海外油气勘探开发项目生产成本估算方法改进研究
|
摘要
油气生产成本估算和预测的准确性和科学性对于海外勘探开发项目实施优质高效发展、指导投资决策和服务生产经营具有十分重要的意义。阐述海外项目现有生产成本的估算方法及其存在的主要问题,分析总结国际石油公司生产成本估算管理实践,按照问题导向,提出以5D模式为估算方法和管理理念,即成本估算要抓主要成本构成(Dominating)、要按成本驱动因素分类(DrivingFactor)、要考虑海外项目具体特点(Distinct)、成本估算和管理要有动态思维(Dynamic)、必须拥有自己的研究数据库(Database)。针对性提出改进海外勘探开发项目生产成本估算的方法和建议,旨在促进中国油气行业海外业务健康有序发展。
The accuracy and scientificity of estimation and forecast of oil and gas production cost have significant meaning in realizing high-quality and high-efficient development, guiding investment decision and servicing production and operation. This paper expounds the existing cost estimation methods of overseas projects and their main problems, analyzes and summarizes production cost estimation & management of international oil companies, puts forward estimation and management notion of 5 D based on problem-orientation, namely cost estimation from dominating ones, according to driving factors, considering projects' distinct features, based on dynamic mindsets, with their own database, and proposes the improvement suggestions for production cost estimation methods of overseas oil and gas exploration & development projects in order to promote the healthy development of overseas business of China's oil and gas industry.
The accuracy and scientificity of estimation and forecast of oil and gas production cost have significant meaning in realizing high-quality and high-efficient development, guiding investment decision and servicing production and operation. This paper expounds the existing cost estimation methods of overseas projects and their main problems, analyzes and summarizes production cost estimation & management of international oil companies, puts forward estimation and management notion of 5 D based on problem-orientation, namely cost estimation from dominating ones, according to driving factors, considering projects' distinct features, based on dynamic mindsets, with their own database, and proposes the improvement suggestions for production cost estimation methods of overseas oil and gas exploration & development projects in order to promote the healthy development of overseas business of China's oil and gas industry.
引文
[1]赵永博,罗东坤,藏丽娜.原油价格对勘探开发投资及操作成本传导机制分析[J].中外能源,2016(1).
[2]艾殿龙.非常规天然气操作成本研究[J].科技与企业,2015(18).
[3]李璐,王靖.国内外油气操作成本分析[J].现代商贸工业,2011(17).
[4]汪钢,王爱东,刘慧.关于我国原油成本管理的几个问题[J].石油大学学报(社会科学版),2010,16(17).
[5]刘斌,许艳,黄文强.原油开采企业效益风险管控方法[J].石油科技论坛,2016(5).
[6]肖磊,王希友,袁剑,等.油田原油操作成本控制与预测方法研究[J].中外能源,2016,21(3).
[7]李秀生,王灵碧.油气操作成本动因分类方法研究[J].天然气工业,2008,28(1).
[8]耿森泽,李玉顺.油气成本分析的两种实用方法[J].当代石油石化,2005,13(2).
[9]陈武,钟水清,唐洪俊,等.油气操作成本预测方法研究[J].钻采工艺,2006,29(5).
[2]艾殿龙.非常规天然气操作成本研究[J].科技与企业,2015(18).
[3]李璐,王靖.国内外油气操作成本分析[J].现代商贸工业,2011(17).
[4]汪钢,王爱东,刘慧.关于我国原油成本管理的几个问题[J].石油大学学报(社会科学版),2010,16(17).
[5]刘斌,许艳,黄文强.原油开采企业效益风险管控方法[J].石油科技论坛,2016(5).
[6]肖磊,王希友,袁剑,等.油田原油操作成本控制与预测方法研究[J].中外能源,2016,21(3).
[7]李秀生,王灵碧.油气操作成本动因分类方法研究[J].天然气工业,2008,28(1).
[8]耿森泽,李玉顺.油气成本分析的两种实用方法[J].当代石油石化,2005,13(2).
[9]陈武,钟水清,唐洪俊,等.油气操作成本预测方法研究[J].钻采工艺,2006,29(5).