基于BRT_DC_Pd模型的土地利用模拟研究
|
摘要
通过对Dyna-CLUE模型进行改进,嵌入BRT模型和Patch-dynamics模型,形成BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patchdynamics模型。以生态脆弱区典型县域磴口县为研究区,基于2006年磴口县土地利用情况,应用BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics模型,对磴口县2016年的土地利用状况进行模拟预测,并与目前应用较多的Logistic_CA_Markov模型进行对比验证。结果表明,Logistic_CA_Markov模型模拟结果的Kappa系数为0.721 4,BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patchdynamics模型模拟结果的Kappa系数为0.782 6,2个组合模型的模拟结果精度较高,均与真实解译结果具有高度一致性,但BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics模型模拟精度更高,结果更优。因此,将BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patchdynamics模型应用于当地土地利用变化模拟预测,具有一定可行性,可为当地生态治理以及相关政策的实施提供一定的参考。
The BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model was formed by improving Dyna-CLUE model,by embedding BRT model and Patch-dynamics model. Based on the landuse situation in Dengkou County in 2006,a case study was conducted in Dengkou County,a typical county in the ecologically fragile region. The BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model was used to simulate the landuse situation in 2016 in Dengkou County and compared with the Logistic_CA_Markov model which was currently used more.The results showed that the Kappa coefficient of the Logistic_CA_Markov model was 0. 721 4,and the Kappa coefficient of the BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model was 0. 782 6. The simulation results of the two combinatorial models were highly accurate and both were highly consistent with the real interpretation results. BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model had high simulation accuracy and good result. Therefore,it is feasible to apply the BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model to the simulation and forecast of local landuse change in order to provide some reference for the implementation of local ecological control and related policies.
The BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model was formed by improving Dyna-CLUE model,by embedding BRT model and Patch-dynamics model. Based on the landuse situation in Dengkou County in 2006,a case study was conducted in Dengkou County,a typical county in the ecologically fragile region. The BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model was used to simulate the landuse situation in 2016 in Dengkou County and compared with the Logistic_CA_Markov model which was currently used more.The results showed that the Kappa coefficient of the Logistic_CA_Markov model was 0. 721 4,and the Kappa coefficient of the BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model was 0. 782 6. The simulation results of the two combinatorial models were highly accurate and both were highly consistent with the real interpretation results. BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model had high simulation accuracy and good result. Therefore,it is feasible to apply the BRT_Dyna-CLUE_Patch-dynamics model to the simulation and forecast of local landuse change in order to provide some reference for the implementation of local ecological control and related policies.
引文
1 GUO X D,CHEN L D,FU B J.Effects of land use/land cover changes on regional ecological environment[J].Advances in Environmental Science,1999,7(6):66-75.
2陆文涛,代超,郭怀成.基于Dyna-CLUE模型的滇池流域土地利用情景设计与模拟[J].地理研究,2015,34(9):1619-1629.LU Wentao,DAI Chao,GUO Huaicheng.Land use scenario design and simulation based on Dyna-CLUE model in Dianchi Lake Watershed[J].Geographical Research,2015,34(9):1619-1629.(in Chinese)
