基于区间直觉模糊理论的直流配网规划方案综合决策
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摘要
随着分布式电源(DG)和多样性直流负荷的大量接入,直流配电网是未来发展的一个方向,科学合理地评估直流配电网规划方案具有重要意义。针对直流配电网规划的特征和DG接入带来的不确定性影响,构建计及网架协调性、DG配置合理性的综合评价指标体系;提出基于区间直觉模糊理论的直流配电网规划方案综合评估方法,采用前景理论和MYCIN不确定因子处理区间直觉模糊判断矩阵,充分地体现决策者偏好,挖掘不确定信息,降低决策者主观不确定性,提高评价结果的辨识度。通过算例分析表明,本文提出的方法能够简化直流配电网规划方案综合评估这一复杂问题,是评价和筛选这类电网规划方案合理、有效的解决方法。
With the large-scale of DG and diversity DC load accessed in distribution network, DC distribution network is a direction of future development. It is of great significance to scientifically and reasonably evaluate the DC distribution network planning scheme. In view of the characteristics of DC distribution network planning and the uncertainty caused by DG, a comprehensive evaluation index system considering the coordination of grids and the rationality of DG configuration was constructed.An interval intuitionistic fuzzy theory based method for evaluating DC distribution network planning was proposed. This comprehensive evaluation method of DC distribution network planning scheme used foreground theory and MYCIN uncertainty factor to process interval intuitionistic fuzzy judgment matrix, which fully reflects the decision maker's preference and mines uncertain information, reduces subjective uncertainty for decision makers and improves the recognition of evaluation results. The example analysis shows that the proposed method can simplify the complex problem of comprehensive evaluation of DC distribution network planning scheme, and it is a reasonable and effective solution for evaluating and screening such power grid planning schemes.
With the large-scale of DG and diversity DC load accessed in distribution network, DC distribution network is a direction of future development. It is of great significance to scientifically and reasonably evaluate the DC distribution network planning scheme. In view of the characteristics of DC distribution network planning and the uncertainty caused by DG, a comprehensive evaluation index system considering the coordination of grids and the rationality of DG configuration was constructed.An interval intuitionistic fuzzy theory based method for evaluating DC distribution network planning was proposed. This comprehensive evaluation method of DC distribution network planning scheme used foreground theory and MYCIN uncertainty factor to process interval intuitionistic fuzzy judgment matrix, which fully reflects the decision maker's preference and mines uncertain information, reduces subjective uncertainty for decision makers and improves the recognition of evaluation results. The example analysis shows that the proposed method can simplify the complex problem of comprehensive evaluation of DC distribution network planning scheme, and it is a reasonable and effective solution for evaluating and screening such power grid planning schemes.
引文
[1]高山,王深哲,李海峰,等.基于前景理论的电网规划方案综合决策法[J].电网技术,2014,38(8):2029-2036.Gao Shan,Wang Shenzhe,Li Haifeng,et al.Prospect theory based on comprehensive decision-making method of power network planning schemes[J].Power System Technology,2014,38(8):2029-2036.
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[7]李江,刘伟波,李国庆,等.基于序贯蒙特卡洛法的直流配电网可靠性评估与预测[J].太阳能学报,2018,39(1):154-162.Li Jiang,Liu Weibo,Li Guoqing,et al.DC distribution networks reliability evaluation and prediction based on sequential Monte Carlo method[J].ACTAEnergiae Aloaris Sinioa,2018,39(1):154-162.
[8]王文彬,伍小生,朱傲,等.基于层次分析法的配电网“低电压”智能规划与综合治理评估技术研究及应用[J].电工技术学报,2018,33(增刊2):569-607.Wang Wenbin,Wu Xiaosheng,Zhu Ao,et al.Research and application of low-voltage intelligent planning and comprehensive treatment evaluation technology for distribution network based on analytic hierarchy process[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2018,33(S2):569-607.
[9]丁明,过羿,张晶晶,等.基于效用风险熵权模糊综合评判的复杂电网节点脆弱性评估[J].电工技术学报,2015,30(3):214-223.Ding Ming,Guo Yi,Zhang Jingjing,et al.Node vulnerability assessment for complex power grids based on effect risk entropy-weighted fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2015,30(3):214-223.
