海西区城市化质量空间演变与影响因素
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摘要
从经济社会发展质量、城市化发展效率、环境发展质量、居民生活条件和城乡差距等5方面,遴选了19个影响城市化质量的关键表征指标,利用因子分析法构建了海西区城市化质量综合评价指标体系,分析了海西区城市化质量时空演化特征与驱动力。研究表明:2005~2014年海西区城市化质量总体呈上升趋势且大部分城市的城市化质量增长幅度正向加速,但城市间发展速度差距逐渐拉大;2009~2014年各城市间空间相互影响作用较大,呈现较显著的空间溢出效应和空间分化现象,极化中心带集中于东部沿海地区;"经济社会发展质量"、"城市化发展效率"、"环境发展质量"是影响推动城市化质量发展的主要驱动因素;大部分城市的"经济社会发展质量"与"城市化发展效率"呈相似发展趋势,"经济社会发展质量"与"环境发展质量"的发展呈相反趋势,较为发达城市受各因子影响弹性较小,中小城市对因子影响较为敏感。
This study selects 19 key indicators influencing the urbanization quality from six aspects,including economic and social development quality,efficiency of urbanization,environmental development quality,urbanrural gapandresidents living conditions. An evaluation index criterion of urbanization quality in the Economic Zone on the West Coast of the Taiwan Straits( EZWCTS) of China is built based on above 19 key indicators by using factor analysis method. The spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of urbanization quality are analyzed. The results show that the urbanization quality in the EZWCTS presents an overallincreasing trend from 2005 to 2014. The growth of urbanization quality for most of the cities are at the positively accelerating trends in the EZWCTS,while the development gap among different cities is gradually enlarged. The spatial interaction amongthe cities is relatively largefrom 2009 to 2014,presenting a dramatic spatial spillover effect and spatial heterogeneity. The polarization center mainly focuseson the east coast. Economic and social development quality,environmental development quality and efficiency of urbanization are the main driving factors. Economic and social development quality and efficiency of urbanization of majority of the cities show a similar development trend,but Economic and social development quality and environmental development quality of themshow an opposite one. The elasticity to each driving factor is relatively smaller for the developed cities,while the sensitivity to each driving factor is relatively higher for the small-medium cities.
This study selects 19 key indicators influencing the urbanization quality from six aspects,including economic and social development quality,efficiency of urbanization,environmental development quality,urbanrural gapandresidents living conditions. An evaluation index criterion of urbanization quality in the Economic Zone on the West Coast of the Taiwan Straits( EZWCTS) of China is built based on above 19 key indicators by using factor analysis method. The spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of urbanization quality are analyzed. The results show that the urbanization quality in the EZWCTS presents an overallincreasing trend from 2005 to 2014. The growth of urbanization quality for most of the cities are at the positively accelerating trends in the EZWCTS,while the development gap among different cities is gradually enlarged. The spatial interaction amongthe cities is relatively largefrom 2009 to 2014,presenting a dramatic spatial spillover effect and spatial heterogeneity. The polarization center mainly focuseson the east coast. Economic and social development quality,environmental development quality and efficiency of urbanization are the main driving factors. Economic and social development quality and efficiency of urbanization of majority of the cities show a similar development trend,but Economic and social development quality and environmental development quality of themshow an opposite one. The elasticity to each driving factor is relatively smaller for the developed cities,while the sensitivity to each driving factor is relatively higher for the small-medium cities.
引文
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[26]薛若晗.海峡西岸经济区4省生态足迹分析[J].安徽农业科学,2014,42(32):11449-11451.XUE R H.Analysis on ecological footprint of the four provinces in Economic Zone on the Western Coast of the Taiwan Straits[J].Journal of Anhui Agriculture Science,2014,42(32):11449-11451.
