摘要
学龄人口变动会对教育资源配置产生巨大影响,合理预测学龄人口规模能够为科学配置教育资源提供依据。本文运用人口预测软件CPPS,从学龄人口预测的视角,推算云南省未来基础教育阶段的资源需求量,为教育资源的优化配置提供了科学而具有可操作性的路径。
The change of school-age population will have a huge impact on education resource allocation.Reasonable prediction of school-age population size can provide a basis for scientific allocation of education resource.In this paper, population prediction software CPPS was used to calculate the resource demand of basic education stage in Yunnan province from the perspective of the prediction of school-age population, providing a scientific and operational path for the optimized allocation of education resources.
引文
[1]郭涛.新疆学龄人口变动中的基础教育资源配置研究[D].石河子:石河子大学, 2015:18-19.
[2]刘小强,王德清,伍小兵.学龄人口变动对教育均衡发展的影响[J].教育与经济, 2011,(03):10-12.