[10]韦钢,吴伟力,刘佳,等.基于SE-DEA模型的电网规划方案综合决策体系[J].电网技术,2007,31(24):12-16.Wei Gang,Wu Weili,Liu Jia,et al.Comprehensive judgment for power system planning alternatives based on SE-DEA model[J].Power System Technology,2007,31(24):12-16.
[11]朱天瞳,丁坚勇,郑旭.基于改进TOPSIS法和德尔菲-熵权综合权重法的电网规划方案综合决策方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2018,46(12):91-99.Zhu Tiantong,Ding Jianyong,Zheng Xu.Acomprehensive decision-making method for power network planning schemes based on the combination of the improved TOPSIS method with Delphi-entropy weight method[J].Power System Protection and Control,2018,46(12):91-99.
[12]高庆敏,张乾业.基于SE-DEA的交叉效率模型的城市电网规划综合评判决策[J].电力系统保护与控制,2011,39(8):60-64.Gao Qingmin,Zheng Qianye.Comprehensive evaluation and decision-making for urban power system planning using a cross efficiency model based on SE-DEA[J].Power System Protection and Control2011,39(8):60-64.
[13]史清芳,徐习东,赵宇明.电力电子设备对直流配电网可靠性影响[J].电网技术,2016,40(3):725-732.Shi Qingfang,Xu Xidong,Zhao Yuming.Effects of power electronic devices on DC distribution reliability[J].Power System Technology,2016,40(3):725-732.
[14]曾庆禹.特高压交直流输电系统可靠性分析[J].电网技术,2013,37(10):2681-2688.Zeng Qingyu.Analysis on reliability of UHVAC an UHVDC transmission systems[J].Power System Technology,2013,37(10):2681-2688.
[15]张彦.基于允许电压降落和改进损失系数法的中低压配电线路最大供电距离计算[J].电力大数据,2018,21(1):66-70.Zhang Yan.Calculation of the maximum power supply distance of medium and low voltage distribution lines based on permissible voltage drop and improved loss factor method[J].Power Systems and Big Data,2018,21(1):66-70.
[16]曾丹,姚建国,杨胜春,等.柔性直流输电不同电压等级的经济性比较[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(20):98-102.Zeng Dan,Yao Jianguo,Yang Shengchun,et al.Economy comparison of VSC-HVDC with different voltage levels[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2011,35(20):98-102.
[17]韩永霞,何秋萍,赵宇明,等.采用柔性直流技术的智能配电网接入交流电网方式[J].电力系统自动化,2016,40(13):141-146.Han Yongxia,He Qiuping,Zhao Yuming,et al.Access mode of intelligent distribution network to based on flexible DC technology[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2016,40(13):141-146.
[18]Zhipeng Biana,Zheng Xua,Liang Xiao,et al.Selection of optimal access point for offshore wind farm based on multiobjective decision making[J].Electrical Power and Energy Systems,2018(103):43-49.
[19]王仁超,王帅,苏贝.基于区间直觉模糊AHP法的大坝浇筑方案选取[J].工程管理学报,2018,32(2):136-140.Wang Renchao,Wang Shuai,Su Bei.Selecting dam pouring plan based on interval intuitionistic fuzzy AHP method[J].Journal of Engineering Management2018,32(2):136-140.
[20]高红云,王超,哈明虎.直觉模糊层次分析法[J].河北工程大学学报(自然科学版),2011,28(4):101-105.Gao Hongyun,Wang Chao,Ha Minghu.Intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process[J].Journal of Hebei University of Engineering(Natural Science Edition),2011,28(4):101-105.
[21]陈岩,金爽,杨依宁.区间直觉模糊性的相容性测度和一致性群决策调整[J].数学的实践与认识,2018,48(1):230-239.Chen Yan,Jin Shuang,Yang Yining.A consensus adjustment method for group decision making based on compatibility of interval valued intuitionistic fuzzy information[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2018,48(1):230-239.
[22]陈艾琳.大五人格特质与风险偏好之间的关系研究[D].杭州:浙江大学,2018.
[23]李鹏.直觉模糊信息决策方法研究[M].镇江:江苏大学出版社,2014.
