摘要
从行为主体特征、储备对象特征、粮食市场因素和政府政策因素等方面着手,利用结构方程模型分析关键影响因素对农户储粮行为的直接和间接作用,并识别出关键影响因素对农户储粮行为的作用路径和作用程度。研究表明:行为主体特征、储备对象特征、粮食市场因素和政府政策因素均对农户储粮行为有显著的直接影响,其中粮食市场因素和政府政策因素还通过行为主体特征和储备对象特征对农户储粮行为产生显著的间接影响,总效应大小分别为0.360,0.263,-0.331和0.226。根据研究结果,从行为主体层面提出全面提升农户储粮意识和分类引导农户储粮行为、从储备对象层面提出支持农户粮食生产行为和探索农户储粮新型模式、从粮食市场层面提出发挥市场价格引导作用和保障粮食流通渠道顺畅、从政府政策层面提出完善粮食生产补贴政策和建立储粮补贴长效机制等对策措施和政策建议,以促进农户积极储粮和引导农户科学储粮。
Starting from the behavior agent characteristics,storage object characteristics,grain market factors,and government policy factors,the direct and indirect actions of the key factors on farmers' grain storage behavior were analyzed by using the structural equation model,and the acting path of the key factors of farmers' grain storage behavior were found out.The results show that behavior agent characteristics,storage object characteristics,grain market factors,and government policy factors all have a significant direct action on farmers' grain storage behavior;grain market factors and government policy factors both have a significant indirect action on farmers' grain storage behavior through behavior agent characteristics and storage object characteristics,the total effect being 0.360,0.263,-0.331 and 0.226.According to the results,countermeasures and policies were put forward to promote and guide farmers to store grains actively and scientifically,which include the following aspects:comprehensively raising farmers' grain storage consciousness,guiding farmers' grain storage behavior respectively,supporting farmers' grain production behavior,exploring new grain storage modes for farmers,enhancing the guidance role of market price,ensuring grain circulation channel smoothly,improving grain production subsidies policy,and building a long-term mechanism of grain storage subsidies.
引文
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