡志全.中国农业可持续发展水平评价[J].中国农业科技导报,2015,17(4):135-142.
[6]谭杰,王象永.农业发展方式转变问题研究:农业发展方式转变监测指标体系及实证分析[J].山东经济战略研究,2010(6):9-19.
[7]刘燕妮,任保平,高鹏.中国农业发展方式的评价[J].经济理论与经济管理,2012(3):100-107.
[8]郭珍,曾福生.农业发展方式转变评价指标体系构建及实证分析:以湖南省为例[J].农村经济与科技,2011,22(7):101-104.
[9]熊德斌,刘昕.贵州省农业现代化发展水平综合评价[J].中国集体经济,2018(13):33-35.
[10]蒋和平,黄德林,郝利.中国农业现代化发展水平的定量综合评价[J].农业经济问题,2005(S1):52-60; 69.
[11]钟丽娜,李松柏.陕西省农业现代化发展水平综合评价[J].农业现代化研究,2018,39(1):57-64.
[12]王娜.河南省低碳农业发展水平及其评价[J].中国农业资源与区划,2018,39(2):123-127.
[2]张淑英,夏心旻.农业现代化评价指标体系构建研究[J].调研世界,2012(7):41-47.
[3]蒋和平,崔凯.我国粮食主产区农业现代化指标体系的构建和测算及发展水平评价[J].农业现代化研究,2011,32(6):646-651.
[4]陈俊红,王爱玲.北京农业可持续发展指标体系研究[J].中国农学通报,2011,27(11):135-139.
[5]辛岭,胡志全.中国农业可持续发展水平评价[J].中国农业科技导报,2015,17(4):135-142.
[6]谭杰,王象永.农业发展方式转变问题研究:农业发展方式转变监测指标体系及实证分析[J].山东经济战略研究,2010(6):9-19.
[7]刘燕妮,任保平,高鹏.中国农业发展方式的评价[J].经济理论与经济管理,2012(3):100-107.
[8]郭珍,曾福生.农业发展方式转变评价指标体系构建及实证分析:以湖南省为例[J].农村经济与科技,2011,22(7):101-104.
[9]熊德斌,刘昕.贵州省农业现代化发展水平综合评价[J].中国集体经济,2018(13):33-35.
[10]蒋和平,黄德林,郝利.中国农业现代化发展水平的定量综合评价[J].农业经济问题,2005(S1):52-60; 69.
[11]钟丽娜,李松柏.陕西省农业现代化发展水平综合评价[J].农业现代化研究,2018,39(1):57-64.
[12]王娜.河南省低碳农业发展水平及其评价[J].中国农业资源与区划,2018,39(2):123-127.