基于博弈论的风水火发电商容量优化研究
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摘要
考虑到火电、风电、水电的运行特性和竞争关系,建立了基于博弈论并且以利润最大化为目标的模型,分别计算三方在合作与否情况下各自的最优规划容量和获得的最大利润.在算例分析中还用到了迭代法,得到三方在不合作下的均衡解和模型中目标函数解一致,并得到了风电和水电在市场中更具有竞争性的结论.
Considering the operational characteristics and competition relationship of thermal power,wind power and hydropower,a game theory based model with the goal of maximizing profit is established to calculate the optimal planning capacity and the maximum profit of each party under the condition of cooperation or not.In the case study,the iteration method is also used to get the equilibrium solution of the three parties under uncooperation and the objective function solution of the model is consistent,and the conclusion that wind power and hydropower are more competitive in the market is obtained.The research work and results can provide references for power plant construction,energy planning and profit maximization of power producers in some areas.
Considering the operational characteristics and competition relationship of thermal power,wind power and hydropower,a game theory based model with the goal of maximizing profit is established to calculate the optimal planning capacity and the maximum profit of each party under the condition of cooperation or not.In the case study,the iteration method is also used to get the equilibrium solution of the three parties under uncooperation and the objective function solution of the model is consistent,and the conclusion that wind power and hydropower are more competitive in the market is obtained.The research work and results can provide references for power plant construction,energy planning and profit maximization of power producers in some areas.
引文
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[9] 张宇波,罗先觉,薛钧义.非完全信息下电力市场中电厂机组出力优化的改进古诺模型[J].中国电机工程学报,2003,23(6):7-12.
[10] 葛晓琳,张粒子,舒隽.风水火系统长期优化调度方法[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(34):153-161.
[11] 华文,徐政.风电火电打捆送出时的输电容量优化方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2012,40(8):121-125.
[12] 杨海生,卢盛阳.电力行业标准DL/T904中供电煤耗及供热煤耗的计算修正探讨[J].汽轮机技术,2018,60(1):62-65.
[2] 刁勤华,林济铿,倪以信,等.博弈论及其在电力市场中的应用[J].电力系统自动化,2001,25(1):19-23
[3] 邓冬冬,任洪波,吴琼,等.基于博弈视角的能源问题分析与决策[J].应用能源技术,2017 (2):1-6.
[4] 袁智强,侯志俭,蒋传文,等.电力市场古诺模型的均衡分析[J].电网技术,2003,27(12):6-9.
[5] 刘连光,刘鸿熹,刘自发,等.基于古诺模型的风火电合作容量优化[J].中国科学:技术科学,2016,46(5):467-474
[6] 张宇波,罗先觉,薛钧义.非线性市场需求下机组优化出力的自适应动态古诺模型[J].中国电机工程学报,2003,23(11):80-84.
[7] BORENSTEIN S,BUSHNELL J.An empirical analysis of the potential for market power in California′s electricity industry[J].J Ind Econ,1999,47(3):285-3238.
[8] 余贻鑫,陈晓明.考虑输电约束的古诺均衡求解方法[J].中国电机工程学报,2005,25(13):68-72.
[9] 张宇波,罗先觉,薛钧义.非完全信息下电力市场中电厂机组出力优化的改进古诺模型[J].中国电机工程学报,2003,23(6):7-12.
[10] 葛晓琳,张粒子,舒隽.风水火系统长期优化调度方法[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(34):153-161.
[11] 华文,徐政.风电火电打捆送出时的输电容量优化方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2012,40(8):121-125.
[12] 杨海生,卢盛阳.电力行业标准DL/T904中供电煤耗及供热煤耗的计算修正探讨[J].汽轮机技术,2018,60(1):62-65.