中国南海远海渔业从业者风险研究——以海南省为例
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摘要
发展海洋渔业是建设海洋强国和响应"一带一路"倡议的重要内容之一,但其从业者风险亟待有效化解。以海南省南海远海渔业从业者为例,采用似无关回归分析法,研究中国南海远海渔业从业者感知风险和风险态度的影响因素。结果显示:南海远海渔业从业者的卷入程度、家庭人口、在南海呆多久、是否加入合作社、年收入、从业时间、抓扣经历、个人特征中的性别和身份等指标不同程度的影响着从业者的感知风险;从业经历、个人特征中的年龄、从业时间、居住地区、学历、政治面貌等指标不同程度的影响着从业者的风险态度。研究结论对政府部门制定南海远海渔业的管理政策具有一定的参考价值。
To realize the goals of a powerful ocean nation and the Belt and Road Initiative,we must develop marine fisheries,and the development of marine fisheries must also resolve the risks of marine fishery practitioners. Taking Hainan marine fishery practitioners as an example,a quasi-irrelevant regression analysis is used to study the influencing factors of risk perception and risk attitudes of pelagic fishery practitioners. The results show that: the degree of involvement of fishery practitioners in the South China Sea,the family population,and time they spend in the South China Sea,whether joining a cooperative have significantly and positively affected the perceived risks of practitioners. The experiences of arrest and detention have negatively impacted the perceived risks of practitioners. The gender and identity in personal characteristics have negatively impacted the perceived risks of practitioners. Working hours and career experiences have significantly and positively impacted the perceived risks of practitioners. The age and working hours have positively affected the risk attitudes of practitioners,and the residential areas and academic qualifications have significantly and negatively affected the risk attitudes of practitioners. The conclusions of this paper may have certain reference value for the government to formulate marine fishery policy.
To realize the goals of a powerful ocean nation and the Belt and Road Initiative,we must develop marine fisheries,and the development of marine fisheries must also resolve the risks of marine fishery practitioners. Taking Hainan marine fishery practitioners as an example,a quasi-irrelevant regression analysis is used to study the influencing factors of risk perception and risk attitudes of pelagic fishery practitioners. The results show that: the degree of involvement of fishery practitioners in the South China Sea,the family population,and time they spend in the South China Sea,whether joining a cooperative have significantly and positively affected the perceived risks of practitioners. The experiences of arrest and detention have negatively impacted the perceived risks of practitioners. The gender and identity in personal characteristics have negatively impacted the perceived risks of practitioners. Working hours and career experiences have significantly and positively impacted the perceived risks of practitioners. The age and working hours have positively affected the risk attitudes of practitioners,and the residential areas and academic qualifications have significantly and negatively affected the risk attitudes of practitioners. The conclusions of this paper may have certain reference value for the government to formulate marine fishery policy.
引文
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[2]陈添林.海洋渔业风险的原因分析及防范对策[J].现代渔业信息,2004(9):19-20.
[3]谢榭.远洋渔业项目开发中的风险及对策分析[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(15):7228-7230.
[4]艾红,章丽萍,潘兴蕾,等.南沙渔业发展策略探讨[J].南方水产科学,2015,11(5):143-152.
[5]王东春,吴秀,王玲玲,等.基于金融工具创新的海洋渔业风险管控研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(10):50
[6]李帅,郭庆祝.加强海洋渔业安全风险防控的对策研究[J].环渤海经济瞭望,2017(2):45-47.
[7]范之安.中国海洋渔业风险管理研究[D].青岛:中国海洋大学,2007.
[8]王绪瑾.保险学概论[M].北京:中国广播电视大学出版社,2001.
[9] KNIGHT F H. Risk uncertainy and profit[M]. Lowa City:Houghton Mifflin Company,1921.
[10] WEBER E U,MILLIMAN R A. Perceived risk attitudes:Relating risk perception to risky choice[J]. Management Science,1997,43(2):123-144.
[11] TREACY W F,CAREY M. Credit risk rating system at large US banks[J]. Journal of Banking and Finance,1998(24):167-201.
[12]王洪波,宋国良.资本的陷阱[M].北京:经济管理出版社,2003.
[13]汤谷良,杜菲.试论企业增长、盈利、风险之三维平衡战略管理[J].会计研究,2004(11):31-37.
[14]吕祥林.论建设有中国特色的风险管理制度[J].南开经济研究,1991(2):37-41.
[15]朱淑珍.双刃剑:金融创新中技术进步的影响[J].上海管理科学,2002(2):58-60.
[16]王明涛.证券投资频度风险的计量与控制研究[J].郑州大学学报(工学版),2003,24(2):53-58.
[17]谢志刚,周晶.重新认识风险这个概念[J].保险研究,2013(2):101-108.
[18] MITCHELL V W. Consumer perceived risk:Conception lisations and models[J]. European Journal of Marketing,1999,33(1/2):163-165.
[19] STONE R N,KJELL G. Perceived risk:Further considerations for the marketing discipline[J]. European Journal of Marketing,2013,27(3):39-50.
[20] COX D F. Risk taking and information handling in consumer behavior[R]. Boston:Division of Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, Harvard University,1967.
[21] WANSINK B. Consumer reactions to food safety crises[J].Advances in Food and Nutrition Research,2004,48(48):103-150.
[22] SCHROEDER T C,TONSOR G T,PENNINGS J M E,et al.Consumer food safety risk perceptions and attitudes:impacts on beef consumption across countries[J]. Journal of Economic Analysis&policy,2007,7(1):1848.
[23] MARKMAN G,BALKIN D,BARON R. Inventors and new venture formation:The effects of general self-efficacy and regretful thinking[J]. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice,2002(27):149-165.
[24] WEBER E U,BLAIS A,BETZ N E. A domain-specific riskattitude scale:Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors[J]. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making,2002,4(15):263-290.
[25] LOBB A. A methodological review of the impacts of risk and trust on consumer behavior towards food safety[R]. The Netherlands:European Association of Agricultural Economists,2004.