2017—2018年流感期间公众抢购行为影响因素分析
|
摘要
目的探讨2017—2018年流感期间公众对防治流感相关药品的抢购行为及影响因素。方法运用网络调查法于2018年1—2月流感期间对1 151名公众进行问卷调查,运用描述性分析、χ~2检验以及logistics回归分析等统计方法进行分析。结果 24.04%的调查对象在流感期间发生了药品抢购,其中64.73%的调查对象遇到药品脱销。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,在本季流感中流感患病经历(OR=1.895)、家中含极易感人群(OR=1.380)、受周围人影响程度高(OR=2.321)、对流感情绪程度高(OR=1.767)是公众参与抢购行为的危险因素,公众对政府信息信任程度高(OR=0.430)是公众参与抢购行为的保护因素。结论公众抢购行为发生率仍需降低,可从加强风险沟通、提高政府公信力、缓解公众情绪以及完善应急药品供应体系等多方面综合干预。
Objective To analyze the incidence and influencing factors of panic buying of medicine for flu prevention and treatment among the public during the epidemic of 2017 – 2018 seasonal influenza and to provide evidences for the prevention of panic buying. Methods We conducted an online anonymous questionnaire survey among 1 151 voluntary internet users from January 6 th to February 1 st 2018 when there was a seasonal influenza epidemic in China. Information on behaviors of panic buying of medicine for flu prevention and treatment were collected among the participants. Descriptive methodology, chi-square test and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used in the study. Results Among the 1 073 eligible respondents, 24.04% reported the involvement in panic buying during the epidemic period; of the selfreported panic buyers, 64.73% encountered the out-of-stock of some medicine they intended to purchase. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that suffering from an influenza(odds ratio [OR] = 1.895), with a family member being very susceptible to the epidemic(OR = 1.380), easily affected by the people around(OR = 2.321), and being highly anxious about flu epidemic(OR = 1.767) were risk factors of panic buying and with a strong confidence on relevant information from governmental agencies(OR = 0.430) was a protective factors against panic buying. Conclusion Comprehensive measures should be implemented by relevant agencies and institutions to reduce panic buying among the public during an influenza epidemic.
Objective To analyze the incidence and influencing factors of panic buying of medicine for flu prevention and treatment among the public during the epidemic of 2017 – 2018 seasonal influenza and to provide evidences for the prevention of panic buying. Methods We conducted an online anonymous questionnaire survey among 1 151 voluntary internet users from January 6 th to February 1 st 2018 when there was a seasonal influenza epidemic in China. Information on behaviors of panic buying of medicine for flu prevention and treatment were collected among the participants. Descriptive methodology, chi-square test and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used in the study. Results Among the 1 073 eligible respondents, 24.04% reported the involvement in panic buying during the epidemic period; of the selfreported panic buyers, 64.73% encountered the out-of-stock of some medicine they intended to purchase. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that suffering from an influenza(odds ratio [OR] = 1.895), with a family member being very susceptible to the epidemic(OR = 1.380), easily affected by the people around(OR = 2.321), and being highly anxious about flu epidemic(OR = 1.767) were risk factors of panic buying and with a strong confidence on relevant information from governmental agencies(OR = 0.430) was a protective factors against panic buying. Conclusion Comprehensive measures should be implemented by relevant agencies and institutions to reduce panic buying among the public during an influenza epidemic.
引文
[1]Johnson NP,Mueller J.Updating the accounts:global mortality of the 1918-1920"Spanish"influenza pandemic[J].Bulletin of the History of Medicine,2002,76(1):105-115.
[2]央视网.[经济信息联播]美国流感季单周儿童死亡数创今冬纪录[EB/OL].(2018-02-25)[2018-03-16].http://tv.cctv.com/2018/02/25/VIDEwVzMi78rxOYCaB96QuNA180225.shtml.
[3]Gao GF.From“A”IV to“Z”IKV:attacks from emerging and reemerging pathogens[J].Cell,2018,172(6):1157-1159.
[4]杨静,汪立杰,祝菲,等.中国大陆地区2016-2017监测年度流感暴发疫情流行病学特征分析[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(6):839-842.
[5]人民网.流感肆虐部分药店特效药断货[EB/OL].(2018-01-10)[2018-03-16].http://health.people.com.cn/n1/2018/0110/c1473929755526.html.
[6]樊茗玥.网络调查数据质量控制研究[D].南京:江苏大学,2011.
[7]Tamura H.Behavioral models of decision making under risk and/or uncertainty with application to public sectors[J].Annual Reviews in Control,2008,32(1):99-106.
[8]周鑫,魏玖长.危机状态下个体抢购行为决策的影响因素研究[J].中国应急管理,2011,5(7):17-23.
[9]陈兰.非常规突发事件下个体非理性抢购行为的影响因素研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2013.