[27]刘炳辉,李晓青.海峡西岸经济区产业竞争力实证研究[J].统计研究,2007,24(12):18-21.LIU B H,LI X Q.An empirical study on regional industrial competitiveness of Economic Zone on the West Side of the Straits[J].Statistical Research,2007,24(12):18-21.
[28]郭青海,张国钦,崔胜辉.海峡西岸经济区城市化进程中产业结构转变及其对资源消耗的影响[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2010,20(3):50-55.GUO H Q,ZHANG G Q,CUI S H.Transformation of industrial structures and its effect on resources consumption inurbanization of Economic Region on West Coast of Taiwan Strait[J].China Population,Resource and Environment,2010,20(3):50-55.
[29]胡蝶,张向前.海峡西岸经济区先进制造业发展评价分析[J].经济地理,2011,31(6):961-967.HU D,ZHANG X Q.An analysis on the development of advanced manufacturing base in the Economic Zone on the West Side[J].Economic Geography,2011,31(6):961-967.
[30]米红,曹晖,庞兰芳.海峡西岸经济区区位分析和城市综合竞争力[J].经济地理,2008,28(3):373-375.MI H,CAO H,PANG L F.Location analysis and city competition ability of Economic Zone on the West Side of the Straits[J].Economic Geography,2008,28(3):373-375.
[31]席广亮,甄峰,郑泽爽,等.海峡西岸经济区城市竞争力评价及发展策略[J].热带地理,2008,28(5):467-472.XI G L,ZHEN F,ZHENG Z S,et al.Evaluation and development strategy of urban competitive power on West Shore of the Taiwan Straits[J].Tropical Geography,2008,28(5):467-472.
[32]郭青海,张国钦,崔胜辉.海峡西岸经济区城市化进程的社会经济特征[J].经济地理,2009,29(6):907-912.GUO Q H,ZHANG G Q,CUI S H.The characteristics in urbanization of Economic Region on West Coast of Taiwan Strait[J].Economic Geography,2009,29(6):907-912.
[33]林明水,谢红彬.基于经济联系强度的海峡西岸经济区空间格局分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2011,20(7):837-842.LIN M S,XIE H B.An analysis on the spatial structure of Economic Zoneon Western Coast of Taiwan Strait based on regional economic linkages[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2011,20(7):837-842.
[34]王晓文,王强,伍世代,等.海峡西岸经济区城镇体系空间结构特征研究[J].地理科学,2011,31(3):316-321.WANG X W,WANG Q,WU S D,et al.Spatial structure feature of urban system in Economic Zoneon Western Coast of China[J].Geographical Science,2011,31(3):316-321.
[2]AL-SHIHRIFS.Impacts of large-scale residential projects on urban sustainability in Dammam Metropolitan Area,Saudi Arabia,Habitat International[J].2016,56:201-211.
[3]PAVOT W,DIENERE.Review of the satisfaction with life scale[J].Psychological Assessment,1993,5(2):164-172.
[4]CURRAN-COURNANEF,CAINT,GREENHALGHS,et al.Attitudes of a farming community towards urban growth and rural fragmentation—An Auckland case study[J].Land Use Policy,2016,58:241-250.
[5]BICKLERSW,LIZARDOE,CAUVIDM,et al.The transition from a rural to an urban environment in Africa alters G proteincoupled receptor signaling[J].Medical Hypotheses,2016,95:49-53.
[6]ZOPEPE,ELDHOTI,JOTHIPRAKASHV.Impacts of land use-land cover change and urbanization on flooding:A case study of Oshiwara River Basin in Mumbai,India[J].CATENA,2016,145:142-154.
[7]SCHUTTES,SCHULZERE.Projected impacts of urbanization on hydrological resource flows:A case study within the u Mngeni Catchment,South Africa[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2017,196:527-543.
[8]SURYAB.The processes analysis of urbanization,spatial articulation,social change and social capital difference in the dynamics of new town development in the fringe area of Makassar City(Case Study:In Metro Tanjung Bunga Area,Makassar City)[J].Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,2016,227:216-231.
