基于模糊模式识别的高铁快运安全综合评价
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摘要
物流经济时代,高速铁路网络的日益丰满,为高铁快运的发展创造了有利条件。铁路企业利用高铁列车确认车、空闲车厢、大件行李存放处等位置开展高铁快运,充分发挥高铁运输的优势,但在提高经济和社会效益的同时,对高铁运营安全也提出了挑战。考虑到影响高铁快运安全的因素众多且具有模糊性的特点,提出将模糊综合评价和模糊模式识别相结合的评价方法,建立高铁快运安全评价指标体系,采用层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重,基于实地调研由专家打分来量化指标特征值,对高铁快运进行安全评价。结果表明:该方法具有科学性和实用性。
In the era of logistics economy,the high-speed railway network is becoming increasingly full,andcreating advantages for the development of high-speed railway express.Track status confirmation trains,idle carriages and large luggage storage places were used by railway enterprises to send parcels,which gives full play to the advantages of high-speed railway transportation,however,while economy and social benefits being improved,there are also many challenges to the safety of high-speed railway operation.In this paper,considering that high-speed railway express safety was affected by many fuzzy factors,an evaluation method which combined fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and fuzzy pattern recognition was proposed,thus an safety evaluation index system of high speed railway was established. The AHP was applied to determine the weights,and the index characteristic values were quantified by the expert rating based on the field research,therefore,finally,the safety evaluation of high-speed railway express was carried out. The results show that the method is scientific and practical.
In the era of logistics economy,the high-speed railway network is becoming increasingly full,andcreating advantages for the development of high-speed railway express.Track status confirmation trains,idle carriages and large luggage storage places were used by railway enterprises to send parcels,which gives full play to the advantages of high-speed railway transportation,however,while economy and social benefits being improved,there are also many challenges to the safety of high-speed railway operation.In this paper,considering that high-speed railway express safety was affected by many fuzzy factors,an evaluation method which combined fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and fuzzy pattern recognition was proposed,thus an safety evaluation index system of high speed railway was established. The AHP was applied to determine the weights,and the index characteristic values were quantified by the expert rating based on the field research,therefore,finally,the safety evaluation of high-speed railway express was carried out. The results show that the method is scientific and practical.
引文
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[9]石剑云,潘科,王洪德.基于模糊模式识别的城市道路安全状况综合评价[J].大连交通大学学报,2007,28(1):78-81.SHI Jianyun,PAN Ke,WANG Hongde. Comprehensive evaluation of urban roads safety state based on fuzzy pattern recognition[J].Journal of Dalian Jiaotong University,2007,28(1):78-81.
[10]王慧,王保民.基于层次分析法的烟花爆竹生产企业模糊综合评价[J].安全与环境学报,2014,14(3):108-112.WANG Hui,WANG Baomin.Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of fireworks and firecrackers production enterprise based on analytic hierarchy process[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2014,14(3):108-112.
[11] BELTON V.A comparison of the analytic hierarchy process and a simple multi-attribute value function[J]. European Journal of Operational Research,1986,26(1):7-21.
[2]张杨炀,杨宇翔,王建琼.基于三角模糊数及模糊评价的高铁快递业务服务质量研究[J].物流技术,2017,36(5):72-77.ZHANG Yangyang,YANG Yuxiang,WANG Jianqiong. Study on service quality of high-speed railway express business based on triangular fuzzy number and fuzzy evaluation[J].Logistics Technology,2017,36(5):72-77.
[3]段华薇,严余松.基于非合作博弈的高铁快递与传统快递博弈关系研究[J].物流技术,2015,34(4):101-105.DUAN Huawei,YAN Yusong.Study on game between high-speed railway and traditional express delivery businesses based on non-cooperative game[J].Logistics Technology,2015,34(4):101-105.
[4]吴艳群.基于集对分析的危险品道路运输安全水平评价[J].兰州交通大学学报,2017,36(1):23-28.WU Yanqun.Safety level evaluation of hazardous goods road transport based on the set pair analysis[J].Journal of Lanzhou Jiaotong University,2017,36(1):23-28.
[5]张博昊,盖宇仙,芦有鹏.基于IEM-Vague集的高铁车站运营安全综合评价[J].中国安全科学学报,2017,27(9):164-168.ZHANG Bohao,GAI Yuxian,LU Youpeng.Comprehensive evaluation of high-speed railway station operation safety based on IEM-Vague sets theory[J].China Safety Science Journal,2017,27(9):164-168.
[6]冯运卿,李雪梅,李学伟.基于熵权法和灰色关联分析的铁路安全综合评价[J].安全与环境学报,2014,14(2):73-78.FENG Yunqing,LI Xuemei,LI Xuewei.Comprehensive method for the railway safety based on the entropy method and the gray relation analysis[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2014,14(2):73-78.
[7]陈守煜.系统模糊决策的可变集理论与应用[M].大连:大连理工大学出版社,2017:221-223.
[8]刘爱华,施式亮,吴超.基于模糊模式识别的模糊综合评价在高层建筑火灾危险评价中的应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2005,15(11):103-107.LIU Aihua,SHI Shiliang,WU Chao.Application of the fuzzy recognition based fuzzy synthetic assessment to high building fire risk assessment[J].China Safety Science Journal,2005,15(11):103-107.
[9]石剑云,潘科,王洪德.基于模糊模式识别的城市道路安全状况综合评价[J].大连交通大学学报,2007,28(1):78-81.SHI Jianyun,PAN Ke,WANG Hongde. Comprehensive evaluation of urban roads safety state based on fuzzy pattern recognition[J].Journal of Dalian Jiaotong University,2007,28(1):78-81.
[10]王慧,王保民.基于层次分析法的烟花爆竹生产企业模糊综合评价[J].安全与环境学报,2014,14(3):108-112.WANG Hui,WANG Baomin.Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of fireworks and firecrackers production enterprise based on analytic hierarchy process[J].Journal of Safety and Environment,2014,14(3):108-112.
[11] BELTON V.A comparison of the analytic hierarchy process and a simple multi-attribute value function[J]. European Journal of Operational Research,1986,26(1):7-21.