聚乙烯燃气管道风险评价系统的研究与应用
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摘要
聚乙烯管道(PE管道)作为城镇燃气管道的首选管材,在设计、施工、运行和操作过程中存在许多诱发管道事故的模糊因素。基于此,研究开发了一套基于模糊综合评价算法的管道风险评价系统。将模糊算法应用于PE管道综合评价,通过模糊层次分析确定指标权重。该系统采用C#开发,已在某城镇燃气管道的风险检验开展了应用。应用结果表明,评估结果符合现场实际情况,实现了对PE管道的风险评估,评估数据也被应用到检验报告中,提高了检验过程的科学性和完整性。
As the precedent material selected for urban gas pipeline in the process of pipeline design, construction and operation,polyethylene(PE) has some fuzzy factors inducing pipeline accidents. With respect to this problem, the risk assessment software of PE gas pipeline based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation algorithm was developed. In this paper fuzzy algorithm was used as a tool to evaluate the PE pipeline. And the index weight was determined by fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Relevant software was developed by C#, and was applied on the risk inspection of gas pipeline in one town. It was shown from application results that the assessment results are consistent with the actual situation, and the system can be used for realizing the risk assessment of PE pipeline.Then, the assessment data also has been introduced into test report. Use of this system has made inspection more scientific and complete.
As the precedent material selected for urban gas pipeline in the process of pipeline design, construction and operation,polyethylene(PE) has some fuzzy factors inducing pipeline accidents. With respect to this problem, the risk assessment software of PE gas pipeline based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation algorithm was developed. In this paper fuzzy algorithm was used as a tool to evaluate the PE pipeline. And the index weight was determined by fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Relevant software was developed by C#, and was applied on the risk inspection of gas pipeline in one town. It was shown from application results that the assessment results are consistent with the actual situation, and the system can be used for realizing the risk assessment of PE pipeline.Then, the assessment data also has been introduced into test report. Use of this system has made inspection more scientific and complete.
引文
[1]王新华,屈安,徐永亮,等.城镇燃气埋地聚乙烯管道重大危险源评估技术研究[J].压力容器,2015, 32(10):54-60.
[2]张文艳,姚安林,李又绿,等.埋地燃气管道风险程度的多层次模糊评价方法[J].中国安全科学学报,2006, 16(8):32-33.
[3]W. Kent Muhlbauer. Pipeline Risk Management Manual[M].Gulf Publishing Company, 1992.
[4]DAVID Jones. Risk Assessment Approach to Pipeline Life Management[J]. Pipes&Pipelines International. 1998:1-2.
[5]EMILIO, E. P. and CLOVIS, R. M. Numerical Simulation of Oil Slicks Trajectories:a Tool for Risk Assessment in Pipeline Breakdown[J]. International Pipeline Conference. ASME 2000,Vol.2:1517-1523.
[6]刘新宁.燃气管道安全性的模糊风险评价研究[D].天津:天津大学,2006:1-8.
[7]谢丽婉.基于模糊综合评价的聚乙烯(PE)管道安全预警程序[J].压力容器,2012, 29(2):67-71.
[8]陈仲波.聚乙烯燃气管道基于风险的检验与评价的应用[J].质量技术监督研究,2015(4):9-12.
[9]石磊明.城市埋地燃气管道风险评价研究[D].北京:北京建筑工程学院,2012:60-65.
[10]郭岩宝,傅晓娟,孟涛.基于变权-灰色理论的城镇燃气PE管道风险评价[J].压力容器,2015, 25(32):59-65.
[11]郝永梅,毛小虎,邢志祥,等.燃气管道多因素多态失效概率定量分析[J].化工设备与管道,2013, 50(5):66-70.
[12]符学葳.基于层次分析法的模糊综合评价研究和应用[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学,2011:41-52.
[13]杨纶标.高英仪.模糊数学原理及应用[M].广州:华南理工大学出版社,2002:15-60.
[14]贺小刚.燃气管道失效后果评分指标体系[J].化工设备与管道,2008, 45(6):47-49.
[2]张文艳,姚安林,李又绿,等.埋地燃气管道风险程度的多层次模糊评价方法[J].中国安全科学学报,2006, 16(8):32-33.
[3]W. Kent Muhlbauer. Pipeline Risk Management Manual[M].Gulf Publishing Company, 1992.
[4]DAVID Jones. Risk Assessment Approach to Pipeline Life Management[J]. Pipes&Pipelines International. 1998:1-2.
[5]EMILIO, E. P. and CLOVIS, R. M. Numerical Simulation of Oil Slicks Trajectories:a Tool for Risk Assessment in Pipeline Breakdown[J]. International Pipeline Conference. ASME 2000,Vol.2:1517-1523.
[6]刘新宁.燃气管道安全性的模糊风险评价研究[D].天津:天津大学,2006:1-8.
[7]谢丽婉.基于模糊综合评价的聚乙烯(PE)管道安全预警程序[J].压力容器,2012, 29(2):67-71.
[8]陈仲波.聚乙烯燃气管道基于风险的检验与评价的应用[J].质量技术监督研究,2015(4):9-12.
[9]石磊明.城市埋地燃气管道风险评价研究[D].北京:北京建筑工程学院,2012:60-65.
[10]郭岩宝,傅晓娟,孟涛.基于变权-灰色理论的城镇燃气PE管道风险评价[J].压力容器,2015, 25(32):59-65.
[11]郝永梅,毛小虎,邢志祥,等.燃气管道多因素多态失效概率定量分析[J].化工设备与管道,2013, 50(5):66-70.
[12]符学葳.基于层次分析法的模糊综合评价研究和应用[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学,2011:41-52.
[13]杨纶标.高英仪.模糊数学原理及应用[M].广州:华南理工大学出版社,2002:15-60.
[14]贺小刚.燃气管道失效后果评分指标体系[J].化工设备与管道,2008, 45(6):47-49.