基于复杂网络方法的中超联赛主客场对球队运动表现的影响研究
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摘要
为了考察和分析中国足球超级联赛中主客场与球队整体表现的关系,使用2016赛季中国足球超级联赛(CSL)16支参赛队伍30轮共240场比赛中的传球网络数据,构建传球矩阵。基于复杂网络(Complex Network)方法分析球队的整体表现,计算了度和集聚系数等网络结构参数,并对其进行配对样本T检验和分析。结果表明,主场球队传球网络的度和集聚系数均显著大于客场,说明比赛中球员的关联程度和小组配合的成功率均受到比赛地点的影响。因此,传球网络中的参数能够从物理意义上有效和客观地解释球队的比赛表现,可以作为反映比赛表现的重要指标。
To examine and analyze the relationship between home and away matches of the Chinese Football Association Super League(CSL) and the overall team performance, the pass matrix was constructed by using the pass network data of 240 matches in 30 rounds with 16 CSL teams during the 2016 season. Based on the complex network method, the overall performance of the team was analysed, the network structure parameters such as degree and clustering coefficient were calculated,and paired samples T test and related analysis were conducted. The results show that, for the home team, the degree and the clustering coefficient of the pass network are significantly greater than those of the away team, which reveals that the mutual influence among players and the success rate of team cooperation are affected by the competition location. Therefore, the parameters of the pass network can interpret the team performance effectively and objectively in the physical sense, and can be used as an important indicator to reflect the performance in a game.
To examine and analyze the relationship between home and away matches of the Chinese Football Association Super League(CSL) and the overall team performance, the pass matrix was constructed by using the pass network data of 240 matches in 30 rounds with 16 CSL teams during the 2016 season. Based on the complex network method, the overall performance of the team was analysed, the network structure parameters such as degree and clustering coefficient were calculated,and paired samples T test and related analysis were conducted. The results show that, for the home team, the degree and the clustering coefficient of the pass network are significantly greater than those of the away team, which reveals that the mutual influence among players and the success rate of team cooperation are affected by the competition location. Therefore, the parameters of the pass network can interpret the team performance effectively and objectively in the physical sense, and can be used as an important indicator to reflect the performance in a game.
引文
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[43]Clemente F.M.,Martins F.M.L.,Kalamaras D.,et al.The social network analysis of Switzerland football team on FIFA World Cup 2014[J].Journal of Physical Education&Sport,2015,15(1):136-141.
[44]Poulter D.R.Home advantage and player nationality in international club football[J].Journal of Sports Sciences,2009,27(8):797-805.
[45]Hughes Charles F.C.The winning formula[M].Collins,1990.
[46]Liu Tianbiao.Systematische Spielbeobachtung im internationalen Leistungsfuβball[D];University of Bayreuth,2014.
[47]刘天彪,Hohmann Andreas.基于Apriori算法的高水平女足比赛进攻模式---以2012年“阿尔加夫杯”决赛为例[J].上海体育学院学报,2017,41(1):77-82.
[48]刘鸿优,易清,康辉.欧洲足球冠军联赛主场优势的判别分析[J].武汉体育学院学报,2014,48(11):91-95.
[49]Lago-Penas Carlos,Lago-Ballesteros Joaquin.Game Location and Team Quality Effects on Performance Profiles in Professional Soccer[J].Journal of Sports Science&Medicine,2011,10(3):465.
[50]Lagopenas C.,Lagoballesteros J.,Rey E.Differences in performance indicators between winning and losing teams in the UEFA Champions League[J].Journal of Human Kinetics,2011,27(1):135-146.
[51]Lagopenas C.,Lagoballesteros J.,Dellal A.,et al.GameRelated Statistics that Discriminated Winning,Drawing and Losing Teams from the Spanish Soccer League[J].Journal of Sports Science&Medicine,2010,9(2):288-93.
[52]Pena J.L.,Touchette H.A network theory analysis of football strategies[J].arXiv preprint arXiv:12066904,2012
[53]田麦久.运动训练学(第二版)[M].北京:人民体育出版社,2000.
[2]Krumer Alex.On winning probabilities,weight categories,and home advantage in professional judo[J].J.Sports Econ,2017,18(1):77-96.
