城镇化对遵义市畜牧业温室气体影响的研究
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摘要
城镇化是我国的一个重要阶段,城镇化后居民有较多机会增加收入和交流。收入和文化知识的增加影响其消费结构。消费市场对生产起着至关重要的作用。本文利用畜牧业生产中产生的温室气体对不同畜禽结构指标进行统一,评估畜牧业产生的环境效应,为今后城镇发展及畜牧业生产规划提供依据。结果表明:在过去16年中遵义市城镇化快速发展,人口增加1.75倍;研究期间遵义市畜牧业产值增加,但是温室气体排放呈现减缓趋势;由于城镇化文化健康意识增强,对家畜产品消费的差异性,养殖业温室气体的排放量表现出随着人口的增加而降低的趋势。说明遵义市的城镇化对养殖业中的温室气体排放具有减排作用。
Urbanization is an important stage of our country.After urbanization,there are more opportunities to enhance income.At the same time,increasing communication and cultural science knowledge among is popular.The increase in income and cultural knowledge affects the change in its consumption structure.The consumer market plays a vital role in production.The greenhouse gases produced in the livestock production are unified to different livestock and poultry structural indicators,which are beneficial to assess the environmental effects of animal husbandry.It will provide the basis for urban development and livestock production planning in the future.The results showed that the urbanization of Zunyi had developed rapidly,and the population had increased by 1.75 times in the past 16 years.During the study period,the output value of animal husbandry in Zunyi increased,but greenhouse gas emissions showed a trend of slowing down.As the urbanization of cultural health awareness increased,the composition of livestock consumption varies,and the emissions of aquaculture and greenhouse gases decrease with the increase of population.It indicates that urbanization has a reasonable trend for greenhouse gas emission in aquaculture industry.
Urbanization is an important stage of our country.After urbanization,there are more opportunities to enhance income.At the same time,increasing communication and cultural science knowledge among is popular.The increase in income and cultural knowledge affects the change in its consumption structure.The consumer market plays a vital role in production.The greenhouse gases produced in the livestock production are unified to different livestock and poultry structural indicators,which are beneficial to assess the environmental effects of animal husbandry.It will provide the basis for urban development and livestock production planning in the future.The results showed that the urbanization of Zunyi had developed rapidly,and the population had increased by 1.75 times in the past 16 years.During the study period,the output value of animal husbandry in Zunyi increased,but greenhouse gas emissions showed a trend of slowing down.As the urbanization of cultural health awareness increased,the composition of livestock consumption varies,and the emissions of aquaculture and greenhouse gases decrease with the increase of population.It indicates that urbanization has a reasonable trend for greenhouse gas emission in aquaculture industry.
引文
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[2] 胡霞.我国城镇居民服务消费动态演进分析[J].岭南学刊,2015(6): 91-99.
[3] 余晓龙.中国城乡居民消费结构实证研究[D].重庆:西南大学,2016.
[4] 张宝成,白艳芬.遵义市畜牧业发展与温室气体排放研究[J].黑龙江畜牧兽医,2016(16):78-80.
[5] 肖礼华.应用灰色系统预测遵义市畜牧业发展趋势[J].贵州农业科学,2007,35(4): 81-83.
[6] 遵义市统计局,国家统计局遵义调查队.遵义市统计年鉴[J].北京:中国统计出版社,2016.
[7] IPCC.Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis[R]//Solomon S,Qin D,Chen Manning M,et al.Cambridge University Press Cambridge,UK and New York,NY,USA,2007.
[8] 裴希鹏.新疆城镇化进程中农业产业结构变化的研究[J].金融理论与教学,2017(1):19-24.
[9] 王恩胡,李录堂.中国食品消费结构的演进与农业发展战略[J].中国农村观察,2007(2):156-156.
[10] 张颖熙.中国城镇居民服务消费需求弹性研究——基于QUAIDS模型的分析[J].财贸经济,2014,35(5): 127-135.
[11] 黄泽颖,王济民.2004-2014年我国禽流感发生状况与特征分析[J].广东农业科学,2015,42(4): 93-98.
[12] Poel E V,Odonnell O,Doorslaer E V.Is there a health penalty of China's rapid urbanization?[J].Health Economics,2012,21(4): 367-385.
[13] 张一青,李少波.经济收入对成人膳食结构和营养摄入影响的动态研究[J].华夏医学,2004,17(1):26-29.
[14] Liu G G,Wu X D,Peng C Y,et al.Urbanization and health care in rural China[J].Contemporary Economic Policy,2003,21(1): 11-24.
[15] 周北凡.经济转型期中国膳食的特点和心血管病[J].营养健康新观察,2003(3):24-26.
[16] Wang J W,Zhang L X,Wang F,et al.Prevalence,awareness,treatment,and control of hypertension in China: Results from a national survey[J].American Journal of Hypertension,2014,27(11): 1355-1361.
[17] 刘国峰,简伟研.城镇化与慢性病的关系研究现状及方法探究[J].中国卫生政策研究,2016,9(10):31-37.
[18] Li H B,Zhu Y.Income,income inequality,and health: Evidence from China[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2008,34(4):668-693.
[19] 齐亚强,牛建林.地区经济发展与收入分配状况对我国居民健康差异的影响[J].社会学评论,2015,3(2): 65-76.