中国省域产业融合能力:理论解构、评价方法及时空分异分析
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摘要
在梳理分析产业融合影响因素的基础上,从产业融合需求拉力、供给推力及环境支撑力角度,对产业融合能力进行理论解构。在此基础上,构建区域产业融合能力评价指标体系,运用熵值法测度我国内地30个省市区2005-2016年的产业融合能力,并采用灰色关联分析法确定各子系统与区域产业融合能力的关联程度。结果表明:区域产业融合的供给推力、需求拉力和环境支撑力与产业融合能力的关联度依次下降;从时间维度看,2005-2016年我国各地区产业融合能力综合指数呈稳定上升趋势,地区产业融合能力逐渐增强;从空间维度看,我国产业融合能力地区差异明显,且呈现出东高西低、南强北弱的分布格局;从全国平均水平看,我国整体产业融合能力综合指数较低,产业融合能力不足。
Based on the influencing factors analysis of industrial integration, from the perspective of demand pull, supply thrust and environment supporting, the paper deconstruct the Theories of industrial integration capability. And then it builds evaluation index system of regional industrial integration capability. The entropy method is used to measure the comprehensive index of industrial integration ability in 30 provinces and cities of China in 2005-2016 years. The gray correlation analysis method is used to determine the correlation between the subsystems and the industrial integration ability. The results show that: the relationship between supply thrust, demand pulling force and environmental support force of regional industrial integration and industrial integration ability declined in turn; From the time dimension, the industrial integration ability comprehensive index of all regions in China was steadily rising in 2005-2016, and the regional industrial integration capacity increased gradually; From the perspective of spatial dimension, China's industrial convergence ability regional differences are obvious, showing a distribution pattern of East, West, and south; From the national average level, the comprehensive index of China's overall industrial convergence ability is relatively low, and industrial integration capability is insufficient.
Based on the influencing factors analysis of industrial integration, from the perspective of demand pull, supply thrust and environment supporting, the paper deconstruct the Theories of industrial integration capability. And then it builds evaluation index system of regional industrial integration capability. The entropy method is used to measure the comprehensive index of industrial integration ability in 30 provinces and cities of China in 2005-2016 years. The gray correlation analysis method is used to determine the correlation between the subsystems and the industrial integration ability. The results show that: the relationship between supply thrust, demand pulling force and environmental support force of regional industrial integration and industrial integration ability declined in turn; From the time dimension, the industrial integration ability comprehensive index of all regions in China was steadily rising in 2005-2016, and the regional industrial integration capacity increased gradually; From the perspective of spatial dimension, China's industrial convergence ability regional differences are obvious, showing a distribution pattern of East, West, and south; From the national average level, the comprehensive index of China's overall industrial convergence ability is relatively low, and industrial integration capability is insufficient.
引文
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[23] 罗月江. 互联网产业与传统零售业产业融合度测算及影响因素分析[D].广州:华南理工大学,2014.
[24] 班子嫣,乔东亮.产业融合趋势下的出版产业链整合[J].科技与出版,2008(8):73-75.
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[26] 李晓丹.产业融合与产业发展[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2003(1):54-57+139.
[27] 秦嗣毅.产业集群、产业融合与国家竞争力[J].求是学刊,2008(5):59-63.
[28] 班子嫣,乔东亮.产业融合背景下的出版产业链整合[J].出版发行研究,2008(7):10-14.
[29] 王金友.基于信息化的产业融合与创新探析[J].四川大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2009(3):102-107.
[30] 朱维洁.试论文化产业融合的动因[J].河南师范大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2009,36(5):203-204.
[31] 程广斌,龙文.丝绸之路经济带城市可持续发展能力及其影响因素——基于超效率DEA—面板Tobit模型的实证检验[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(1):35-43.
[32] 王新越,吴宁宁,秦素贞.山东省旅游化发展水平的测度及时空差异分析[J].人文地理,2014,29(4):146-154.
[2] 周振华.产业融合:产业发展及经济增长的新动力[J].中国工业经济,2003(4):46-52.
