江苏制造业影响外商直接投资的行业选择研究
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摘要
基于行业发展的投入产出框架,以江苏制造业为例,实证分析了外商直接投资在选择行业时的影响因素。研究发现:近年来,不断高企的劳动力成本不仅影响了江苏制造业总体的引资效果,而且对劳动密集型、资本密集型和技术密集型等分行业的引资状况也产生了抑制作用;当前江苏制造业并不突出的创新能力制约了其引资的可持续性,尤其是对技术密集型行业来说,尽管其所拥有的研发投入能对引资产生正向作用,但是薄弱的创新能力成为其引进高端外资的重要掣肘;前期外商直接投资会对江苏制造业吸引外资产生循环累积效应,但是在与各因素的交互作用中,除了与对外开放度能形成耦合效应外,前期外商直接投资与其他因素并不能形成协同作用,尤其是在与劳动力成本的交互作用下,还会产生门槛效应。提出了提升人力资本质量、增强产业创新能力和进一步放宽行业开放度等对江苏乃至全国提质增效引资水平的相关建议。
Based on analyzing mechanics and proposing postulations, this paper analyzes the factors which influence the industrial choice of FDI from the framework of input and output in Jiangsu Province. The results show that increasing labor cost will influence absorbing FDI in manufacturing industry. And the not-outstanding technology in manufacturing industry also impedes absorbing FDI, especially in technology-intensive industry. Meanwhile, pre-FDI will accelerate FDI in manufacturing industry. Furthermore, we analyze the interactive relationships between the pre-FDI and these above factors to prove the circulating cumulative effect in absorbing FDI. We find that the interaction between labor coast and pre-FDI is negative, the interaction between open and pre-FDI is positive, and the interaction between other factors and pre-FDI is not significant. Based on the above-mentioned findings, we propose some countermeasures to absorb FDI, such as accelerating the quality of human resource, enhancing the industrial innovation, enlarging the openness, and so on.
Based on analyzing mechanics and proposing postulations, this paper analyzes the factors which influence the industrial choice of FDI from the framework of input and output in Jiangsu Province. The results show that increasing labor cost will influence absorbing FDI in manufacturing industry. And the not-outstanding technology in manufacturing industry also impedes absorbing FDI, especially in technology-intensive industry. Meanwhile, pre-FDI will accelerate FDI in manufacturing industry. Furthermore, we analyze the interactive relationships between the pre-FDI and these above factors to prove the circulating cumulative effect in absorbing FDI. We find that the interaction between labor coast and pre-FDI is negative, the interaction between open and pre-FDI is positive, and the interaction between other factors and pre-FDI is not significant. Based on the above-mentioned findings, we propose some countermeasures to absorb FDI, such as accelerating the quality of human resource, enhancing the industrial innovation, enlarging the openness, and so on.
引文
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[2] Wang,C.C.,Wu,A.q.Geographical FDI knowledge spillover and innovation of indigenous firms in China[J].International Business Review,2016(4).
[3] Gunby,P.,Jin,Y.H.,Reed,W.R.Did FDI Really Cause Chinese Economic Growth? A Meta-Analysis[J].World Development,2017(2).
[4]高宏伟,程仁英.外商直接投资与碳排放规模[J].经济问题,2017(4).
[5] Ran,J.,Voon,JP.,Li,G. How does FDI affect China? Evidence from industries and provinces[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2007(4).
[6] Du,J.,Lu,Y.,Tao,Z. Institutions and FDI location choice:The role of cultural distances[J]. Journal of Asian Economics,2008(3).