西宁市房地产投资与城市经济耦合协调发展测度
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摘要
在房地产持续过热发展的大背景下,分析房地产投资与城市经济发展的关系与耦合协调性,有利于深刻认识房地产经济对城市经济发展的促进作用和二者的协调状况,为政府调控房地产投资和制定城市发展政策提供依据和参考。以青海省省会西宁市为例,分析了2000-2015年西宁市房地产投资与经济发展概况及房地产投资与社会经济发展的各项指标之间的关系,并构建房地产投资和城市经济发展的综合评价指标体系,借助物理学耦合模型,分析了2000-2015年西宁市房地产投资与城市经济耦合协调发展的演进趋势。研究结果表明:2000-2015年西宁市表现出一定程度的房地产投资过热现象,房地产投资与经济发展的协调发展类型经历了从基本不协调到基本协调再到高级协调的演变过程。
Under the background of the continuous overheating of real estate, the analysis of the relationship and coupling coordination between real estate investment and urban economic development is conducive to a profound understanding of the role of real estate economy in the development of urban economy and the coordination between the two, and can provide a basis and reference for the government to regulate real estate investment and formulate urban development policy. Taking Xining city, capital of Qinghai province as an example, this paper analyzed the basic situation of real estate investment and economic development in Xining from 2000 to 2015, the relationship between real estate investment and various indicators of social and economic development firstly. Then a comprehensive evaluation index system of real estate investment and urban economic development was established. The analysis of the evolution trend of the coordinated development of real estate investment and urban economy in Xining from 2000 to 2015 with the aid of physics coupling model was shown at last. The results were shown as follows: Xining city showed a certain degree of overheating of real estate investment from 2000 to 2015,and the coordinated development type of real estate investment and economic development had experienced the evolution process from basic incoordination to basic coordination, and then to advanced coordination.
Under the background of the continuous overheating of real estate, the analysis of the relationship and coupling coordination between real estate investment and urban economic development is conducive to a profound understanding of the role of real estate economy in the development of urban economy and the coordination between the two, and can provide a basis and reference for the government to regulate real estate investment and formulate urban development policy. Taking Xining city, capital of Qinghai province as an example, this paper analyzed the basic situation of real estate investment and economic development in Xining from 2000 to 2015, the relationship between real estate investment and various indicators of social and economic development firstly. Then a comprehensive evaluation index system of real estate investment and urban economic development was established. The analysis of the evolution trend of the coordinated development of real estate investment and urban economy in Xining from 2000 to 2015 with the aid of physics coupling model was shown at last. The results were shown as follows: Xining city showed a certain degree of overheating of real estate investment from 2000 to 2015,and the coordinated development type of real estate investment and economic development had experienced the evolution process from basic incoordination to basic coordination, and then to advanced coordination.
引文
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[2]茹渭.我国房地产投资与国民经济发展关系的实证分析[J].上海金融,2015(3):108-110.
[3]杨婷.我国房地产投资与国民经济增长互动关系研究[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2010.
[4]贺书平.我国房地产投资与经济增长互动关系的实证分析[D].大连:东北财经大学,2005.
[5]倪重杰.山东省房地产投资与其经济增长的关系研究[D].沈阳:辽宁大学,2017.
[6]杨忠娜.新疆房地产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].现代城市研究,2014(1):116-120.
[7]史立新.吉林省房地产投资与经济协调性实证研究[D].长春:东北师范大学,2013.
[8]张春红.湖南省房地产投资变动对经济增长影响的实证分析[D].贵阳:贵州财经学院,2010.
[9]高利梅,耿亚男,李修平.青岛市房地产投资对经济发展的影响分析[J].当代经济,2016(18):4-15.
[10]赵小诗.天津市房地产投资与经济增长关系实证研究[D].天津:天津财经大学.2015.
[11]谢奎.上海市房地产投资与经济增长之间关系的研究[D].上海:上海工程技术大学,2015.
[12]邱祖福.赣州市房地产业投资与城市经济发展的关系研究[D].赣州:江西理工大学,2013.
[13]郑成华.西安市房地产投资与经济发展适应性研究[D].西安:西安建筑科技大学,2010.
[14]许东钊.中国房地产投资与经济增长关系的区域比较研究[D].保定:河北大学,2014.
[15]沈建新.我国房地产投资的区域差异性及协调关系研究[D].南宁:广西大学,2008.
[16]朱文玉.西部地区房地产投资与区域经济协调发展研究[D].贵阳:贵州大学,2015.
[17]彭丹丹,彭秀丽,黄利文.不同等级城市房地产投资与经济增长关系研究[J].中国集体经济.2015(15):11-12.
[18]吴嵩.中国房地产投资与经济增长的计量分析[J].技术经济与管理研究,2010(1):22-25.
[19]董昊.西安市房地产投资与经济增长关系的计量分析[J].科技经济市场,2009(5):52-53.
[20]齐琳.2000-2015年房地产投资与经济增长实证研究:基于江苏省13个地级市的面板数据[J].市场周刊:理论研究,2016(12):107-110.
[21]陈超,张洪.昆明市房地产业与区域经济协调性分析[J].经济研究导刊,2014(29):98-100.
[22]叶剑平,谢经荣.房地产业与社会经济协调发展研究[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2005:54-55.
[23]付敏.我国房地产泡沫问题讨论综述[J].经济理论与经济管理,2005(6):76-80.
[24]张旭.中国西部地区省会城市城镇化质量与规模协调发展评价研究[D].西安:长安大学,2016.