财富持续创造能力与交通资源配置的关系研究
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摘要
为了有效促进物质财富创造能力的持续提升和物质财富的合理分配,首先以人类无差别生命周期为基础,诠释物质财富持续创造能力养成的机理,并利用人力资本模型和生产函数分析交通资源配置对物质财富持续创造能力提升的关键作用。然后,采用世代交替模型(OLG)刻画人的生命周期的2个阶段,考虑物质财富代际之间的传递,对物质财富创造能力在整个生命周期的动态增长过程及其存在的因果关系进行描述。同时利用统计分布函数和基尼系数(Gini)的一般计算公式,理论分析了社会财富分布形态与社会人力资本积累的关系以及交通资源配置与社会财富分布形态之间的关系。进一步,收集中国1998~2017年可获得的27个省份的交通基础设施配置水平、社会收入差异以及社会人力资本积累等关键影响因素的面板数据,通过实证分析验证理论部分的推论。研究结果表明:交通资源应当向具有资源禀赋但交通资源配置水平低的贫困地区、农村地区倾斜配置;研究成果对于在新时期通过交通资源配置的手段,促进社会的物质财富持续创造和合理分配,解决中国经济发展的不平衡不充分问题,推动经济的可持续增长具有重要的理论指导意义。
To effectively promote the ability of continuous material wealth creation and proper allocation of wealth,this study explains the mechanism of cultivating the ability to continuously create wealth based on human life normal cycle processes.Human capital models and production functions were utilized to analyze the essential effect of transport resource allocation to enhance of continuous material wealth creation.Then,on the basis of the overlapping generation model to portray the cultivation and creation periods,this work described the dynamic incremental processes involved in wealth creation in the life cycles of human beings and the causal relationship between the different periods of the life cycle by supposing that there was an intergenerational transmission of material wealth.Using statistical distribution functions and the Gini computing equation,two important interrelations were illustrated.The first was the relation between social wealth distribution and human capital accumulation,and the other was the relation betweentransport resources allocation and social wealth distribution.It is discovered that transport resources should be preferentially allocated to less developed and rural areas which have potential endowments but lack adequate transport resource allocations.Further,utilizing the panel data on27 provinces of China from 1998-2017,regression analyses on the core influential issues such as transport infrastructure,social income distribution,and human capital accumulation were performed to verify the proposition analytically.The results of this research indicate that rational transport resource allocation is required to promote balanced regional development and advance the sustainable economic growth.
To effectively promote the ability of continuous material wealth creation and proper allocation of wealth,this study explains the mechanism of cultivating the ability to continuously create wealth based on human life normal cycle processes.Human capital models and production functions were utilized to analyze the essential effect of transport resource allocation to enhance of continuous material wealth creation.Then,on the basis of the overlapping generation model to portray the cultivation and creation periods,this work described the dynamic incremental processes involved in wealth creation in the life cycles of human beings and the causal relationship between the different periods of the life cycle by supposing that there was an intergenerational transmission of material wealth.Using statistical distribution functions and the Gini computing equation,two important interrelations were illustrated.The first was the relation between social wealth distribution and human capital accumulation,and the other was the relation betweentransport resources allocation and social wealth distribution.It is discovered that transport resources should be preferentially allocated to less developed and rural areas which have potential endowments but lack adequate transport resource allocations.Further,utilizing the panel data on27 provinces of China from 1998-2017,regression analyses on the core influential issues such as transport infrastructure,social income distribution,and human capital accumulation were performed to verify the proposition analytically.The results of this research indicate that rational transport resource allocation is required to promote balanced regional development and advance the sustainable economic growth.
引文
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[2] ARROW K J,KRUZ M.Public Investment,the Rate of Return and Optimal Fiscal Policy[M].New York:Resources for the Future,1970.
[3] ASCHAUER.Is Public Expenditure Productive?[J].Journal of Monetary Economics,1989,23(2):177-200.
[4] BARRO R J.Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth[J].Journal of Political Economy,1990,98(5):103-125.
[5]范九利,白暴力.基础设施投资与中国经济增长的地区差异研究[J].人文地理,2004,19(2):35-38.FAN Jiu-li,BAI Bao-li.A Study on the Different Influence of Infrastructure on Regional Economic Growth in China[J].Human Geography,2004,19(2):35-38.
[6]张学良.中国交通基础设施促进了区域经济增长吗——兼论交通基础设施的空间溢出效应[J].中国社会科学,2012(3):60-77.ZHANG Xue-liang.Does Transport Infrastructure Promote Regional Economic Growth—The Research of Transport Infrastructure Spatial Spillover Effect[J].Social Sciences in China,2012(3):60-77.
[7]魏下海.基础设施、空间溢出与区域经济增长[J].经济评论,2010(4):82-89.WEI Xia-hai.Infrastructure,Spatial Spillover and Regional Economic Growth[J].Economic Review,2010(4):82-89.
[8]刘勇.交通基础设施投资、区域经济增长及空间溢出作用——基于公路、水运交通的面板数据分析[J].中国工业经济,2010(12):37-46.LIU Yong.Transport Infrastructure Investment,Regional Economic Growth and the Spatial Spillover Effects—Based on Highway and Marine's Panel Data Analysis[J].China Industrial Economics,2010(12):37-46.
[9]刘秉镰,武鹏,刘玉海.交通基础设施与中国全要素生产率增长——基于省域数据的空间面板计量分析[J].中国工业经济,2010(3):54-64.LIU Bing-lian,WU Peng,LIU Yu-hai.Transportation Infrastructure and the Increase in TFP in China—Spatial Econometric Analysis on Provincial Panel Data[J].China Industrial Economics,2010(3):54-64.
[10]郭庆旺,贾俊雪.公共教育政策、经济增长与人力资本溢价[J].经济研究,2009(10):22-35.GUO Qing-wang,JIA Jun-xue.Publics Education Policy,Economic Growth and Human Capital Premium[J].Economic Research,2009(10):22-35.
[11]林毅夫.解读中国经济[J].南京农业大学学报:社会科学版,2013,13(2):1-10.LIN Yi-fu.Demystify China Economy[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University:Social Sciences Edition,2013,13(2):1-10.
[12] DMURGER S.Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth:An Explanation for Regional Disparities in China?[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2001,29(1):95-117.
[13]加里·贝克尔.家庭论[M].北京:商务印书馆,1998.GARY B.Family Theory[M].Beijing:The Commercial Press,1998.
[14] GALOR O,MOAV O.From Physical to Human Capital Accumulation:Inequality and the Process of Development[J]. Review of Economic Studies,2004,71(4):1001-1026.
[15] MANKIW N G,ROMER D,WEIL D N.A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1992,107(2):407-437.
[16] DEATON A.The Analysis of Household Survey[M].London:The John Hopkins University Press,1997.
[17]田卫民.省域居民收入基尼系数测算及其变动趋势分析[J].经济科学,2012,34(2):35-43.TIAN Wei-min.The Calculation of Gini Coefficient of Provincial Residence's Income and the Trend Analysis[J].Economic Science,2012,34(2):35-43.
[18] FORBES K J.A Reassessment of the Relationship Between Inequality and Growth[J]. American Economic Review,2000,90(4):869-887.
[19] KRUGMAN P.Increasing Returns and Economic Geography[J].The Journal of Political Economy,1991,99(3):483-499.
[20] FORSLID R,OTTAVIANO G I P.An Analytically Solvable Core-periphery Model[J].Journal of Economic Geography,2003,21(3):229-240.