摘要
本文以2001~2016年中国与东盟高新技术产品贸易数据为基础,运用修正的恒定市场份额模型(CMS)对高新技术产品贸易波动因素进行分解和测算。结果显示:中国对东盟高新技术产品出口波动最主要的因素是价格竞争力效应,市场需求效应、出口商品结构效应偏弱,但近年来价格竞争力效应有所下降;相比之下,东盟对中国高新技术产品出口波动最主要的因素是市场需求效应,出口商品结构效应和价格竞争力效应都偏弱,近年来市场需求效应有上升趋势。
Baseon the high-tech products trade data between China and ASEAN,this paper uses the revised Constant Market Share Model(CMS) to decompose and calculate its influential factors. The empirical study results demonstrate as follows: the price competitiveness effect which gradually decreased is the primary factor of China's export to ASEAN about high-tech products, followed by the market demand effect, but the export structural effect is weak; by contrast, the market demand effect which was on the uptrend is the dominant factor of ASEAN's export to China about high-tech products, but the export structural effect and the price competitiveness effect are both weak.
引文
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