[24]胡子珩,马骏超,曾嘉思,等.柔性直流配电网在深圳电网的应用研究[J].南方电网技术,2014,8(6):44-47.Hu Ziheng,Ma Junchao,Zeng Jiasi,et al.Reasearch on application of flexible DC power distribution system in Shenzhen power grid[J].Southern Power System Technology,2014,8(6):44-47.
[25]吴峻,武迪,朱金大,等.多端柔性直流配电网接地方式设计[J].中国电机工程学报,2017,37(9):2551-2560.Wu Jun,Wu Di,Zhu Jinda,et al.Grounding method design of multi-terminal flexible DC distribution[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2017,37(9):2551-2560.
[2]盛万兴,李蕊,李跃,等.直流配电电压等级序列与典型网络架构初探[J].中国电机工程学报,201636(13):3391-3403.Sheng Wanxing,Li Rui,Li Yue,et al.A preliminary study on voltage level sequence and typical network architecture of direct current distribution network[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2016,36(13):3391-3403.
[3]韩禹歆,陈来军,王召健,等.基于自适应步长ADMM的直流配电网分布式最优潮流[J].电工技术学报,2017,32(11):26-37.Han Yuxin,Chen Laijun,Wang Zhaojian,et al Distributed optimal power flow in direct current distribution network based on alternative direction method of multipliers with dynamic step size[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2017,32(11):26-37.
[4]戴志辉,葛红波,严思齐,等.柔性直流配电网故障分析[J].电工技术学报,2018,33(8):1863-1874.Dai Zhihui,Ge Hongbo,Yan Siqi,et al.Fault analysis of flxible DC distribution system[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2018,33(8):1863-1874.
[5]贺悝,李勇,曹一家,等.考虑分布式储能参与的直流配电网电压柔性控制策略[J].电工技术学报,2017,32(10):101-110.He Li,Li Yong,Cao Yijia,et al.Flexible voltage control strategy of DC distribution network considering distributed energy storage[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2017,32(10):101-110.
[6]叶莘,韦钢,马雷鹏,等.含分布式电源的直流配电网供电能力评估[J].电力系统自动化,2017,41(9):58-64.Ye Shen,Wei Gang,Ma Leipeng,et al.Power supply capability evaluation of DC distribution network with distributed generator[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2017,41(9):58-64.
[7]李江,刘伟波,李国庆,等.基于序贯蒙特卡洛法的直流配电网可靠性评估与预测[J].太阳能学报,2018,39(1):154-162.Li Jiang,Liu Weibo,Li Guoqing,et al.DC distribution networks reliability evaluation and prediction based on sequential Monte Carlo method[J].ACTAEnergiae Aloaris Sinioa,2018,39(1):154-162.
[8]王文彬,伍小生,朱傲,等.基于层次分析法的配电网“低电压”智能规划与综合治理评估技术研究及应用[J].电工技术学报,2018,33(增刊2):569-607.Wang Wenbin,Wu Xiaosheng,Zhu Ao,et al.Research and application of low-voltage intelligent planning and comprehensive treatment evaluation technology for distribution network based on analytic hierarchy process[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2018,33(S2):569-607.
[9]丁明,过羿,张晶晶,等.基于效用风险熵权模糊综合评判的复杂电网节点脆弱性评估[J].电工技术学报,2015,30(3):214-223.Ding Ming,Guo Yi,Zhang Jingjing,et al.Node vulnerability assessment for complex power grids based on effect risk entropy-weighted fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2015,30(3):214-223.
[10]韦钢,吴伟力,刘佳,等.基于SE-DEA模型的电网规划方案综合决策体系[J].电网技术,2007,31(24):12-16.Wei Gang,Wu Weili,Liu Jia,et al.Comprehensive judgment for power system planning alternatives based on SE-DEA model[J].Power System Technology,2007,31(24):12-16.
[11]朱天瞳,丁坚勇,郑旭.基于改进TOPSIS法和德尔菲-熵权综合权重法的电网规划方案综合决策方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2018,46(12):91-99.Zhu Tiantong,Ding Jianyong,Zheng Xu.Acomprehensive decision-making method for power network planning schemes based on the combination of the improved TOPSIS method with Delphi-entropy weight method[J].Power System Protection and Control,2018,46(12):91-99.
