基于2030年可持续发展目标的吉林省城镇化可持续发展评价
|
摘要
结合联合国2030年可持续发展目标(SDGs)构建城镇化可持续发展评价指标体系,从省内、外两个角度研究吉林省城镇化可持续发展状况。结果表明:吉林省城镇化可持续发展水平波动上升,发展趋势良好,大致可分为3个阶段;研究期内各子系统可持续发展水平均呈上升趋势,其中社会子系统上升幅度最大,经济子系统上升幅度最小。城镇化可持续发展水平空间格局呈"核心-边缘"结构,即长春市水平高、其它地区水平低;经济、社会、资源和环境子系统可持续发展水平总体上表现为"中东部高,西部低"。研究期内吉林省城镇化可持续发展水平低于黑龙江省,2015年后高于辽宁省;相较辽黑两省,吉林省社会子系统可持续发展水平较低。
Combined with 2030 Sustainable Development Goals to construct the index system of sustainable urbanization development(SUD) from economy, society, resources and environment aspects, we use entropy method to calculate the level of SUD in Jilin Province from 2003 to 2016. Cluster analysis method is used to classify the level of SUD, as well as to classify the level of every subsystem. Compared the level of SUD in Jilin Province with those of Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang Province, this article analyzed the reasons for differences between the SUDs in Jilin Province, Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang Province. The result shows as following. 1) The level of SUD in Jilin Province was fluctuating and the trend for development was well. 2) The SUD in Jilin Province was roughly divided into 3 stages: The first stage is from 2003 to 2008,which is a steady rise phase. The second stage was from 2009 to 2012, which was a period of rapid rise. The third stage is from 2013 to 2016, which was a phase of decline. During the study period, each subsystem showed an upward trend, among which the social subsystem rised the largest while the economic subsystem the smallest. The spatial pattern of the SUD in Jilin Province was"core-periphery"— the level of Changchun City was high and the level of other regions were low. The spatial layout of the economic, social and environmental subsystems are"high in the middle and east, low in the west"— the high value area in the middle was Changchun, but the high value areas in the east were slightly different. The resource subsystem is"high in the east, low in other regions"— the high value is in Baishan City. Compared with the SUD in the 3 provinces in Northeast China, during the study period, the level of sustainable urbanization development in Jilin Province was lower than that in Heilongjiang, and higher than that in Liaoning after 2015. Compared with the Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang Provinces, the development of the development of the social subsystem was the worst.
Combined with 2030 Sustainable Development Goals to construct the index system of sustainable urbanization development(SUD) from economy, society, resources and environment aspects, we use entropy method to calculate the level of SUD in Jilin Province from 2003 to 2016. Cluster analysis method is used to classify the level of SUD, as well as to classify the level of every subsystem. Compared the level of SUD in Jilin Province with those of Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang Province, this article analyzed the reasons for differences between the SUDs in Jilin Province, Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang Province. The result shows as following. 1) The level of SUD in Jilin Province was fluctuating and the trend for development was well. 2) The SUD in Jilin Province was roughly divided into 3 stages: The first stage is from 2003 to 2008,which is a steady rise phase. The second stage was from 2009 to 2012, which was a period of rapid rise. The third stage is from 2013 to 2016, which was a phase of decline. During the study period, each subsystem showed an upward trend, among which the social subsystem rised the largest while the economic subsystem the smallest. The spatial pattern of the SUD in Jilin Province was"core-periphery"— the level of Changchun City was high and the level of other regions were low. The spatial layout of the economic, social and environmental subsystems are"high in the middle and east, low in the west"— the high value area in the middle was Changchun, but the high value areas in the east were slightly different. The resource subsystem is"high in the east, low in other regions"— the high value is in Baishan City. Compared with the SUD in the 3 provinces in Northeast China, during the study period, the level of sustainable urbanization development in Jilin Province was lower than that in Heilongjiang, and higher than that in Liaoning after 2015. Compared with the Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang Provinces, the development of the development of the social subsystem was the worst.
引文
[1]中华人民共和国外交部.中国落实2030年可持续发展议程国别方案[R/OL]. https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/zyxw/t1405173.shtml.[Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China. China’s national plan on implementation of the 2030agenda for sustainable development. https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/zyxw/t1405173.shtml.]