[3]Koning Ruud H.Home advantage in speed skating:Evidence from individual data[J].Journal of Sports Sciences,2005,23(4):417-427.
[4]Gayton William F.Home Advantage:Does it Exist in Individual Sports[J].Perceptual&Motor Skills,1992,74(3):706.
[5]Pollard R.Home advantage in soccer:a retrospective analysis[J].Journal of Sports Sciences,1986,4(3):237.
[6]Varca Philip E.An analysis of home and away game performance of male college basketball teams[J].Journal of Sport Psychology,1980,2(3):245-257.
[7]Bray Steven R.The home advantage from an individual team perspective[J].Journal of Applied Sport Psychology,1999,11(1):116-125.
[8]Pollard R,Pollard G.Long-term trends in home advantage in professional team sports in North America and England(1876-2003)[J].J Sports Sci,2005,23(4):337-350.
[9]Marcelino R,Mesquita I.,Sampaio J.Home advantage in high-lev el volleyball varies according to set number[J].Journal of Sports Science and Medicine,2009,8(3):352-356.
[10]Gómez Miguel A.,Pollard Richard.Reduced home advantage for basketball teams from capital cities in Europe[J].European Journal of Sport Science,2011,11(2):143-148.
[11]Pollard R,Gómez M.A.Re-assessment of home advantage in Spanish handball:comment on Gutierrez,et al.(2012)[J].Percept Mot Skills,2012,115(3):937-943.
[12]Morton R Hugh.Home advantage in southern hemisphere rugby union:Nationaland international[J].Journal of Sports Sciences,2006,24(05):495-499.
[13]Balmer N.J.,Nevill A.M.,Williams A.M.Home advantage in the Winter Olympics(1908-1998)[J].J Sports Sci,2001,19(2):129-139.
[14]Wilson D.,Ramchandani G.Home advantage in the Winter Paralympic Games 1976-2014[J].Sport Sciences for Health,2017,13(2):355-363.
[15]Schwartz B.,Barsky S.F.The home advantage[J].Social forces,1977,55(3):641-661.
[16]Carron A.V.,Loughhead T.M.,Bray S.R.The home advantage in sport competitions:Courneya and Carron's(1992)conceptual framework a decade later[J].Journal of Sports Sciences,2005,23(4):395-407.
[17]Lagopenas C.,Gómezruano M.,Megíasnavarro D.,et al.Home advantage in football:Examining the effect of scoring first on match outcome in the five major European leagues[J].International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport,2016,16(2):411-421.
[18]García M.S.,Aguilar O.G.,Marques P.S.,et al.Calculating Home Advantage in the First Decade of the 21th Century UEFA Soccer Leagues[J].Journal of Human Kinetics,2013,38(8):141-150.
[19]王铭欣.教练员更替能改善中国足球超级联赛球队的表现吗?[J].体育科学,2016,36(10):80-86.
[20]Gómez R.P.,Miguel A.Components of home advantage in 157 national soccer leagues worldwide[J].International Journal of Sport&Exercise Psychology,2014,12(3):218-233.
[21]Pollard R,Gómez M.A.Home advantage in football in South-West Europe:long-term trends,regional variation,and team differences[J].European Journal of Sport Science,2009,9(6):341-352.
[22]Pollard Richard.Worldwide regional variations in home advantage in association football[J].Journal of sports sciences,2006,24(3):231-240.
[23]彭召方,刘鸿优,国伟.中国足球超级联赛主场优势探析[J].沈阳体育学院学报,2016,35(2):106-111.
[24]Liu Tianbiao,García-De-Alcaraz Antonio,Zhang Liang,et al.Exploring home advantage and quality of opposition interactions in the Chinese Football Super League[J].International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport,2019,(19)3:289-301.
[25]殷小川.我国甲A足球联赛中主场优势影响因素研究[J].首都体育学院学报,1997,18(3):82-85.
[26]刘卫民,樊新,彭彦铭.基于非衡性赛程国际A级足球比赛主场优势的研究[J].中国体育科技,2005,41(5):76-78.
[27]Jacklin Paul B.Temporal changes in home advantage in English football since the Second World War:What explains improved away performance?[J].Journal of sports Sciences,2005,23(7):669-679.