[12]高庆敏,张乾业.基于SE-DEA的交叉效率模型的城市电网规划综合评判决策[J].电力系统保护与控制,2011,39(8):60-64.Gao Qingmin,Zheng Qianye.Comprehensive evaluation and decision-making for urban power system planning using a cross efficiency model based on SE-DEA[J].Power System Protection and Control2011,39(8):60-64.
[13]史清芳,徐习东,赵宇明.电力电子设备对直流配电网可靠性影响[J].电网技术,2016,40(3):725-732.Shi Qingfang,Xu Xidong,Zhao Yuming.Effects of power electronic devices on DC distribution reliability[J].Power System Technology,2016,40(3):725-732.
[14]曾庆禹.特高压交直流输电系统可靠性分析[J].电网技术,2013,37(10):2681-2688.Zeng Qingyu.Analysis on reliability of UHVAC an UHVDC transmission systems[J].Power System Technology,2013,37(10):2681-2688.
[15]张彦.基于允许电压降落和改进损失系数法的中低压配电线路最大供电距离计算[J].电力大数据,2018,21(1):66-70.Zhang Yan.Calculation of the maximum power supply distance of medium and low voltage distribution lines based on permissible voltage drop and improved loss factor method[J].Power Systems and Big Data,2018,21(1):66-70.
[16]曾丹,姚建国,杨胜春,等.柔性直流输电不同电压等级的经济性比较[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(20):98-102.Zeng Dan,Yao Jianguo,Yang Shengchun,et al.Economy comparison of VSC-HVDC with different voltage levels[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2011,35(20):98-102.
[17]韩永霞,何秋萍,赵宇明,等.采用柔性直流技术的智能配电网接入交流电网方式[J].电力系统自动化,2016,40(13):141-146.Han Yongxia,He Qiuping,Zhao Yuming,et al.Access mode of intelligent distribution network to based on flexible DC technology[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2016,40(13):141-146.
[18]Zhipeng Biana,Zheng Xua,Liang Xiao,et al.Selection of optimal access point for offshore wind farm based on multiobjective decision making[J].Electrical Power and Energy Systems,2018(103):43-49.
[19]王仁超,王帅,苏贝.基于区间直觉模糊AHP法的大坝浇筑方案选取[J].工程管理学报,2018,32(2):136-140.Wang Renchao,Wang Shuai,Su Bei.Selecting dam pouring plan based on interval intuitionistic fuzzy AHP method[J].Journal of Engineering Management2018,32(2):136-140.
[20]高红云,王超,哈明虎.直觉模糊层次分析法[J].河北工程大学学报(自然科学版),2011,28(4):101-105.Gao Hongyun,Wang Chao,Ha Minghu.Intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process[J].Journal of Hebei University of Engineering(Natural Science Edition),2011,28(4):101-105.
[21]陈岩,金爽,杨依宁.区间直觉模糊性的相容性测度和一致性群决策调整[J].数学的实践与认识,2018,48(1):230-239.Chen Yan,Jin Shuang,Yang Yining.A consensus adjustment method for group decision making based on compatibility of interval valued intuitionistic fuzzy information[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2018,48(1):230-239.
[22]陈艾琳.大五人格特质与风险偏好之间的关系研究[D].杭州:浙江大学,2018.
[23]李鹏.直觉模糊信息决策方法研究[M].镇江:江苏大学出版社,2014.
[24]胡子珩,马骏超,曾嘉思,等.柔性直流配电网在深圳电网的应用研究[J].南方电网技术,2014,8(6):44-47.Hu Ziheng,Ma Junchao,Zeng Jiasi,et al.Reasearch on application of flexible DC power distribution system in Shenzhen power grid[J].Southern Power System Technology,2014,8(6):44-47.
[25]吴峻,武迪,朱金大,等.多端柔性直流配电网接地方式设计[J].中国电机工程学报,2017,37(9):2551-2560.Wu Jun,Wu Di,Zhu Jinda,et al.Grounding method design of multi-terminal flexible DC distribution[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2017,37(9):2551-2560.