[3] 张新,马建华,刘培德,等.区域两化融合水平的评价方法及应用[J].山东大学学报:理学版,2012,47(3):71-76.
[4] 于长钺,王长峰,庄文英,等.信息化与工业化融合评价指标及实证研究[J].情报科学,2017,35(4):84-87+92.
[5] 梁君,陈显军,杨霞.广西文化产业与旅游业融合度实证研究[J].广西社会科学,2014(3):28-32.
[6] 王艳君,谭静,雷俊忠.农业与其服务业间产业融合度实证研究——以四川省为例[J].农村经济,2016(12):82-87.
[7] 王成东.区域产业融合与产业研发效率提升——基于SFA和中国30省市的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2017(10):94-103.
[8] 严伟.基于AHP-模糊综合评价法的旅游产业融合度实证研究[J].生态经济,2014,30(11):97-102.
[9] 苏昌贵,魏晓,刘雨婧,等.产业融合视域下健康养老产业发展研究——以郴州市为例[J].经济地理,2018,38(1):135-141.
[10] 李敏. 物流产业融合研究[D].西安:长安大学,2011.
[11] 王巧玲.河南省产业融合度分析[J].经济论坛,2015(6):20-23+34.
[12] 刘川.产业转型中现代服务业与先进制造业融合度研究——基于珠三角地区的实证分析[J].江西社会科学,2014,34(5): 59-65.
[13] 蒋辉,张康洁,张怀英,等.我国三次产业融合发展的时空分异特征[J].经济地理,2017,37(07):105-113.
[14] GAMBARDELLA A,TORRISI F. Does technological convergence imply convergence in markets? evidence from the electronics industry[J]. Research Policy,1998,27(5):445-463.
[15] FAI F,TUNZELMANN V N. Industry-specific competencies and converging technological system.:evidence from patents[J]. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics,2001 (12) :141-171.
[16] 汪芳,潘毛毛.产业融合、绩效提升与制造业成长——基于1998-2011年面板数据的实证[J].科学学研究,2015,33(04):530-538+548.
[17] 唐晓华,姜博,马胜利. 基于ISCNFI分析框架的我国区域产业融合发展研究[J]. 商业研究,2015(5):1-10.
[18] LEI D T. Industry evolution and competence development:the imperatives of technological convergence[J]. International Journal of Technology Management,2000,19(7-8):726.
[19] YOFFIE D B.ed. Competing in the age of digital convergence[M].Harvard Business Press. 1997:59-90.
[20] 植草益.信息通讯业的产业融合[J].中国工业经济,2001(2):24-27.
[21] 马健.产业融合理论研究评述[J].经济学动态,2002(5):78-81.
[22] 钟若愚.产业融合:深圳服务业发展的现实路径选择[J].深圳大学学报:人文社会科学版,2007(1):33-37.
[23] 罗月江. 互联网产业与传统零售业产业融合度测算及影响因素分析[D].广州:华南理工大学,2014.
[24] 班子嫣,乔东亮.产业融合趋势下的出版产业链整合[J].科技与出版,2008(8):73-75.
[25] 孙永波,王道平.产业融合及如何促进我国产业融合的发展[J].北京工商大学学报:社会科学版,2009(1):105-110.
[26] 李晓丹.产业融合与产业发展[J].中南财经政法大学学报,2003(1):54-57+139.
[27] 秦嗣毅.产业集群、产业融合与国家竞争力[J].求是学刊,2008(5):59-63.
[28] 班子嫣,乔东亮.产业融合背景下的出版产业链整合[J].出版发行研究,2008(7):10-14.
[29] 王金友.基于信息化的产业融合与创新探析[J].四川大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2009(3):102-107.
[30] 朱维洁.试论文化产业融合的动因[J].河南师范大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2009,36(5):203-204.
[31] 程广斌,龙文.丝绸之路经济带城市可持续发展能力及其影响因素——基于超效率DEA—面板Tobit模型的实证检验[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(1):35-43.
[32] 王新越,吴宁宁,秦素贞.山东省旅游化发展水平的测度及时空差异分析[J].人文地理,2014,29(4):146-154.