基于广义集对分析法的溃坝环境影响评价
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摘要
针对集对分析法存在的同、异、反评语粗略问题,对其进行改进,联系度由3级推广到5级,进而建立了基于广义集对分析法的溃坝环境影响评价模型。将该模型用于沙河集水库的溃坝环境影响评价,与传统的集对分析法、模糊数学理论模型评价结果进行比较,表明基于广义集对分析法的评价结果更为合理,更贴近研究对象的实际情况,为水库大坝溃坝环境影响评价提供了一种更为可靠且操作简单的方法,具有良好的工程应用价值。
Aiming at the rough problem of Identical-Discrepancy-Contrary(IDC) comments in Set Pair Analysis(SPA), this study proposed an improved SPA to deeper characterize the difference and opposites coefficient, and to extend the evaluation ranking of dam-break environmental impact assessment from 3 levels to 5 levels and then established dam-break environmental impact assessment model based on the General Set Pair Analysis(GSPA). The model was applied to Shaheji Reservoir dam. Compared with traditional SPA method, fuzzy mathematical model showed that the evaluation results of GSPA are reliable, reasonable and visualized and then can obtain the convergence degree of each evaluation level. It is a scientific and practical evaluation method for evaluation and decision-making of the dam-break environmental impact assessment and has good potential application.
Aiming at the rough problem of Identical-Discrepancy-Contrary(IDC) comments in Set Pair Analysis(SPA), this study proposed an improved SPA to deeper characterize the difference and opposites coefficient, and to extend the evaluation ranking of dam-break environmental impact assessment from 3 levels to 5 levels and then established dam-break environmental impact assessment model based on the General Set Pair Analysis(GSPA). The model was applied to Shaheji Reservoir dam. Compared with traditional SPA method, fuzzy mathematical model showed that the evaluation results of GSPA are reliable, reasonable and visualized and then can obtain the convergence degree of each evaluation level. It is a scientific and practical evaluation method for evaluation and decision-making of the dam-break environmental impact assessment and has good potential application.
引文
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[9] JIANG D Y,PENG H H,ZHAO L J,et al.Application of Set Pair Analysis Method Based on Entropy Weight to the Stability Evaluation of Salt Rock Gas Storage[J].Journal of Northeastern University,2017,38(2):284-289.
[10] 杜明亮,吴彬,张宏,等.改进权重集对分析法在准东水质评价中的应用[J].人民黄河,2014,36(4):62-64.
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[12] 魏明华,郑志宏,黄强,等.基于改进SPA法的地下水环境模糊综合评判[J].水利学报,2009,40(10):1204-1209.
[13] 李德顺.基于广义集对分析的系统危险性评价研究[D].沈阳:东北大学,2010:5-35.
[2] 周克发,李雷.基于社会经济发展的溃坝洪水损失动态预测评价模型[J].长江流域资源与环境,2008,17(增刊1):145-148.
[3] GE W,LI Z,LIANG R Y,et al.Methodology for Establishing Risk Criteria for Dams in Developing Countries,Case Study of China[J].Water Resources Management,2017,31(13):4063-4074.
[4] 王仁钟,李雷,盛金保.水库大坝的社会与环境风险标准研究[J].安全与环境学报,2006,6(1):8-11.
[5] 何晓燕,孙丹丹,黄金池.大坝溃决社会及环境影响评价[J].岩土工程学报,2008,30(11):1752-1757.
[6] 程莉,周晶.基于模糊数学理论的溃坝环境影响分析[J].价值工程,2013,32(15):290-292.
[7] SU M R,YANG Z F,CHEN B,et al.Urban Ecosystem Health Assessment Based on Emergy and Set Pair Analysis:Acomparative Study of Typical Chinese Cities[J].Ecological Modelling,2009,220(18):2341-2348.
[8] 郑小武,刘立.基于集对分析的土石坝安全风险评价[J].人民黄河,2013,35(11):93-95.
[9] JIANG D Y,PENG H H,ZHAO L J,et al.Application of Set Pair Analysis Method Based on Entropy Weight to the Stability Evaluation of Salt Rock Gas Storage[J].Journal of Northeastern University,2017,38(2):284-289.
[10] 杜明亮,吴彬,张宏,等.改进权重集对分析法在准东水质评价中的应用[J].人民黄河,2014,36(4):62-64.
[11] 赵克勤.集对分析及其初步应用[M].杭州:浙江科学技术出版社,2000:1-12.
[12] 魏明华,郑志宏,黄强,等.基于改进SPA法的地下水环境模糊综合评判[J].水利学报,2009,40(10):1204-1209.
[13] 李德顺.基于广义集对分析的系统危险性评价研究[D].沈阳:东北大学,2010:5-35.