[28]Clarke Stephen R,Norman John M.Home ground advantage of individual clubs in English soccer[J].The Statistician,1995,509-521.
[29]Armatas V.,Pollard R.Home advantage in Greek football[J].European Journal of Sport Science,2014,14(2):116-122.
[30]Perl J.A neural network approach to movement pattern analysis[J].Human Movement Science,2004,23(5):605-620.
[31]Watts D.J.,Strogatz S.H.Collective dynamics of'smallworld'networks[J].Nature,1998,393(6684):440.
[32]Barabási Albert-László,Albert Réka.Emergence of scaling in random networks[J].science,1999,286(5439):509-512.
[33]Cao Xuewei,Shi Yongbin,Wang Penghao,et al.The evolution of network topology structure of Chinese stock market;proceedings of the 2018 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Big Data Analysis(ICBDA),2018[C].IEEE.
[34]Namaki A.,Shirazi A.H.,Raei R.,et al.Network analysis of a financial market based on genuine correlation and threshold method[J].Physica A Statistical Mechanics&Its Applications,2011,390(21-22):3835-3841.
[35]Goh Kwang-Il,Cusick Michael E,Valle David,et al.The human disease network[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,2007,104(21):8685-8690.
[36]Duch J.,Waitzman J.S.,Amaral L.A.Nunes.Quantifying the Performance of Individual Players in a Team Activity[J].Plos One,2010,5(6):e10937.
[37]Grund T.U.Network structure and team performance:The case of English Premier League soccer teams[J].Social Networks,2012,34(4):682-690.
[38]Clemente F.M.,Couceiro M.S.,Mendes R.S.,et al.Using network metrics to investigate football team players'connections:A pilot study[J].Motriz Revista De Educacao Fisica,2014,20(20):262-271.
[39]汪小帆,李翔,陈关荣.网络科学导论[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2012.
[40]茆诗松,程依明,濮晓龙,等.概率论与数理统计教程(第二版)[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2011.
[41]Carlos C.,Mora A.M.,Julin M.J.,et al.A Network Analysis of the 2010 FIFA World Cup Champion Team Play[J].Journal of Systems Science&Complexity,2013,26(1):21-42.
[42]Clemente F.M,Martins F.M.L,Couceiro M.S,et al A network approach to characterize the teammates'interactions on football:a single match analysis[J].Cuadernos De Psicologa-a Del Deporte,2014,14(3):págs141-147.
[43]Clemente F.M.,Martins F.M.L.,Kalamaras D.,et al.The social network analysis of Switzerland football team on FIFA World Cup 2014[J].Journal of Physical Education&Sport,2015,15(1):136-141.
[44]Poulter D.R.Home advantage and player nationality in international club football[J].Journal of Sports Sciences,2009,27(8):797-805.
[45]Hughes Charles F.C.The winning formula[M].Collins,1990.
[46]Liu Tianbiao.Systematische Spielbeobachtung im internationalen Leistungsfuβball[D];University of Bayreuth,2014.
[47]刘天彪,Hohmann Andreas.基于Apriori算法的高水平女足比赛进攻模式---以2012年“阿尔加夫杯”决赛为例[J].上海体育学院学报,2017,41(1):77-82.
[48]刘鸿优,易清,康辉.欧洲足球冠军联赛主场优势的判别分析[J].武汉体育学院学报,2014,48(11):91-95.
[49]Lago-Penas Carlos,Lago-Ballesteros Joaquin.Game Location and Team Quality Effects on Performance Profiles in Professional Soccer[J].Journal of Sports Science&Medicine,2011,10(3):465.
[50]Lagopenas C.,Lagoballesteros J.,Rey E.Differences in performance indicators between winning and losing teams in the UEFA Champions League[J].Journal of Human Kinetics,2011,27(1):135-146.
[51]Lagopenas C.,Lagoballesteros J.,Dellal A.,et al.GameRelated Statistics that Discriminated Winning,Drawing and Losing Teams from the Spanish Soccer League[J].Journal of Sports Science&Medicine,2010,9(2):288-93.
[52]Pena J.L.,Touchette H.A network theory analysis of football strategies[J].arXiv preprint arXiv:12066904,2012
[53]田麦久.运动训练学(第二版)[M].北京:人民体育出版社,2000.