基于多气象指标的地区短期负荷预测研究
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摘要
为了实现电网负荷预测工作的一体化,提升供电公司负荷预测工作的管理水平,做出准确的负荷预测结果,提出考虑地区气象主导影响因素短期负荷预测系统。该系统提高了工作效率和工作水平,为电网负荷预测工作以及后续节能减排发电调度计划制定提供基础和保障。
In order to achieve the goal of the integration of power load forecasting, improve the management level of load forecasting work of Lin Hai, and to make load forecasting results more accurate, this paper propose a short-term load forecasting system which consider the regional meteorological factors. The system will improve the efficiency and the working level of power load forecasting and will also provide the foundation and guarantee for power load forecasting and the subsequent energy saving generation dispatching program.
In order to achieve the goal of the integration of power load forecasting, improve the management level of load forecasting work of Lin Hai, and to make load forecasting results more accurate, this paper propose a short-term load forecasting system which consider the regional meteorological factors. The system will improve the efficiency and the working level of power load forecasting and will also provide the foundation and guarantee for power load forecasting and the subsequent energy saving generation dispatching program.
引文
[1]康重庆,周安石,王鹏,等.短期负荷预测中实时气象因素的影响分析及其处理策略[J].电网技术,2006,07:5-10.
[2]廖旎焕,胡智宏,马莹莹,等.电力系统短期负荷预测方法综述[J].电力系统保护与控制,2011,01:147-152.
[3]郭华安,加玛力汗·库马什,常喜强,等.电力系统短期负荷预测精度研究[J].科技资讯,2011,21:132-133.
[4]李小燕.考虑气象因素的电力系统短期负荷预测研究[D].华南理工大学,2013.
[5]郭华安,加玛力汗·库马什,常喜强,等.电力系统短期负荷预测方法与预测精度综述[J].电气技术,2011,10:20-23+51.
[6]焦润海,苏辰隽,林碧英,等.基于气象信息因素修正的灰色短期负荷预测模型[J].电网技术,2013,03:720-725.
[2]廖旎焕,胡智宏,马莹莹,等.电力系统短期负荷预测方法综述[J].电力系统保护与控制,2011,01:147-152.
[3]郭华安,加玛力汗·库马什,常喜强,等.电力系统短期负荷预测精度研究[J].科技资讯,2011,21:132-133.
[4]李小燕.考虑气象因素的电力系统短期负荷预测研究[D].华南理工大学,2013.
[5]郭华安,加玛力汗·库马什,常喜强,等.电力系统短期负荷预测方法与预测精度综述[J].电气技术,2011,10:20-23+51.
[6]焦润海,苏辰隽,林碧英,等.基于气象信息因素修正的灰色短期负荷预测模型[J].电网技术,2013,03:720-725.