[2] Rasoolimanesh S.M, Badarulzaman N, Jaafar M. City development strategies(CDS)and sustainable urbanization in developing world[J]. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,2012,36:623-631.
[3]陆大道,陈明星.关于“国家新型城镇化规划(2014~2020)”编制大背景的几点认识[J].地理学报,2015,70(2):179-185.[Lu Dadao, Chen Mingxing. Several viewpoints on the background of compiling the"National New Urbanization Planning(2014-2020)". Acta Geographica Sinica,2015,70(2):179-185.]
[4]陈明星.城市化领域的研究进展和科学问题[J].地理研究,2015,34(4):614-630.[Chen Mingxing. Research progress and scientific issues in the field of urbanization. Geographical Research,2015,34(4):614-630.]
[5] Chen M X, Lu D D, Zha L Y. The comprehensive evaluation of China's urbanization and effects on resources an and environment[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences,2010,20(1):17-30.
[6] Krank S, Wallbaum H, Grêt-Regamey A. Perceived contribution of indicator systems to sustainable development in developing countries[J]. Sustainable Development,2013,21(1):18-29.
[7] Moussiopoulos N, Achillas C, Vlachokostas C et al. Environmental, social and economic information management for the evaluation of sustainability in urban areas:A system of indicators for Thessaloniki, Greece[J]. Cities,2010,27(5):377-384.
[8] Yigitcanlar T, Dur F, Dizdaroglu D. Towards prosperous sustainable cities:A multiscalar urban sustainability assessment approach[J]. Habitat International,2015,45:36-46.
[9] Galli A,?urovi?G, Hanscom L et al. Think globally, act locally:Implementing the sustainable development goals in Montenegro[J]. Environmental Science&Policy,2018,84:159-169.
[10] Horn P, Grugel J. The SDGs in middle-income countries:Setting or serving domestic development agendas? Evidence from Ecuador[J]. World Development,2018,109:73-84.
[11]周新,冯天天,徐明.基于网络系统的结构分析和统计学方法构建中国可持续发展目标的关键目标和核心指标[J].中国科学院院刊,2018,33(1):20-29.[Zhou Xin, Feng Tiantian, Xu Ming.Determination of strategic targets and core indicators for sustainable development goals(SDGs)integration in China based on SDG interlinkages analysis and statistical method. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2018,33(1):20-29.]
[12] Allen C, Metternicht G, Wiedmann T. National pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs):A comparative review of scenario modelling tools[J]. Environmental Science&Policy,2016,66:199-207.
[13] Campbell B M, Hansen J, Rioux J et al. Urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts(SDG 13):Transforming agriculture and food systems[J]. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability,2018,34:13-20.
[14] Ntona M, Morgera E. Connecting SDG 14 with the other sustainable development goals through marine spatial planning[J].Marine Policy,2018,93:214-222.
[15]王胜今,韩一丁.东北地区城镇化发展水平分析[J].人口学刊,2017,39(3):44-51.[Wang Shengjin, Han Yiding. Analysis on the development level of urbanization in Northeast China. Population Journal,2017,39(3):44-51.]
[16]谭俊涛,张平宇,李静,等.吉林省城镇化与生态环境协调发展的时空演变特征[J].应用生态学报,2015,26(12):3827-3834.[Tan Juntao, Zhang Pingyu, Li Jing et al. Spatial-temporal evolution characteristic of coordination between urbanization and eco-environment in Jilin Province,Northeast China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2015,26(12):3827-3834.]
[17]吉林省人民政府.吉林省新型城镇化(2014~2020)[N].吉林日报,2014-08-07.[Jilin Provincial People's Government. New urbanization in Jilin Province(2014-2020). Jilin Daily. 2014-08-07.]
[18]孙平军,修春亮,张天娇.熵变视角的吉林省城市化与生态环境的耦合关系判别[J].应用生态学报,2014,25(3):875-882.[Sun Pingjun, Xiu Chunliang, Zhang Tianjiao. Identification of coupling relationship between urbanization and ecological environment in Jilin from entropy change perspective. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2014,25(3):875-882.]
[19]陈春林,陈才.吉林省城镇体系空间发展格局研究[J].世界地理研究,2013,22(2):79-87.[Chen Chunlin, Chen Cai. Research on urban system spatial development patter in Jilin Province.World Region Research,2013,22(2):79-87.]
