中国与其他“金砖国家”机电产品贸易竞争性和互补性研究
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摘要
本文基于UN Comtrade数据库HS 6位编码,利用中国与其他"金砖国家"2001～2017年的机电产品贸易的数据,通过出口相似度指数,实证分析了中国机电产品在目标市场的竞争态势;通过贸易结合度指数,测度了中国与其他"金砖国家"的贸易紧密程度;通过静态和动态的产业内贸易指数以及贸易互补性指数,考察了中国与其他"金砖国家"机电产品的贸易互补性。研究发现中国与其他"金砖国家"机电产品的出口相似度较低,但出口相似度在提升;中国与其他"金砖国家"劳动密集型机电产品的贸易以水平型产业内贸易为主,而资本密集型机电产品贸易则以垂直型产业内贸易为主;中国与其他"金砖国家"劳动密集型机电产品的贸易互补性较强,而资本密集型机电产品的贸易互补性较弱。
Based on the HS six-digit code trade data in electromechanical products of China and other"BRIC countries"in the UN Comtrade database from 2001 to 2017,this analysis illustrates the competitive situation of Chinese mechanical and electrical products in the target market through the export similarity index;it measures the trade closeness between China and other"BRIC countries"through the trade intensity index;by using static and dynamic intra-industry trade indices and trade complementary index,it examines the trade complementarity between China and other"BRIC countries"mechanical and electrical products.The analysis has found that kinds of mechanical and electrical products which China exports to other"BRIC countries"are not so similar as those which other"BRIC countries"export to China,but the similarity of exports is improving;China's labor-intensive mechanical and electrical products trade with other"BRIC countries"is dominated by horizontal intra-industry trade,however,the trade of capital-intensive electromechanical products is dominated by vertical intra-industry trade;China has strong trade complementarity with other"BRIC countries"in labor-intensive electromechanical products,while capital-intensive electromechanical products have weak trade complementarity.
Based on the HS six-digit code trade data in electromechanical products of China and other"BRIC countries"in the UN Comtrade database from 2001 to 2017,this analysis illustrates the competitive situation of Chinese mechanical and electrical products in the target market through the export similarity index;it measures the trade closeness between China and other"BRIC countries"through the trade intensity index;by using static and dynamic intra-industry trade indices and trade complementary index,it examines the trade complementarity between China and other"BRIC countries"mechanical and electrical products.The analysis has found that kinds of mechanical and electrical products which China exports to other"BRIC countries"are not so similar as those which other"BRIC countries"export to China,but the similarity of exports is improving;China's labor-intensive mechanical and electrical products trade with other"BRIC countries"is dominated by horizontal intra-industry trade,however,the trade of capital-intensive electromechanical products is dominated by vertical intra-industry trade;China has strong trade complementarity with other"BRIC countries"in labor-intensive electromechanical products,while capital-intensive electromechanical products have weak trade complementarity.
引文
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[3]沈子傲,韩景华.中国与中东欧贸易合作研究——基于贸易互补性和竞争性的视角[J].国际经济合作,2016,(8):55～63.
[4]刘志中.“一带一路”战略下中俄双边贸易的竞争性、互补性及发展潜力[J].经济问题探索,2017,(7):95～102,115.
[5]旦志红,何伦志.“一带一盟”背景下中国与欧亚经济联盟贸易的指数分析[J].工业技术经济,2017,36(11):55～63.
[6]马源.中国对欧盟机电产品出口贸易结构变化的研究分析[J].金融经济,2013,(16):125～127.
[7]黄洁,尹雄艳,金丽.中国机电产品出口德国市场的影响因素分析——基于引力模型的实证分析[J].经济问题探索,2015,(4):152～159.
[8]车春鹂,许安.中国机电产品出口中东欧国家的潜力分析——基于引力模型的实证研究[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2016,23(5):26～37.
[9]张静中,曾勇.中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品出口潜力研究——基于扩展引力模型的实证分析[J].对外经济贸易大学学报,2017,(4):5～15.
[10]何奕,程凯,王雪,等.贸易便利化对我国汽车行业出口的影响及贸易潜力研究——基于跨国面板数据模型的实证分析[J].工业技术经济,2017,36(6):3～10.
[11]刘慧.开启“金砖”新未来[EB/OL].http://www.sohu.com/a/168274230_162758,2017-08-30.
[12]杜大伟,若泽·吉勒尔梅·莱斯,王直.全球价值链发展报告2017[R].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2017.