摘要
为了推动绿色运动空间理念的实施,实现全民健身与绿色生态的融合发展,运用熵权评价、协调度模型(D指数)、Moran’sⅠ指数及Markov链为主要分析手段,测评了31个省份(自治区、直辖市)全民健身发展水平与绿色生态协调发展的时空特征、集聚效应和演进模式(2011-2015年)。结果表明:(1)全民健身服务与绿色生态协调发展度主要呈现四种协调类型低级协调(Ⅰ)、勉强协调(Ⅱ)、初级协调(Ⅲ)和中级协调(Ⅳ);(2)各年度全民健身服务与绿色生态的协调发展呈现波浪形演化特征,不同省份间的协调度差距非常大(D=0.05~0.80),且三大地区(东部、中部和西部)间和地区内均存在显著性差异(P﹤0.05);(3)我国全民健身服务与绿色生态的空间协调存在一定的局部空间相关性,但空间高集聚效应还不明显(H-H类型仅4个省份)。结论:(1)全民健身发展与绿色生态未能呈现出协调发展的态势,绿色运动空间在省际范围内还未形成强联动区域;(2)加强绿色运动空间建设,尤其是城市层面的绿色运动空间,是不断扩大自主参与锻炼人群的重要途径;(3)城市绿地与健身设施布局的匹配规划可能是转变演进模式的重要举措。
In order to promote the implementation of the concept of green sports space construction and realize the coordinated development of national fitness and green ecology, this article analyzes through entropy weight evaluation, coordination degree model(D index), Moran's Ⅰ index and Markov chain the temporal-spatial characteristics, agglomeration effects and evolution mode of coordinated development of national fitness and green ecology in 31 provinces(2011-2015). The results show that(1) the coordination degree of national fitness service and green ecology presents four types: low-level coordination(Ⅰ), barely qualified coordination(Ⅱ), primary coordination(Ⅲ) and intermediate coordination(Ⅳ);(2) the coordination degree of national fitness service and green ecology evolved in a wave shape over the years with significant differences between different provinces(D=0.05 ~ 0.80) and significant differences between the western, central and eastern regions(p<0.05);(3) there is a regional spatial correlation in spatial coordination of national fitness service and green ecology, while the spatial agglomeration effect is not significant(only 4 provinces reach the H-H type). Conclusion:(1) national fitness and green ecology in China don't present coordinated development trend and green sports spaces in provinces have no strong link so far;(2) strengthening the construction of green sports space, especially that of green sports space in urban areas is an important way to expand people's participation;(3) planning urban green space and installing fitness facilities are an important measure to transform the evolution mode of national fitness and green ecology.
引文
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