[9]UNITED NATIONS HUMAN HABITAT.Urban indicators guideliners-monitoring the habitat agenda and the millennium development goals[R].United Nations Human Settlements Programme[M].New York:United Nations Publications,2004:8-9.
[10]UNITED NATIONS HUMAN HABITAT.The State of the World’s Cities Report 2001[R].New York:United Nations Publications,2002:116-118.
[11]叶裕民.中国城市化质量研究[J].中国软科学,2001(7):27-31.YE Y M.Approach on China’s urbanization quality[J].China Soft Science,2001(7):27-31.
[12]孔凡文,许世卫.论城镇化速度与质量协调发展[J].城市问题,2005(5):58-61.KONG F W,XU S W.The theory of urbanization coordinated development speed and quality[J].Urban Problem,2005(5):58-61.
[13]方创林,王德利.中国城市化发展质量的综合测度与提升路径[J].地理研究,2011,30(11):1931-1946.FANG C L,WANG D L.Comprehensive measures and improvement of Chinese urbanization development quality[J].Geographical Research,2011,30(11):1931-1946.
[14]李明秋,郎学彬.城市化质量的内涵及其评价指标体系的构建[J].中国软科学,2010(12):182-186.LI M Q,LANG X B.The connotation of urbanization quality and the construction of its evaluation index system[J].China Soft Science,2010(12):182-186.
[15]李雪铭,张春花,周连义,等.城市人工地貌过程对城市化的响应——以大连市为例[J].地理研究,2005,24(5):785-793.LI X M,ZHANG C H,ZHOU L Y,et al.Response of urban man made landscape to urbanization:the case of Dalian[J].Geographical Research,2005,24(5):785-793.
[16]邬珊华,杨忠振,王璐.城市化中企事业单位空间格局演变及其员工人居生活质量研究[J].地理科学,2012,32(11):1328-1334.WU S H,YANG Z Z,WANG L.Spatial distribution of the enterprises and living quality of the employees in the context of urbanization[J].Geographical Science,2012,32(11):1328-1334.
[17]刘洋,胡郴,何文举.资源消耗对湖南省城市化质量的影响研究——基于C-D生产函数和误差修正模型的理论分析与实证检验[J].经济地理,2013,33(12):61-67.LIU Y,HU C,HE W J.How resource consumption exerts influence upon the quality of humanurbanization—based on the Cobb Douglass production functionas well as error correction model[J].Economic Geography,2013,33(12):61-67.
[18]徐素,于涛,巫强.区域视角下中国县级市城市化质量评估体系研究——以长三角地区为例[J].国际城市规划,2011,21(2):53-58.XU S,YU T,WU Q.A study of urbanization quality assessment system of county-level cities in China under the regional perspective:taking the Yangtze delta area as an example[J].Urban Planning International,2011,21(2):53-58.
[19]王德利,赵弘,孙莉,等.首都经济圈城市化质量测度[J].城市问题,2011(12):16-23.WANG D L,ZHAO H,SUN L,et al.The urbanization quality measure of capital economic circle[J].Urban Problem,2011(12):16-23.
[20]袁晓玲,王霄,何维炜.对城市化发展质量的综合评价分析——以陕西省为例[J].城市发展研究,2008,15(2):38-45.YUAN X L,WANG X,HE W W.Synthetic evaluation for urbanization quality of Shaanxi Province[J].Urban Development Research,2008,15(2):38-45.
[21]党兴华,赵璟.关中地区城市化水平地域差异及影响因素分析[J].当代经济科学,2005,27(1):99-112.DANG X H,ZHAO J.Analysis on the influence factor and regional disparities of the level of urbanization in Guanzhong area[J].Modem Economic Science,2005,27(1):99-112.
[22]韩增林,刘天宝.中国地级以上城市城市化质量特征及空间差异[J].地理研究,2009(6):1508-1515.HAN Z L,LIU T B.Analysis of the characteristics and spatial differences ofurbanization quality of cities at prefecture level and above in China[J].Geographical Research,2009(6):1508-1515.