3董智,李红丽,孙保平,等.乌兰布和沙漠东北缘磴口县沙尘天气变化规律及其对防护林体系建设的响应[J].干旱区资源与环境,2004,18(增刊1):269-275.DONG Zhi,LI Hongli,SUN Baoping,et al.The change of sand-wind climate and response to the shelter belt system construction in the Northeastern Ulanbuh Desert[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2004,18(Supp.1):269-275.(in Chinese)
4赵志峰.内蒙古磴口县生态环境脆弱性评价[D].兰州:西北师范大学,2007.ZHAO Zhifeng.Evaluation of eco-environment fragility in Dengkou County,Inner Mongolia,China[D].Lanzhou:Northwest Normal University,2007.(in Chinese)
5杨根生,刘连友,刘志民.磴口县土地沙漠化及其整治[J].干旱区资源与环境,1991,5(1):1-11.YANG Gensheng,LIU Lianyou,LIU Zhimin.Land desetification and its integrated transformation of Dengkou County[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,1991,5(1):1-11.(in Chinese)
6马欢,于强,岳德鹏,等.基于MAS-LCM的沙漠化空间模拟方法研究[J/OL].农业机械学报,2017,48(10):134-141.http:∥www.j-csam.org/jcsam/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?flag=1&file_no=20171016&journal_id=jcsam.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2017.10.016.MA Huan,YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,et al.Spatial simulation method of desertification based on MAS-LCM model[J/OL].Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2017,48(10):134-141.(in Chinese)
7阎金凤,陈曦.基于GIS的干旱区LUCC分析和模拟方法探讨[J].干旱区地理,2003,26(2):185-191.YAN Jinfeng,CHEN Xi.Analysis and stimulation method discussion on LUCC of arid region based on GIS[J].Arid Land Geography,2003,26(2):185-191.(in Chinese)
8施云霞,王范霞,毋兆鹏.基于CLUE_S模型的精河流域绿洲土地利用空间格局多情景模拟[J].国土资源遥感,2016,28(2):154-160.SHI Yunxia,WANG Fanxia,WU Zhaopeng.Multi-simulation of spatial distribution of land use based on CLUE_S in Jinghe Watershed[J].Remote Sensing for Land and Resources,2016,28(2):154-160.(in Chinese)
9王友生,余新晓,贺康宁,等.基于CA-Markov模型的藉河流域土地利用变化动态模拟[J].农业工程学报,2011,27(12):330-336.WANG Yousheng,YU Xinxiao,HE Kangning,et al.Dynamic simulation of land use change in Jihe Watershed based on CA-Markov model[J].Transactions of the CSAE,2011,27(12):330-336.(in Chinese)
10陆汝成,黄贤金,左天惠,等.基于CLUE-S和Markov复合模型的土地利用情景模拟研究---以江苏省环太湖地区为例[J].地理科学,2009,29(4):577-581.LU Rucheng,HUANG Xianjin,ZUO Tianhui,et al.Land use scenarios simulation based on CLUE-S and Markov composite model-a case study of Taihu Lake rim in Jiangsu Province[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2009,29(4):577-581.(in Chinese)
11黎夏,叶嘉安.知识发现及地理元胞自动机[J].中国科学(D辑),2004,34(9):865-872.LI Xia,YE Jiaan.Knowledge discovery and cellular automata[J].Science in China(Series D:Earth Sciences),2004,34(9):865-872.(in Chinese)
12严冬,李爱农,南希,等.基于Dyna-CLUE改进模型和SD模型耦合的山区城镇用地情景模拟研究---以岷江上游地区为例[J].地球信息科学学报,2016,18(4):514-525.YAN Dong,LI Ai'nong,NAN Xi,et al.The study of urban land scenario simulation in mountain area based on modified DynaCLUE model and SDM:a case study of the upper reaches of Minjiang river[J].Journal of Geo-information Science,2016,18(4):514-525.(in Chinese)
13 HELLMANN F,VERBURG P H.Spatially explicit modelling of biofuel crops in Europe[J].Biomass and Bioenergy,2011,35(6):2411-2424.
14 VERBURG P H,OVERMARS K P.Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling:exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model[J].Landscape Ecology,2009,24(9):1167-1181.
15 JUSTIN P W,WILLIAM S C G,CLIVE G J.Patch dynamics in a landscape modified by ecosystem engineers[J].OIKOS,2004,105:336-348.
16 THORNTON P K,JONESB P G.A conceptual approach to dynamic agricultural land-use modelling[J].Agricultural Systems,1998,57(4):505-521.
17 JANE S,DARLA M,HARINI N.Land cover change and landscape fragmentation-comparing the utility of continuous and discrete analyses for a western Honduras region[J].Agriculture,Ecosystems and Environment,2004,101(2-3):185-205.
18 BRITALDO S S-F,GUSTAVO C C,CA'SSIO L P.DINAMICA:a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier[J].Ecological Modelling,2002,154(3):217-235.