[10]王思怡.突发事件下的个体抢购物品现象的经济学解读[J].商场现代化,2018,47(10):14-15.
[11]谢立仁,陈俊美,张明亲.公共危机下突发性抢购的易发群体识别研究[J].西安工业大学学报,2013,33(5):403-407.
[12]国家卫生健康委.2018年1月9日例行新闻发布会文字实录[EB/OL].(2018-01-09)[2018-03-16].http://www.nhfpc.gov.cn/zhuz/xwfb/201801/a329316a4f254da79a7fa848dfbdddc1.shtml.
[13]邱五七,侯晓辉,毛阿燕,等.WHO风险沟通原则在中国首例输入性中东呼吸综合征防控中运用[J].中国公共卫生,2017,33(2):342-344.
[14]Prati G,Pietrantoni L,Zani B.A social-cognitive model of pandemic influenza H1N1 risk perception and recommended behaviors in Italy[J].Risk Analysis,2011,31(4):645-656.
[15]Lee JEC,Lemyre L.A social-cognitive perspective of terrorism risk perception and individual response in Canada[J].Risk Analysis,2009,29(9):1265-1280.
[16]史继新,李印东,陈东妮,等.北京市顺义区普通人群人感染H7N9禽流感认知和行为调查[J].中国健康教育,2015,31(1):39-42,59.
[17]樊春雷,马谋超,王詠,等.突发性危机情景下抢购现象的发生及其应对策略[J].心理科学进展,2003,11(4):368-374.
[18]陈孟燃.公共危机中的群体心理分析及政府应对--以抢盐事件为例[J].东华大学学报:社会科学版,2015,15(3):142-149.
[19]古斯塔夫·勒庞.乌合之众大众心理研究[M].呼和浩特:内蒙古出版集团远方出版社,2016:13-41.
[2]央视网.[经济信息联播]美国流感季单周儿童死亡数创今冬纪录[EB/OL].(2018-02-25)[2018-03-16].http://tv.cctv.com/2018/02/25/VIDEwVzMi78rxOYCaB96QuNA180225.shtml.
[3]Gao GF.From“A”IV to“Z”IKV:attacks from emerging and reemerging pathogens[J].Cell,2018,172(6):1157-1159.
[4]杨静,汪立杰,祝菲,等.中国大陆地区2016-2017监测年度流感暴发疫情流行病学特征分析[J].中国公共卫生,2018,34(6):839-842.
[5]人民网.流感肆虐部分药店特效药断货[EB/OL].(2018-01-10)[2018-03-16].http://health.people.com.cn/n1/2018/0110/c1473929755526.html.
[6]樊茗玥.网络调查数据质量控制研究[D].南京:江苏大学,2011.
[7]Tamura H.Behavioral models of decision making under risk and/or uncertainty with application to public sectors[J].Annual Reviews in Control,2008,32(1):99-106.
[8]周鑫,魏玖长.危机状态下个体抢购行为决策的影响因素研究[J].中国应急管理,2011,5(7):17-23.
[9]陈兰.非常规突发事件下个体非理性抢购行为的影响因素研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2013.
[10]王思怡.突发事件下的个体抢购物品现象的经济学解读[J].商场现代化,2018,47(10):14-15.
[11]谢立仁,陈俊美,张明亲.公共危机下突发性抢购的易发群体识别研究[J].西安工业大学学报,2013,33(5):403-407.
[12]国家卫生健康委.2018年1月9日例行新闻发布会文字实录[EB/OL].(2018-01-09)[2018-03-16].http://www.nhfpc.gov.cn/zhuz/xwfb/201801/a329316a4f254da79a7fa848dfbdddc1.shtml.
[13]邱五七,侯晓辉,毛阿燕,等.WHO风险沟通原则在中国首例输入性中东呼吸综合征防控中运用[J].中国公共卫生,2017,33(2):342-344.
[14]Prati G,Pietrantoni L,Zani B.A social-cognitive model of pandemic influenza H1N1 risk perception and recommended behaviors in Italy[J].Risk Analysis,2011,31(4):645-656.
[15]Lee JEC,Lemyre L.A social-cognitive perspective of terrorism risk perception and individual response in Canada[J].Risk Analysis,2009,29(9):1265-1280.
[16]史继新,李印东,陈东妮,等.北京市顺义区普通人群人感染H7N9禽流感认知和行为调查[J].中国健康教育,2015,31(1):39-42,59.
[17]樊春雷,马谋超,王詠,等.突发性危机情景下抢购现象的发生及其应对策略[J].心理科学进展,2003,11(4):368-374.
[18]陈孟燃.公共危机中的群体心理分析及政府应对--以抢盐事件为例[J].东华大学学报:社会科学版,2015,15(3):142-149.
[19]古斯塔夫·勒庞.乌合之众大众心理研究[M].呼和浩特:内蒙古出版集团远方出版社,2016:13-41.