[23]欧向军,甄峰,叶磊,等.江苏省城市化质量的区域差异时空分析[J].人文地理,2012(5):72-82.OU X J,ZHEN F,YE L,et al.Temporal and spatial analysis of regional differences of urbanization quality in Jiangsu Province[J].Human Geography,2012(5):72-82.
[24]王德利.城市化发展质量的影响因素与演化特征[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(6):18-23.WANG D L.Factors and evolution characteristics of urbanization development quality[J].Area Research and Development,2013,32(6):18-23.
[25]袁怀宇.福建海峡西岸经济区城市群发展对策[J].经济地理,2012,32(2):66-70.YUAN H.Development of urban agglomerations-study on of Fujian in the West Coast Economic Zone[J].Economic Geography,2012,32(2):66-70.
[26]薛若晗.海峡西岸经济区4省生态足迹分析[J].安徽农业科学,2014,42(32):11449-11451.XUE R H.Analysis on ecological footprint of the four provinces in Economic Zone on the Western Coast of the Taiwan Straits[J].Journal of Anhui Agriculture Science,2014,42(32):11449-11451.
[27]刘炳辉,李晓青.海峡西岸经济区产业竞争力实证研究[J].统计研究,2007,24(12):18-21.LIU B H,LI X Q.An empirical study on regional industrial competitiveness of Economic Zone on the West Side of the Straits[J].Statistical Research,2007,24(12):18-21.
[28]郭青海,张国钦,崔胜辉.海峡西岸经济区城市化进程中产业结构转变及其对资源消耗的影响[J].中国人口、资源与环境,2010,20(3):50-55.GUO H Q,ZHANG G Q,CUI S H.Transformation of industrial structures and its effect on resources consumption inurbanization of Economic Region on West Coast of Taiwan Strait[J].China Population,Resource and Environment,2010,20(3):50-55.
[29]胡蝶,张向前.海峡西岸经济区先进制造业发展评价分析[J].经济地理,2011,31(6):961-967.HU D,ZHANG X Q.An analysis on the development of advanced manufacturing base in the Economic Zone on the West Side[J].Economic Geography,2011,31(6):961-967.
[30]米红,曹晖,庞兰芳.海峡西岸经济区区位分析和城市综合竞争力[J].经济地理,2008,28(3):373-375.MI H,CAO H,PANG L F.Location analysis and city competition ability of Economic Zone on the West Side of the Straits[J].Economic Geography,2008,28(3):373-375.
[31]席广亮,甄峰,郑泽爽,等.海峡西岸经济区城市竞争力评价及发展策略[J].热带地理,2008,28(5):467-472.XI G L,ZHEN F,ZHENG Z S,et al.Evaluation and development strategy of urban competitive power on West Shore of the Taiwan Straits[J].Tropical Geography,2008,28(5):467-472.
[32]郭青海,张国钦,崔胜辉.海峡西岸经济区城市化进程的社会经济特征[J].经济地理,2009,29(6):907-912.GUO Q H,ZHANG G Q,CUI S H.The characteristics in urbanization of Economic Region on West Coast of Taiwan Strait[J].Economic Geography,2009,29(6):907-912.
[33]林明水,谢红彬.基于经济联系强度的海峡西岸经济区空间格局分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2011,20(7):837-842.LIN M S,XIE H B.An analysis on the spatial structure of Economic Zoneon Western Coast of Taiwan Strait based on regional economic linkages[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2011,20(7):837-842.
[34]王晓文,王强,伍世代,等.海峡西岸经济区城镇体系空间结构特征研究[J].地理科学,2011,31(3):316-321.WANG X W,WANG Q,WU S D,et al.Spatial structure feature of urban system in Economic Zoneon Western Coast of China[J].Geographical Science,2011,31(3):316-321.