19冉圣宏,李秀彬,吕昌河.土地覆被及生态服务价值变化的多时间尺度模拟---以四川省渔子溪流域为例[J].地理学报,2006,61(10):1113-1120.RAN Shenghong,LI Xiubin,LChanghe.Multi-scale modeling of land-cover change and ecosystem service values:a case of the Yuzixi Catchment in Sichuan[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2006,61(10):1113-1120.(in Chinese)
20谢正磊,许学工,孙强.基于Patch-Dynamics模式的土地覆被变化预测---以北京市为例[J].北京大学学报:自然科学版,2008,44(3):452-458.XIE Zhenglei,XU Xuegong,SUN Qiang.Prediction of land cover change based on the Patch-Dynamics model:acase study of Beijing[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2008,44(3):452-458.(in Chinese)
21尹才,刘淼,孙凤云,等.基于增强回归树的流域非点源污染影响因子分析[J].应用生态学报,2016,27(3):911-919.YIN Cai,LIU Miao,SUN Fengyun,et al.Influencing factors of non-point source pollution of watershed based on boosted regression tree algorithm[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2016,27(3):911-919.(in Chinese)
22李春林,刘淼,胡远满,等.基于增强回归树和Logistic回归的城市扩展驱动力分析[J].生态学报,2014,34(3):727-737.LI Chunlin,LIU Miao,HU Yuanman,et al.Driving forces analysis of urban expansion based on boosted regression trees and Logistic regression[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2014,34(3):727-737.(in Chinese)
23于强,岳德鹏,YANG Di,等.基于En KF-MCRP模型的生态用地扩张模拟研究[J/OL].农业机械学报,2016,47(9):285-293.http:∥www.j-csam.org/jcsam/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?flag=1&file_no=20160939&journal_id=jcsam.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2016.09.039.YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,YANG Di,et al.Simulation on ecological land use expansion based on En KF-MCRP model[J/OL].Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2016,47(9):285-293.(in Chinese)
24于强,岳德鹏,郝玉光,等.磴口县荒漠绿洲景观特征及时空变化研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(4):178-183.YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,HAO Yuguang,et al.The spatial and temporal variations of oasis desera landscape in Dengkou County[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2016,30(4):178-183.(in Chinese)
25于强,岳德鹏,YANG Di,等.基于BCBS模型的生态节点布局优化[J/OL].农业机械学报,2016,47(12):330-336,329.http:∥www.j-csam.org/jcsam/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?flag=1&file_no=20161241&journal_id=jcsam.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2016.12.041.YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,YANG Di,et al.Layout optimization of ecological nodes based on BCBS model[J/OL].Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2016,47(12):330-336,329.(in Chinese)
26 ELITH J,LEATHWICK J R,HASTIE T.A working guide toboosted regression trees[J].Journal of Animal Ecology,2008,77:802-813.
27葛跃,王明新,孙向武,等.基于增强回归树的城市PM2.5日均值变化分析:以常州为例[J].环境科学,2017,38(2):485-494.GE Yue,WANG Mingxin,SUN Xiangwu,et al.Variation analysis of daily PM2.5 concentrations based on boosted regressiontree:a case study in Changzhou[J].Environmental Science,2017,38(2):485-494.(in Chinese)
28 WU J,LOUCKS O.From balance of nature to hierarchical Patch dynamics:a paradigm shift in ecology[J].Biology,1995,70(4):439-466.
29 VELDKAMP A,FRESCO L O.CLUE:a conceptual model to study the conversion of land use and its effects[J].Ecological modelling,1996,85(2):253-270.
30 VERBURG P H,SOEPBOER W,VELDKAMP A,et al.Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use:the CLUE-S model[J].Environmental Management,2002,30(3):391-405.
