摘要
交通量预测是公路建设项目中技术标准、工程建设规模及经济评价确定的基础。依托山西省太原二环高速公路凌井店至龙白段这一项目,采用四阶段预测法,旨在建立适合的交通量预测模型,对交通量进行预测,并对模型进行检验,得出的交通量与历史交通量和现阶段交通量都基本吻合。因此,采用的交通量预测模型适用于本项目,并对未来一段时期内类似项目的交通量预测也有一定的参考价值。
Based on a section of Taiyuan second ring as the project, using four stages prediction method,this paper established a suitable traffic volume prediction model, checked the model, and obtained the traffic volume, which basically agreed well with the history and the current state of traffic volume. It also proved that the traffic volume prediction model was applicable for this project and had a certain reference value for the similar project of traffic volume prediction in the future.
引文
[1]帖智武.公路项目交通量分配预测的简捷方法[J].山西交通科技,2004(6):65-66.
[2]陆化普.交通规划理论与方法[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2006.
[3]赵懿琼.繁峙至大营高速公路交通量预测与分析[J].山西交通科技,2012(6):85-87.