情报视角下暴力恐怖活动多元社会网络测度研究
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摘要
[目的/意义]暴力恐怖活动一般是有组织、有预谋的行动。量化分析暴力恐怖犯罪活动的新特征,对于我国暴力恐怖活动预警、反恐情报挖掘、精准打击暴力恐怖分子以及防范与减少暴力恐怖犯罪等都具有现实意义。[方法/过程]以云南省H暴力恐怖活动为例,利用社会网络分析方法对其人物-资源-技能-任务多元关系网络进行测度,总结了情报视角下暴力恐怖活动的社会网络特征。[结果/结论]研究结果表明:依托多元社会网络分析,能够系统揭示暴力恐怖犯罪的危害性,有效实施反恐预警行动,精准打击暴力恐怖分子,开辟反恐新方向。
[Purpose/Significance]Violent terrorist activities are generally organized and premeditated. The quantitative analysis of violent terrorist crimes is of practical significance to early warning of violent terrorist activities,anti-terrorism intelligence excavation,precision strike against violent terrorists and the prevention of violent terrorist crimes. [Method/Process]Taking the H violent terrorist activities in Yunnan Province as an example,this paper uses the social network analysis method to measure the network of people-resources-skills-tasks,and summarizes the social network characteristics of violent terrorist activities from the perspective of intelligence.[Result/Conclusion]The results show that multiple social networks analysis could systematically disclose the harmfulness of violent terrorist crimes,effectively implement anti-terrorism early warning operations,accurately combat violent terrorists,and open up new directions in anti-terrorism.
[Purpose/Significance]Violent terrorist activities are generally organized and premeditated. The quantitative analysis of violent terrorist crimes is of practical significance to early warning of violent terrorist activities,anti-terrorism intelligence excavation,precision strike against violent terrorists and the prevention of violent terrorist crimes. [Method/Process]Taking the H violent terrorist activities in Yunnan Province as an example,this paper uses the social network analysis method to measure the network of people-resources-skills-tasks,and summarizes the social network characteristics of violent terrorist activities from the perspective of intelligence.[Result/Conclusion]The results show that multiple social networks analysis could systematically disclose the harmfulness of violent terrorist crimes,effectively implement anti-terrorism early warning operations,accurately combat violent terrorists,and open up new directions in anti-terrorism.
引文
[1]王伟.涉疆暴力恐怖活动研究[J].江苏警官学院学报,2014,29(5):48-56.
[2]任克勤.当前暴力恐怖活动犯罪的内涵、特点与侦查防控对策[J].贵州警官职业学报,2015,27(3):14-22.
[3]廖罗德,罗卫东.暴力恐怖活动的特点及应对策略[J].江西警察学院学报,2014(3):45-48.
[4]古丽燕,于尚平.伊斯兰女性暴力恐怖犯罪的原因、特点及对策[J].青少年犯罪问题,2014(6):46-51.
[5]武大伟.暴力恐怖犯罪问题解析——以新疆暴力事件为视角[J].法制与社会,2015(3).
[6]荣亮.暴力恐怖犯罪的预防和惩治问题探析[J].山东警察学院学报,2014,26(3):40-43.
[7]张德英,王成新,叶盛.暴力恐怖犯罪活动的现状与对策研究[J].广西警官高等专科学校学报,2014(5):39-43.
[8]文定杰,文兵.暴力恐怖活动的防范与打击[J].广西警官高等专科学校学报,2014(5):44-48.
[9]张彦台.当前暴力恐怖活动新特征及反恐对策[J].产业与科技论坛,2014(9):11-12.
[10]杨为程,张国吉,韩永初.应对城市中暴力恐怖活动:域外经验及启示[J].新疆社会科学(汉文版),2014(2):86-91.
[11]孙菲菲,林平,曹卓.基于旋转森林集成学习的涉恐实体挖掘研究[J].情报杂志,2015,34(5):190-195.
[12]Prell C.Social network analysis:History,theory and methodology[M].Sage Publications Ltd,2011.
[13]刘军.整体网分析讲义:UCINET软件实用指南[J].上海:格致出版社,2009.
[14]张淼.新疆暴力恐怖活动的社会网络分析[J].新疆社会科学,2016(2):109-114.
[15]Burt R S.Structural holes:the social structure of competition[M].Cambridge:Harvard university press,2009.
[16]肖彬.基于专利引文网络的技术轨道识别与评价研究[D].北京理工大学,2016.
[17]李明星.论讲政治与反对非法宗教活动[J].公安与司法研究,1998(1):19-22.
[2]任克勤.当前暴力恐怖活动犯罪的内涵、特点与侦查防控对策[J].贵州警官职业学报,2015,27(3):14-22.
[3]廖罗德,罗卫东.暴力恐怖活动的特点及应对策略[J].江西警察学院学报,2014(3):45-48.
[4]古丽燕,于尚平.伊斯兰女性暴力恐怖犯罪的原因、特点及对策[J].青少年犯罪问题,2014(6):46-51.
[5]武大伟.暴力恐怖犯罪问题解析——以新疆暴力事件为视角[J].法制与社会,2015(3).
[6]荣亮.暴力恐怖犯罪的预防和惩治问题探析[J].山东警察学院学报,2014,26(3):40-43.
[7]张德英,王成新,叶盛.暴力恐怖犯罪活动的现状与对策研究[J].广西警官高等专科学校学报,2014(5):39-43.
[8]文定杰,文兵.暴力恐怖活动的防范与打击[J].广西警官高等专科学校学报,2014(5):44-48.
[9]张彦台.当前暴力恐怖活动新特征及反恐对策[J].产业与科技论坛,2014(9):11-12.
[10]杨为程,张国吉,韩永初.应对城市中暴力恐怖活动:域外经验及启示[J].新疆社会科学(汉文版),2014(2):86-91.
[11]孙菲菲,林平,曹卓.基于旋转森林集成学习的涉恐实体挖掘研究[J].情报杂志,2015,34(5):190-195.
[12]Prell C.Social network analysis:History,theory and methodology[M].Sage Publications Ltd,2011.
[13]刘军.整体网分析讲义:UCINET软件实用指南[J].上海:格致出版社,2009.
[14]张淼.新疆暴力恐怖活动的社会网络分析[J].新疆社会科学,2016(2):109-114.
[15]Burt R S.Structural holes:the social structure of competition[M].Cambridge:Harvard university press,2009.
[16]肖彬.基于专利引文网络的技术轨道识别与评价研究[D].北京理工大学,2016.
[17]李明星.论讲政治与反对非法宗教活动[J].公安与司法研究,1998(1):19-22.