31刘庆凤,刘吉平,宋开山,等.基于CLUE-S模型的别拉洪河流域土地利用变化模拟[J].东北林业大学学报,2010,38(1):64-67.LIU Qingfeng,LIU Jiping,SONG Kaishan,et al.Simulation on spatial pattern of land use change in Bielahong River Basin based on CLUE-S model[J].Journal of Northeast Forestry University,2010,38(1):64-67.(in Chinese)
32张薇,刘淼,戚与珊.基于CLUE-S模型的昆明市域土地利用预案模拟[J].生态学杂志,2014,33(6):1655-1662.ZHANG Wei,LIU Miao,QI Yushan.Land-use scenarios simulation based on the CLUE-S model in Kunming[J].Chinese Journal of Ecology,2014,33(6):1655-1662.(in Chinese)
33布仁仓,常禹,胡远满,等.基于Kappa系数的景观变化测度:以辽宁省中部城市群为例[J].生态学报,2005,25(4):778-784.BU Rencang,CHANG Yu,HU Yuanman,et al.Measuring spatial information changes using Kappa coefficients:a case study of the city groups in central Liaoning province[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2005,25(4):778-784.(in Chinese)
34罗平,李森,李满春,等.海南岛西部土地沙漠化时空模拟及虚拟政策实验[J].地理与地理信息科学,2006,22(6):66-70.LUO Ping,LI Sen,LI Manchun,et al.Spatio-temporal simulation and experiment of policies of desertification land in the west of Hainan Island[J].Geography and Geo-Information Science,2006,22(6):66-70.(in Chinese)
35段翰晨,王涛,薛娴,等.科尔沁沙地沙漠化时空演变及其景观格局---以内蒙古自治区奈曼旗为例[J].地理学报,2012,67(7):917-928.DUAN Hanchen,WANG Tao,XUE Xian,et al.Spatial-temporal evolution of aeolian desertification and landscape pattern in Horqin sandy land:a case study of Naiman Banner in Inner Mongolia[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2012,67(7):917-928.(in Chinese)
2陆文涛,代超,郭怀成.基于Dyna-CLUE模型的滇池流域土地利用情景设计与模拟[J].地理研究,2015,34(9):1619-1629.LU Wentao,DAI Chao,GUO Huaicheng.Land use scenario design and simulation based on Dyna-CLUE model in Dianchi Lake Watershed[J].Geographical Research,2015,34(9):1619-1629.(in Chinese)
3董智,李红丽,孙保平,等.乌兰布和沙漠东北缘磴口县沙尘天气变化规律及其对防护林体系建设的响应[J].干旱区资源与环境,2004,18(增刊1):269-275.DONG Zhi,LI Hongli,SUN Baoping,et al.The change of sand-wind climate and response to the shelter belt system construction in the Northeastern Ulanbuh Desert[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2004,18(Supp.1):269-275.(in Chinese)
4赵志峰.内蒙古磴口县生态环境脆弱性评价[D].兰州:西北师范大学,2007.ZHAO Zhifeng.Evaluation of eco-environment fragility in Dengkou County,Inner Mongolia,China[D].Lanzhou:Northwest Normal University,2007.(in Chinese)
5杨根生,刘连友,刘志民.磴口县土地沙漠化及其整治[J].干旱区资源与环境,1991,5(1):1-11.YANG Gensheng,LIU Lianyou,LIU Zhimin.Land desetification and its integrated transformation of Dengkou County[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,1991,5(1):1-11.(in Chinese)
6马欢,于强,岳德鹏,等.基于MAS-LCM的沙漠化空间模拟方法研究[J/OL].农业机械学报,2017,48(10):134-141.http:∥www.j-csam.org/jcsam/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?flag=1&file_no=20171016&journal_id=jcsam.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2017.10.016.MA Huan,YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,et al.Spatial simulation method of desertification based on MAS-LCM model[J/OL].Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2017,48(10):134-141.(in Chinese)
7阎金凤,陈曦.基于GIS的干旱区LUCC分析和模拟方法探讨[J].干旱区地理,2003,26(2):185-191.YAN Jinfeng,CHEN Xi.Analysis and stimulation method discussion on LUCC of arid region based on GIS[J].Arid Land Geography,2003,26(2):185-191.(in Chinese)
8施云霞,王范霞,毋兆鹏.基于CLUE_S模型的精河流域绿洲土地利用空间格局多情景模拟[J].国土资源遥感,2016,28(2):154-160.SHI Yunxia,WANG Fanxia,WU Zhaopeng.Multi-simulation of spatial distribution of land use based on CLUE_S in Jinghe Watershed[J].Remote Sensing for Land and Resources,2016,28(2):154-160.(in Chinese)
9王友生,余新晓,贺康宁,等.基于CA-Markov模型的藉河流域土地利用变化动态模拟[J].农业工程学报,2011,27(12):330-336.WANG Yousheng,YU Xinxiao,HE Kangning,et al.Dynamic simulation of land use change in Jihe Watershed based on CA-Markov model[J].Transactions of the CSAE,2011,27(12):330-336.(in Chinese)
10陆汝成,黄贤金,左天惠,等.基于CLUE-S和Markov复合模型的土地利用情景模拟研究---以江苏省环太湖地区为例[J].地理科学,2009,29(4):577-581.LU Rucheng,HUANG Xianjin,ZUO Tianhui,et al.Land use scenarios simulation based on CLUE-S and Markov composite model-a case study of Taihu Lake rim in Jiangsu Province[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2009,29(4):577-581.(in Chinese)