[20]王颖,孙平军,李诚固,等.2003年以来东北地区城乡协调发展的时空演化[J].经济地理,2018,38(7):59-66.[Wang Ying, Sun Pingjun, Li Chenggu et al. Spatial-temporal evolution features of urban and rural harmonious in Northeast China since 2003.Economic Geography,2018,38(7):59-66.]
[21]张慧敏,魏强,佟连军.吉林省产业发展与能源消费实证研究[J].地理学报,2013,68(12):1678-1688.[Zhang Huimin, Wei Qiang, Tong Lianjun. The empirical analysis of industrial development and energy consumption in Jilin Province. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013,68(12):1678-1688.]
[22]董亮,张海滨.2030年可持续发展议程对全球及中国环境治理的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(1):8-15.[Dong Liang, Zhang Haibin. Environmental objectives in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and its implications on the world and China in environmental governance. China Population, Resources and Environment,2016,26(1):8-15.]
[23]张静,任志远.陕西省城市可持续发展系统协调性评价[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(4):79-84.[Zhang Jing, Ren Zhiyuan. Coordination assessment of sustainable urban development system in Shaanxi Province. Areal Research and Development,2016,35(4):79-84.]
[24]初楠臣,张平宇,李鹤,等.俄罗斯西伯利亚与远东地区城镇化发展水平测度及空间分异研究[J].地理科学,2018,38(7):1069-1078.[Chu Nanchen, Zhang Pingyu, Li He et al. Measurement and spatial differentiation of urbanization development in the siberian and far east federal districts in Russia. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2018,38(7):1069-1078.]
[25]中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2004-2017.[National Bureau of Statistics of China.China statistical yearbook. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[26]辽宁省统计局.辽宁统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2004-2017.[Liaoning Provincial Bureau of Statistics. Liaoning statistical year book. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[27]吉林省统计局,国家统计局吉林调查总队.吉林统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2004-2017.[Jilin Provincial Bureau of Statistics, Jilin Investigation Corps of National Bureau of Statistics. Jilin statistical yearbook. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[28]黑龙江省统计局,国家统计局黑龙江调查总队.黑龙江统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2004-2017.[Heilongjiang Provincial Bureau of Statistics, Heilongjiang Investigation Corps of National Bureau of Statistics. Heilongjiang statistical yearbook. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[29]吉林省水利厅.吉林省水资源公报[M].长春:吉林省水利厅,2003-2016.[Jilin Provincial Water Resources Department. Jilin water resources bulletin. Changchun:Jilin Provincial Water Resources Department, 2003-2016.]
[30]马立平.统计数据标准化——无量纲化方法——现代统计分析方法的学与用(三)[J].数据,2000(3):34-35.[Ma Liping. Standardization of statistical data—The method of dimensionless—The study and application of modern statistical analysis methods(III). Data,2000(3):34-35.]
[31]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,等.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.[Wang Fuxi, Mao Aihua, Li Helong et al. Quality measurement and regional difference of urbanization in Shandong Province based on the entropy method. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2013,33(11):1323-1329.]
[32]钱力,李泉,聂华林.基于聚类分析法对甘肃农村居民收入区域类型划分[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(5):20-26.[Qian Li,Li Quan, Nie Hualin. Regional classification of rural residents’income in Gansu. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2013,27(5):20-26.]
[33]高翯,王士君,谭亮.东北振兴以来吉林省区域经济差异的时空演变研究[J].地理科学,2017,37(11):1712-1719.[Gao He,Wang Shijun, Tan Liang. Regional economic disparities and spatio-temporal evolution in Jilin Province since 2003. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2017,37(11):1712-1719.]
[34]盛彦文,马延吉.东北三省科技资源产出效率及经济贡献——基于34个地级城市的面板数据[J].中国科学院大学学报,2016,33(5):632-640.[Sheng Yanwen, Ma Yanji. Output efficiency and economic contribution of scientific and technological resources in the three provinces of Northeast China based on panel data of 34 prefectural cities. Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2016,33(5):632-640.]
(1)中华人民共和国国务院.国务院关于调整城市规模划分标准的通知. http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2014-11/20/content_9225.htm
[2] Rasoolimanesh S.M, Badarulzaman N, Jaafar M. City development strategies(CDS)and sustainable urbanization in developing world[J]. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,2012,36:623-631.
