关联基础设施系统脆弱性分析
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摘要
鉴于基础设施系统对社会生产和人民生活的重要性,分析基础设施系统的脆弱性,提出相应的抗干扰措施和改进策略,提高基础设施系统的可靠性,成为了当前研究的一个热点课题。基于此,在对基础设施系统脆弱性分析成果的基础上,从方法论的角度探讨了关联基础设施系统的脆弱性,并以华中地区某城市电力—供水网络为例分析了网络在节点级联故障下的脆弱性,为控制基础设施系统的级联故障、增强系统的抗干扰能力提供决策支持。
In view of the importance of infrastructure systems for social well-being and sustenance,analyzing vulnerability of infrastructure systems has become a focal area for the process of optimizing infrastructure design and protection.On this basis,this paper took power and water systems of a major city in China as example and devoted to develop a framework for the analysis of interdependent infrastructure systems vulnerability.It is helpful to provide decision support on cascading failures control and system improvement.
In view of the importance of infrastructure systems for social well-being and sustenance,analyzing vulnerability of infrastructure systems has become a focal area for the process of optimizing infrastructure design and protection.On this basis,this paper took power and water systems of a major city in China as example and devoted to develop a framework for the analysis of interdependent infrastructure systems vulnerability.It is helpful to provide decision support on cascading failures control and system improvement.
引文
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[16]LITTLE R G.A socio-technical systems approach to understanding and enhancing the reliability of interdependent infrastructure systems[J].International Journal of Emergency Management,2004,2(1):98-110.
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[18]WINKLER J,DUENAS-OSORIO L,STEIN R,et al.Interface network models for complex urban infrastructure systems[J].Journal of Infrastructure Systems,2011,17(4):138-150.
[19]OUYANG Min,HONG Liu,MAO Zi-jun,et al.A methodological approach to analyze vulnerability of interdependent infrastructures[J].Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory,2009,17(5):817-828.
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[2]The Clinton Administration.Presidential decision directive 63[R].1998.
[3]DUE珟NAS-OSORIO L A.Interdependent response of networked systems to natural hazards and intentional disruptions[D].Atlanta:Georgia Institute of Technology,2005.
[4]U S-Canada Power System Outage Task Force.Final report on the August 14,2003 Blackout in the United States and Canada:causes and recommendations[R].2004.
[5]史培军.从南方冰雪灾害成因看巨灾防范对策[J].中国减灾,2008(2):12-15.
[6]毛子骏,费奇,欧阳敏,等.关联基础设施网络模型研究综述[J].计算机科学,2009,36(3):5-9.
[7]尹项根,陈庆前,王博,等.基于四层集合模型的复杂电力系统脆弱性评估体系[J].电工技术学报,2013,28(1):225-233.
[8]陈国炎,张哲,尹项根.基于HLA/agent的广域后备保护仿真平台设计[J].中国电机工程学报,2013,33(1):1-8.
[9]BORSHCHEV A,FILIPPOV A.From system dynamics and discrete event to practical agent based modeling:reasons,techniques,tools[C]//Proc of the 22nd International Conference on System Dynamics Society.2004.
[10]朱勤,彭希哲,吴开亚.基于投入产出模型的居民消费品载能碳排放测算与分析[J].自然资源学报,2012,27(12):2018-2029.
[11]JOHANSSON J.Risk and vulnerability analysis of interdependent technical infrastructures[D].Lund:Lund University,2010.
[12]顾洁,秦玥,包海龙,等.基于熵权与系统动力学的配电网规划动态综合评价[J].电力系统保护与控制,2013(1):1-7.
[13]LEONTIEF W.Input-output economics[M].Oxford:Oxford University Press,1986.
[14]EUSGELD I,KROGER W,SANSAVINI G,et al.The role of network theory and object-oriented modeling within a framework for the vulnerability analysis of critical infrastructures[J].Reliability Engineering&System Safety,2009,94(5):954-963
[15]JOHANSSON J,JNSSON H,JOHANSSON H.Analysing the vulnerability of electric distribution systems:a step towards incorporating the societal consequences of disruptions[J].International Journal of Emergency Management,2007,4(1):4-17.
[16]LITTLE R G.A socio-technical systems approach to understanding and enhancing the reliability of interdependent infrastructure systems[J].International Journal of Emergency Management,2004,2(1):98-110.
[17]EARL E L,JOHN E M,WILLIAM A W.Restoration of services in interdependent infrastructure systems:a network flows approach[J].IEEE Trans on Systems,Man,and Cybernetics,Part C:Application and Reviews,2007,37(6):1303-1317.
[18]WINKLER J,DUENAS-OSORIO L,STEIN R,et al.Interface network models for complex urban infrastructure systems[J].Journal of Infrastructure Systems,2011,17(4):138-150.
[19]OUYANG Min,HONG Liu,MAO Zi-jun,et al.A methodological approach to analyze vulnerability of interdependent infrastructures[J].Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory,2009,17(5):817-828.
[20]MOTTER A,NISHIKAWA T,LAI Ying-cheng.Cascade-based attacks on complex networks[J].Physical Review E,2002,66(6):065102.