11黎夏,叶嘉安.知识发现及地理元胞自动机[J].中国科学(D辑),2004,34(9):865-872.LI Xia,YE Jiaan.Knowledge discovery and cellular automata[J].Science in China(Series D:Earth Sciences),2004,34(9):865-872.(in Chinese)
12严冬,李爱农,南希,等.基于Dyna-CLUE改进模型和SD模型耦合的山区城镇用地情景模拟研究---以岷江上游地区为例[J].地球信息科学学报,2016,18(4):514-525.YAN Dong,LI Ai'nong,NAN Xi,et al.The study of urban land scenario simulation in mountain area based on modified DynaCLUE model and SDM:a case study of the upper reaches of Minjiang river[J].Journal of Geo-information Science,2016,18(4):514-525.(in Chinese)
13 HELLMANN F,VERBURG P H.Spatially explicit modelling of biofuel crops in Europe[J].Biomass and Bioenergy,2011,35(6):2411-2424.
14 VERBURG P H,OVERMARS K P.Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling:exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model[J].Landscape Ecology,2009,24(9):1167-1181.
15 JUSTIN P W,WILLIAM S C G,CLIVE G J.Patch dynamics in a landscape modified by ecosystem engineers[J].OIKOS,2004,105:336-348.
16 THORNTON P K,JONESB P G.A conceptual approach to dynamic agricultural land-use modelling[J].Agricultural Systems,1998,57(4):505-521.
17 JANE S,DARLA M,HARINI N.Land cover change and landscape fragmentation-comparing the utility of continuous and discrete analyses for a western Honduras region[J].Agriculture,Ecosystems and Environment,2004,101(2-3):185-205.
18 BRITALDO S S-F,GUSTAVO C C,CA'SSIO L P.DINAMICA:a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier[J].Ecological Modelling,2002,154(3):217-235.
19冉圣宏,李秀彬,吕昌河.土地覆被及生态服务价值变化的多时间尺度模拟---以四川省渔子溪流域为例[J].地理学报,2006,61(10):1113-1120.RAN Shenghong,LI Xiubin,LChanghe.Multi-scale modeling of land-cover change and ecosystem service values:a case of the Yuzixi Catchment in Sichuan[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2006,61(10):1113-1120.(in Chinese)
20谢正磊,许学工,孙强.基于Patch-Dynamics模式的土地覆被变化预测---以北京市为例[J].北京大学学报:自然科学版,2008,44(3):452-458.XIE Zhenglei,XU Xuegong,SUN Qiang.Prediction of land cover change based on the Patch-Dynamics model:acase study of Beijing[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2008,44(3):452-458.(in Chinese)
21尹才,刘淼,孙凤云,等.基于增强回归树的流域非点源污染影响因子分析[J].应用生态学报,2016,27(3):911-919.YIN Cai,LIU Miao,SUN Fengyun,et al.Influencing factors of non-point source pollution of watershed based on boosted regression tree algorithm[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2016,27(3):911-919.(in Chinese)
22李春林,刘淼,胡远满,等.基于增强回归树和Logistic回归的城市扩展驱动力分析[J].生态学报,2014,34(3):727-737.LI Chunlin,LIU Miao,HU Yuanman,et al.Driving forces analysis of urban expansion based on boosted regression trees and Logistic regression[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2014,34(3):727-737.(in Chinese)
23于强,岳德鹏,YANG Di,等.基于En KF-MCRP模型的生态用地扩张模拟研究[J/OL].农业机械学报,2016,47(9):285-293.http:∥www.j-csam.org/jcsam/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?flag=1&file_no=20160939&journal_id=jcsam.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2016.09.039.YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,YANG Di,et al.Simulation on ecological land use expansion based on En KF-MCRP model[J/OL].Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2016,47(9):285-293.(in Chinese)
24于强,岳德鹏,郝玉光,等.磴口县荒漠绿洲景观特征及时空变化研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(4):178-183.YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,HAO Yuguang,et al.The spatial and temporal variations of oasis desera landscape in Dengkou County[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2016,30(4):178-183.(in Chinese)
25于强,岳德鹏,YANG Di,等.基于BCBS模型的生态节点布局优化[J/OL].农业机械学报,2016,47(12):330-336,329.http:∥www.j-csam.org/jcsam/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?flag=1&file_no=20161241&journal_id=jcsam.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2016.12.041.YU Qiang,YUE Depeng,YANG Di,et al.Layout optimization of ecological nodes based on BCBS model[J/OL].Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2016,47(12):330-336,329.(in Chinese)
26 ELITH J,LEATHWICK J R,HASTIE T.A working guide toboosted regression trees[J].Journal of Animal Ecology,2008,77:802-813.