[3]陆大道,陈明星.关于“国家新型城镇化规划(2014~2020)”编制大背景的几点认识[J].地理学报,2015,70(2):179-185.[Lu Dadao, Chen Mingxing. Several viewpoints on the background of compiling the"National New Urbanization Planning(2014-2020)". Acta Geographica Sinica,2015,70(2):179-185.]
[4]陈明星.城市化领域的研究进展和科学问题[J].地理研究,2015,34(4):614-630.[Chen Mingxing. Research progress and scientific issues in the field of urbanization. Geographical Research,2015,34(4):614-630.]
[5] Chen M X, Lu D D, Zha L Y. The comprehensive evaluation of China's urbanization and effects on resources an and environment[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences,2010,20(1):17-30.
[6] Krank S, Wallbaum H, Grêt-Regamey A. Perceived contribution of indicator systems to sustainable development in developing countries[J]. Sustainable Development,2013,21(1):18-29.
[7] Moussiopoulos N, Achillas C, Vlachokostas C et al. Environmental, social and economic information management for the evaluation of sustainability in urban areas:A system of indicators for Thessaloniki, Greece[J]. Cities,2010,27(5):377-384.
[8] Yigitcanlar T, Dur F, Dizdaroglu D. Towards prosperous sustainable cities:A multiscalar urban sustainability assessment approach[J]. Habitat International,2015,45:36-46.
[9] Galli A,?urovi?G, Hanscom L et al. Think globally, act locally:Implementing the sustainable development goals in Montenegro[J]. Environmental Science&Policy,2018,84:159-169.
[10] Horn P, Grugel J. The SDGs in middle-income countries:Setting or serving domestic development agendas? Evidence from Ecuador[J]. World Development,2018,109:73-84.
[11]周新,冯天天,徐明.基于网络系统的结构分析和统计学方法构建中国可持续发展目标的关键目标和核心指标[J].中国科学院院刊,2018,33(1):20-29.[Zhou Xin, Feng Tiantian, Xu Ming.Determination of strategic targets and core indicators for sustainable development goals(SDGs)integration in China based on SDG interlinkages analysis and statistical method. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2018,33(1):20-29.]
[12] Allen C, Metternicht G, Wiedmann T. National pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs):A comparative review of scenario modelling tools[J]. Environmental Science&Policy,2016,66:199-207.
[13] Campbell B M, Hansen J, Rioux J et al. Urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts(SDG 13):Transforming agriculture and food systems[J]. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability,2018,34:13-20.
[14] Ntona M, Morgera E. Connecting SDG 14 with the other sustainable development goals through marine spatial planning[J].Marine Policy,2018,93:214-222.
[15]王胜今,韩一丁.东北地区城镇化发展水平分析[J].人口学刊,2017,39(3):44-51.[Wang Shengjin, Han Yiding. Analysis on the development level of urbanization in Northeast China. Population Journal,2017,39(3):44-51.]
[16]谭俊涛,张平宇,李静,等.吉林省城镇化与生态环境协调发展的时空演变特征[J].应用生态学报,2015,26(12):3827-3834.[Tan Juntao, Zhang Pingyu, Li Jing et al. Spatial-temporal evolution characteristic of coordination between urbanization and eco-environment in Jilin Province,Northeast China. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2015,26(12):3827-3834.]
[17]吉林省人民政府.吉林省新型城镇化(2014~2020)[N].吉林日报,2014-08-07.[Jilin Provincial People's Government. New urbanization in Jilin Province(2014-2020). Jilin Daily. 2014-08-07.]
[18]孙平军,修春亮,张天娇.熵变视角的吉林省城市化与生态环境的耦合关系判别[J].应用生态学报,2014,25(3):875-882.[Sun Pingjun, Xiu Chunliang, Zhang Tianjiao. Identification of coupling relationship between urbanization and ecological environment in Jilin from entropy change perspective. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2014,25(3):875-882.]
[19]陈春林,陈才.吉林省城镇体系空间发展格局研究[J].世界地理研究,2013,22(2):79-87.[Chen Chunlin, Chen Cai. Research on urban system spatial development patter in Jilin Province.World Region Research,2013,22(2):79-87.]