27葛跃,王明新,孙向武,等.基于增强回归树的城市PM2.5日均值变化分析:以常州为例[J].环境科学,2017,38(2):485-494.GE Yue,WANG Mingxin,SUN Xiangwu,et al.Variation analysis of daily PM2.5 concentrations based on boosted regressiontree:a case study in Changzhou[J].Environmental Science,2017,38(2):485-494.(in Chinese)
28 WU J,LOUCKS O.From balance of nature to hierarchical Patch dynamics:a paradigm shift in ecology[J].Biology,1995,70(4):439-466.
29 VELDKAMP A,FRESCO L O.CLUE:a conceptual model to study the conversion of land use and its effects[J].Ecological modelling,1996,85(2):253-270.
30 VERBURG P H,SOEPBOER W,VELDKAMP A,et al.Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use:the CLUE-S model[J].Environmental Management,2002,30(3):391-405.
31刘庆凤,刘吉平,宋开山,等.基于CLUE-S模型的别拉洪河流域土地利用变化模拟[J].东北林业大学学报,2010,38(1):64-67.LIU Qingfeng,LIU Jiping,SONG Kaishan,et al.Simulation on spatial pattern of land use change in Bielahong River Basin based on CLUE-S model[J].Journal of Northeast Forestry University,2010,38(1):64-67.(in Chinese)
32张薇,刘淼,戚与珊.基于CLUE-S模型的昆明市域土地利用预案模拟[J].生态学杂志,2014,33(6):1655-1662.ZHANG Wei,LIU Miao,QI Yushan.Land-use scenarios simulation based on the CLUE-S model in Kunming[J].Chinese Journal of Ecology,2014,33(6):1655-1662.(in Chinese)
33布仁仓,常禹,胡远满,等.基于Kappa系数的景观变化测度:以辽宁省中部城市群为例[J].生态学报,2005,25(4):778-784.BU Rencang,CHANG Yu,HU Yuanman,et al.Measuring spatial information changes using Kappa coefficients:a case study of the city groups in central Liaoning province[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2005,25(4):778-784.(in Chinese)
34罗平,李森,李满春,等.海南岛西部土地沙漠化时空模拟及虚拟政策实验[J].地理与地理信息科学,2006,22(6):66-70.LUO Ping,LI Sen,LI Manchun,et al.Spatio-temporal simulation and experiment of policies of desertification land in the west of Hainan Island[J].Geography and Geo-Information Science,2006,22(6):66-70.(in Chinese)
35段翰晨,王涛,薛娴,等.科尔沁沙地沙漠化时空演变及其景观格局---以内蒙古自治区奈曼旗为例[J].地理学报,2012,67(7):917-928.DUAN Hanchen,WANG Tao,XUE Xian,et al.Spatial-temporal evolution of aeolian desertification and landscape pattern in Horqin sandy land:a case study of Naiman Banner in Inner Mongolia[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2012,67(7):917-928.(in Chinese)