[20]王颖,孙平军,李诚固,等.2003年以来东北地区城乡协调发展的时空演化[J].经济地理,2018,38(7):59-66.[Wang Ying, Sun Pingjun, Li Chenggu et al. Spatial-temporal evolution features of urban and rural harmonious in Northeast China since 2003.Economic Geography,2018,38(7):59-66.]
[21]张慧敏,魏强,佟连军.吉林省产业发展与能源消费实证研究[J].地理学报,2013,68(12):1678-1688.[Zhang Huimin, Wei Qiang, Tong Lianjun. The empirical analysis of industrial development and energy consumption in Jilin Province. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2013,68(12):1678-1688.]
[22]董亮,张海滨.2030年可持续发展议程对全球及中国环境治理的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(1):8-15.[Dong Liang, Zhang Haibin. Environmental objectives in the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and its implications on the world and China in environmental governance. China Population, Resources and Environment,2016,26(1):8-15.]
[23]张静,任志远.陕西省城市可持续发展系统协调性评价[J].地域研究与开发,2016,35(4):79-84.[Zhang Jing, Ren Zhiyuan. Coordination assessment of sustainable urban development system in Shaanxi Province. Areal Research and Development,2016,35(4):79-84.]
[24]初楠臣,张平宇,李鹤,等.俄罗斯西伯利亚与远东地区城镇化发展水平测度及空间分异研究[J].地理科学,2018,38(7):1069-1078.[Chu Nanchen, Zhang Pingyu, Li He et al. Measurement and spatial differentiation of urbanization development in the siberian and far east federal districts in Russia. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2018,38(7):1069-1078.]
[25]中华人民共和国国家统计局.中国统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2004-2017.[National Bureau of Statistics of China.China statistical yearbook. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[26]辽宁省统计局.辽宁统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2004-2017.[Liaoning Provincial Bureau of Statistics. Liaoning statistical year book. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[27]吉林省统计局,国家统计局吉林调查总队.吉林统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2004-2017.[Jilin Provincial Bureau of Statistics, Jilin Investigation Corps of National Bureau of Statistics. Jilin statistical yearbook. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[28]黑龙江省统计局,国家统计局黑龙江调查总队.黑龙江统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社, 2004-2017.[Heilongjiang Provincial Bureau of Statistics, Heilongjiang Investigation Corps of National Bureau of Statistics. Heilongjiang statistical yearbook. Beijing:China Statistics Press,2004-2017.]
[29]吉林省水利厅.吉林省水资源公报[M].长春:吉林省水利厅,2003-2016.[Jilin Provincial Water Resources Department. Jilin water resources bulletin. Changchun:Jilin Provincial Water Resources Department, 2003-2016.]
[30]马立平.统计数据标准化——无量纲化方法——现代统计分析方法的学与用(三)[J].数据,2000(3):34-35.[Ma Liping. Standardization of statistical data—The method of dimensionless—The study and application of modern statistical analysis methods(III). Data,2000(3):34-35.]
[31]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,等.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.[Wang Fuxi, Mao Aihua, Li Helong et al. Quality measurement and regional difference of urbanization in Shandong Province based on the entropy method. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2013,33(11):1323-1329.]
[32]钱力,李泉,聂华林.基于聚类分析法对甘肃农村居民收入区域类型划分[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(5):20-26.[Qian Li,Li Quan, Nie Hualin. Regional classification of rural residents’income in Gansu. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2013,27(5):20-26.]
[33]高翯,王士君,谭亮.东北振兴以来吉林省区域经济差异的时空演变研究[J].地理科学,2017,37(11):1712-1719.[Gao He,Wang Shijun, Tan Liang. Regional economic disparities and spatio-temporal evolution in Jilin Province since 2003. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2017,37(11):1712-1719.]
[34]盛彦文,马延吉.东北三省科技资源产出效率及经济贡献——基于34个地级城市的面板数据[J].中国科学院大学学报,2016,33(5):632-640.[Sheng Yanwen, Ma Yanji. Output efficiency and economic contribution of scientific and technological resources in the three provinces of Northeast China based on panel data of 34 prefectural cities. Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2016,33(5):632-640.]
(1)中华人民共和国国务院.国务院关于调整城市规模划分标准的通知. http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/2014-11/20/content_9225.htm